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Bracketology….
Posted on 12/5/25 at 11:48 am
Posted on 12/5/25 at 11:48 am
I’m sure someone has posted….
Joe currently has the Tigers barely in.
Need these next couple games to really solidify.
Joe currently has the Tigers barely in.
Need these next couple games to really solidify.
This post was edited on 12/5/25 at 11:49 am
5
Posted on 12/5/25 at 11:49 am to jwingert77
It's December
Posted on 12/5/25 at 11:49 am to jwingert77
quote:
12/5/25
Posted on 12/5/25 at 11:53 am to jwingert77
If we're undefeated going into conference play, we'll only need to win 7-8 SEC games to make it into the tournament. Would be very huge to go 2-0 next week.
Posted on 12/5/25 at 11:55 am to jwingert77
quote:
Need these next couple games to really solidify.
Nothing is getting solidified in mid-December.
Hower, winning, or even just splitting the next two games could give LSU a reasonable margin for error as they enter SEC play. It would also check the boxes of beating 1 or 2 (possible) NCAA Tournament teams away from home.
quote:
If we're undefeated going into conference play, we'll only need to win 7-8 SEC games to make it into the tournament.
7 is probably not going to be enough. Not counting last season, since 2000 only two teams with 7 or fewer wins in conference made the tournament as an at-large selection. Last season was record setting anomaly. The SEC, while still a good league, isn't historically good like was last season.
8 SEC wins coupled with 1 (preferably 2) win in the games vs. Texas Tech and SMU is probably the minimum requirement. LSU's non-conf. schedule outside of those two games just isn't strong enough to make up for 11 (or more) conference losses
This post was edited on 12/5/25 at 12:04 pm
Posted on 12/5/25 at 12:16 pm to jwingert77
Have not played a team with a sub 100 NET ranking and only one with a sub 100 RPI.
The next two weekends will tell us a lot.
The next two weekends will tell us a lot.
This post was edited on 12/5/25 at 12:16 pm
Posted on 12/5/25 at 12:16 pm to Alt26
quote:I see what you're saying, but my point is that 7 wins would be all we'd need to get to 20 wins, which is generally the magic number when you're in a top tier conference.
7 is probably not going to be enough. Not counting last season, since 2000 only two teams with 7 or fewer wins in conference made the tournament as an at-large selection. Last season was record setting anomaly. The SEC, while still a good league, isn't historically good like was last season
Posted on 12/5/25 at 1:07 pm to iamandykeim
quote:
but my point is that 7 wins would be all we'd need to get to 20 wins, which is generally the magic number when you're in a top tier conference.
While 20 wins may have once been a "magic number", it isn't any more and hasn't been for a while
Two years ago Ole Miss finished 20-11 (7-11) within that record they were a perfect 13-0 in the non-conference. They didn't make the tournament. That same season Miss. Stat was 19-12 (8-10). The DID make the NCAA Tournament. Then you compare that with Vanderbilt the year before who when 18-13 (11-7). The 11 SEC wins weren't enough to make the tournament. In 2022 Texas A&M went 20-11 (9-9). They didn't make the tournament. That same year Alabama went 19-12 (9-9). The DID make the tournament. That's just in the SEC. There are several other examples of 20 win teams not making the tournament.
There is no magic number of overall wins. No magic number of conference wins. The resume is looked at as a whole with who you beat and where you beat them being the two most important (though not only) factors. That's why the neutral and road wins count for more in the NET formula.
Beating Texas Tech and SMU would go a long way for LSU in that it would allow LSU to absorb more losses in conf. play and still have a reasonable tournament resume. But even if LSU were able to win both games, getting in with 7 conference wins would be the big exception, not the rule, based on years of history.
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