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I guess the inflation from the tariffs is still lagging
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:04 am
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:04 am
Roger said it's a lagging indicator so how much of a lag?
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If tweet fails to load, click here. Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:04 am to stout
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:05 am to stout
quote:
so how much of a lag?
Two weeks behind Italy.
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:06 am to jrodLSUke
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If tweet fails to load, click here. It's still insane we are nowhere near the target of 2%
This post was edited on 10/24/25 at 8:08 am
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:08 am to stout
Roger has never ever been right about anything
Its actually impressive. Keep the cuts coming
Its actually impressive. Keep the cuts coming
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:08 am to stout
The OT spun these numbers as the apocalypse. 
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:09 am to stout
Roger will explain this to us very soon
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:10 am to stout
Are we supposed to be excited about these numbers? What’s the win that I’m missing?
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:12 am to BeeFense5
No. 3% is still too high. It's the fact that tariffs are not playing a role as many predicted.
To his credit, Penn has been reminding everyone that tariffs are not neutral, and he's been correct.
ETA: I also suspect that Trueflation is actually lower. SDV usually posts those numbers
To his credit, Penn has been reminding everyone that tariffs are not neutral, and he's been correct.
ETA: I also suspect that Trueflation is actually lower. SDV usually posts those numbers
This post was edited on 10/24/25 at 8:13 am
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:14 am to stout
quote:
also suspect that Trueflation is actually lower
2.3 today so we are at target and have been for some time now
I love how LSURussian cant handle that data but trusts the gold standard of the bls
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:15 am to stout
Like I said on the OT, I paid $2 for a dozen eggs yesterday and filled up for $2.32 a gallon.
Meanwhile Peppermint Pattie and Black Elmo told me for 4 years there was no inflation while I was paying $4 for a gallon of gas and $7 for a bag of Doritos.
Meanwhile Peppermint Pattie and Black Elmo told me for 4 years there was no inflation while I was paying $4 for a gallon of gas and $7 for a bag of Doritos.
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:18 am to stout
quote:
It's still insane we are nowhere near the target of 2%
Well we were trending in the direction a few months ago.
It’s funny to point out that inflation is actually getting worse, but just not as quickly “as expected”.
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:21 am to stout
Guys, y’all are committing self-owns in this thread. First, 3% is high and increasing. Second, the idea that the stock market going up makes it all better is economic illiteracy. The stock market HAS to go up with inflation in order for companies to retain their value.
There is an argument to make about the tariff inflation sky-screamers, but these aren’t it. The argument is that tariffs act more like a tax. They will eventually result in a bump in prices but will not cause an inflationary cycle.
There is an argument to make about the tariff inflation sky-screamers, but these aren’t it. The argument is that tariffs act more like a tax. They will eventually result in a bump in prices but will not cause an inflationary cycle.
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:21 am to CAD703X
quote:
Meanwhile Peppermint Pattie and Black Elmo told me for 4 years there was no inflation while I was paying $4 for a gallon of gas and $7 for a bag of Doritos.
From my business standpoint, materials have fallen or remained flat despite tariffs
Lumber is down nearly 7%
Sheetrock is flat
Paint flat
Finish like tiles flat
Copper is up, though.
Compared to Biden's years the building material industry is finally stabilizing even with pressure from tariffs.
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:22 am to stout
Inflation is lagging, in part, because the economy is lagging.
Just my opinion.
Just my opinion.
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:23 am to stout
Is the fricking bat signal broken? I came here to count posts, point a finger, and laugh.
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:24 am to Ten Bears
quote:
Well we were trending in the direction a few months ago.
You mean in July? One month?
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:25 am to stout
None of the products we deal with are down. We’ve had two to three price increases per manufacturer this year. Maybe one more coming for some.
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:28 am to the808bass
quote:
Inflation is lagging, in part, because the economy is lagging.
Just my opinion.
People are still living on credit
I will tell you that the amount of new foreclosures I have taken on for lenders, especially in Lafayette, is far outpacing 2023 and 2024. The next nationwide quarterly foreclosure report will be interesting but for sure Louisiana is a lot worse off than people probably realize. Every time oil dips, Laffy struggles but we are busy in all of Louisiana. Even Lake Charles, despite billions being spent on new LNG plants.
Other states I cover are picking up too. Got 3 new properties yesterday in Virginia Beach.
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