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Blue Chip Ratio 2025, does it matter ?
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:09 am
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:09 am
1. Alabama- 89%
2. Ohio State- 89%
3. Georgia- 84%
4. Texas A&M- 82%
5. Oregon- 78%
6. Texas- 78%
7. LSU- 73%
8. Notre Dame- 73%
9. Oklahoma- 70%
10. Penn State- 68%
11. Miami- 64%
12. Florida- 64%
13. Auburn- 64%
14. Michigan- 57%
15. USC- 57%
16. Clemson- 55%
17. Tennessee- 54%
18. Florida State- 54%
If it does matter, then LSU "should" beat Clemson.
2. Ohio State- 89%
3. Georgia- 84%
4. Texas A&M- 82%
5. Oregon- 78%
6. Texas- 78%
7. LSU- 73%
8. Notre Dame- 73%
9. Oklahoma- 70%
10. Penn State- 68%
11. Miami- 64%
12. Florida- 64%
13. Auburn- 64%
14. Michigan- 57%
15. USC- 57%
16. Clemson- 55%
17. Tennessee- 54%
18. Florida State- 54%
If it does matter, then LSU "should" beat Clemson.
11
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:11 am to kajunman
quote:
4. Texas A&M- 82%
Exhibit 1 for "no"
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:13 am to kajunman
are the transfers included?
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:14 am to kajunman
quote:Maybe in a neutral site, sure. On the road in week 1 at night, it should be at best a pick'em by this logic. Also, if this actually mattered, then USC, Auburn, and Florida State wouldn't have combined for 23 losses in 2024.
If it does matter, then LSU "should" beat Clemson.
This post was edited on 7/17/25 at 11:15 am
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:14 am to clamdip
quote:LSU had the 8th best composite last season and we see how that went.
Exhibit 1 for "no"
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:15 am to saturncube21
Yes.
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:16 am to iamandykeim
I agree it doesn't matter. If it did LSU wouldn't have lost 4 games last season.
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:22 am to kajunman
There’s no way A&M has more talent than us. You also have to factor in who has terrible head coaches, like Bama
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:27 am to Draco Malfoy
quote:Are Venables and DeBoer going to have a redemption season ? If LSU is in the top 10, it should be a given that LSU is in the playoffs but it's not.
There’s no way A&M has more talent than us. You also have to factor in who has terrible head coaches, like Bama
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:28 am to kajunman
On a game by game basis, no
There is evidence that it matters for winning it all, tho
There is evidence that it matters for winning it all, tho
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:29 am to kajunman
quote:
Are Venables and DeBoer going to have a redemption season ? If LSU is in the top 10, it should be a given that LSU is in the playoffs but it's not.
No. Both are way in over their head
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:29 am to Honkus
quote:We'll see if LSU is up to the challenge. They should have enough.
There is evidence that it matters for winning it all, tho
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:30 am to Draco Malfoy
quote:LOL
No. Both are way in over their head
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:33 am to Draco Malfoy
Lol I'm sorry but hasn't bamas coach only lost 11 games as a head coach? Be realistic
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:33 am to Draco Malfoy
The ratio for LSU last year is skewed because their skill players WR,RB,etc. ranked high but where was the Depth on the DL and DB experience wise ,it wasn’t there.If you don’t have a very good DL and secondary you lose games.This is the 1st year the tigers have legitimate players and depth.
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:43 am to kajunman
quote:Of course, it matters.
Blue Chip Ratio 2025, does it matter ?
It's not determinative, but it matters.
There are other factors that are more predictive, but Blue Chip Ratio matters.
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:45 am to kajunman
It doesn't matter when comparing 2 teams with BCR's above 50%... it is a massive tell for teams who can't win a title though. Since that metric started being recorded, there's not a single national champion who had a BCR of less than 50%
Most recently, Washington and TCU were below 50% when they went to the Championship and we saw how those worked out. When it comes to playing your last game for all that marbles you need a star studded roster and 4 stars who can fill in for injuries or fatigue.
I will say this though... We have a better BCR currently than these teams did when they won a title: Michigan (23), LSU (2019), Clemson (2018), Clemson (2016), Ohio State (2014), Florida State (2013), Bama (2012), Bama (2011)
Most recently, Washington and TCU were below 50% when they went to the Championship and we saw how those worked out. When it comes to playing your last game for all that marbles you need a star studded roster and 4 stars who can fill in for injuries or fatigue.
I will say this though... We have a better BCR currently than these teams did when they won a title: Michigan (23), LSU (2019), Clemson (2018), Clemson (2016), Ohio State (2014), Florida State (2013), Bama (2012), Bama (2011)
Posted on 7/17/25 at 11:55 am to Mikaelomo
quote:
Lol I'm sorry but hasn't bamas coach only lost 11 games as a head coach? Be realistic
He’s only been a P5 coach for 3 years…
Posted on 7/17/25 at 12:04 pm to kajunman
Yes it matters over the course of a season, but it’s not determinative in a 1 game scenario.
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