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Fed reviews economic effect of Trump tariffs
Posted on 5/27/25 at 7:28 am
Posted on 5/27/25 at 7:28 am
quote:Newsmax
A May note by Fed board economists estimated that the tariffs imposed on China in February and March had already added about a third of a percentage point to goods prices excluding food and energy in the first months of the year, and that but for the tariffs those prices would have fallen — a conclusion that helps explain why policymakers are reluctant to cut interest rates until they know more about inflation that may be in the pipeline.
Larger tariffs have been put in place since that study was done, and even bigger ones are threatened.
"Once we start to get some clearer contours, I think that's the time to really start to use these models more robustly, " Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic said in comments to reporters on May 20 in Florida.
2
Posted on 5/27/25 at 7:31 am to bigjoe1
Since the actual tariffs themselves keep changing, not sure how any realistic outlook can be completed until the dust settles.
Nobody has any clue where we end up. Is still possible that the final rate is 0
Nobody has any clue where we end up. Is still possible that the final rate is 0
Posted on 5/27/25 at 7:36 am to bigjoe1
I remember when the Fed economists said inflation was tranistory in 21 and was the reason they didnt raise rates
Now we are here
Now we are here
Posted on 5/27/25 at 7:48 am to SDVTiger
So they are showing that they can learn. That's a good thing.
Posted on 5/27/25 at 7:50 am to SDVTiger
quote:
Fed economists said inflation was tranistory in 21
And none of us believed that to be true
Posted on 5/27/25 at 8:06 am to GrapevineTigah
quote:
So they are showing that they can learn. That's a good thing.
Or a better description is that they are following their own history and are too late yet again
Posted on 5/27/25 at 8:14 am to SDVTiger
I would call that a Trumpian description.
But, to be fair, think about the risk of being too early.
I wouldn't want to be triggering inflation by having rates that are too low.
But, to be fair, think about the risk of being too early.
I wouldn't want to be triggering inflation by having rates that are too low.
Posted on 5/27/25 at 8:21 am to GrapevineTigah
quote:
I would call that a Trumpian description.
I would call it a factual one. Crazy how this subject has brought you out to post since 2003
Posted on 5/27/25 at 8:25 am to SDVTiger
I've retired. Interest rates impact me more now.
Posted on 5/27/25 at 8:32 am to GrapevineTigah
quote:
by GrapevineTigah
I've retired. Interest rates impact me more now.
Bull shite.
This post was edited on 5/27/25 at 8:34 am
Posted on 5/27/25 at 9:17 am to SDVTiger
quote:
remember when the Fed economists said inflation was tranistory in 21 and was the reason they didnt raise rates
To their credit. It was transitory until Congress passed the Covid bills and started pumping out PPP money and Stimulus checks. Fed was already under fire at that point though.
Posted on 5/27/25 at 9:42 am to Shepherd88
quote:
To their credit. It was transitory until Congress passed the Covid bills and started pumping out PPP money and Stimulus checks
So they couldnt see this would cause inflation and the need to raise rates
But they do know tariffs will cause inflation (after saying it was a one time hike) so they cant lower rates
Makes sense
Posted on 5/27/25 at 9:49 am to ynlvr
quote:RodgerTheDodo said the USD would see hyperinflation and be as worthless as he is
And none of us believed that to be true
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