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New D1 Baseball Projections: May 13

Posted on 5/13/25 at 2:45 pm
Posted by 3rdPart Tiger
Member since Oct 2007
6529 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 2:45 pm
LSU #2

BATON ROUGE, LA
1 LSU (2)
2 Miami
3 SE Louisiana*
4 Bryant*

RALEIGH, N.C.
1 NC State (15)
2 Florida
3 Connecticut*
4 High Point*

Florida as the 2 seed in Raleigh and Tennessee as the 2 in Morgantown paired with UTa would be interesting.
This post was edited on 5/13/25 at 2:48 pm
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
74330 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 2:46 pm to
We're good enough to beat anyone.

But I'd prefer not to have to face Florida in the Supers.
Posted by jpainter6174
Boss city
Member since Feb 2014
5957 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 2:47 pm to
Florida is hot right now...
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
74330 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

Florida is hot right now...


They started so poorly that it's clouding a lot of people's perception of them, but they've won 5 SEC series in a row. And that's more SEC series wins than Oklahoma, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Alabama, and Kentucky.

ETA: Florida is a game under .500 in conference and tied in series wins with Arkansas, who is 2nd in the league and has 5 more wins.
This post was edited on 5/13/25 at 2:53 pm
Posted by SEC Doctor
Member since Aug 2024
7043 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

BATON ROUGE, LA
1 LSU (2)
2 Miami
3 SE Louisiana*
4 Bryant*


I like the idea of Southeastern as a 3 seed in LSU's regional. Its ace Stuprich could cause some real problems in an opening game for a 2 seed. The #2 starter for Southeastern is solid, but nowhere near Stuprich.

Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
38741 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

We're good enough to beat anyone.

But I'd prefer not to have to face Florida in the Supers.

Posted by ehidal1
Chief Boot Knocka
Member since Dec 2007
37249 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 2:54 pm to
I’ll take whoever has the least amount of lefty pitching please
Posted by SouthEndzoneTiger
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2008
11167 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

We're good enough to beat anyone.

But I'd prefer not to have to face Florida in the Supers.


Agreed. Here are potential SEC vs SEC super match ups based on this projection:

Texas vs Tennessee
LSU vs Florida
Arkansas vs Alabama
Mississippi State vs Oklahoma
Vanderbilt vs Kentucky
Posted by 3rdPart Tiger
Member since Oct 2007
6529 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 3:02 pm to
Not sure if that’s more unfair to UF or NC State.

Florida’s RPI is #13 & ELO #7.

NC State’s RPI is #25 & #20 ELO.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
22876 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

Not sure if that’s more unfair to UF or NC State.


that boils down to Florida being 10th in their conference and NCSU is 1st in the toughest conference outside the SEC

Florida has a losing SEC record but could still wind up hosting a regional by selection Monday
Posted by LoneWolf
Member since Feb 2019
2260 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

Florida is hot right now...

Any team we meet in the supers will be “hot”
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
74330 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

that boils down to Florida being 10th in their conference and NCSU is 1st in the toughest conference outside the SEC


Florida State is first in the ACC. NC State is second, or tied for second, depending on how you look at it. They had two games banged for weather so it throws off the standings. And Florida State had a whole series banged due to campus tragedy.

The ACC is a bowl of frick, standings wise. But there is a lot of bad in that conference. Cal and Stanford are not adjusting well to the travel. Cal has a lot of talent too, and some sophomore middle infielders that everyone will be after if they hit the portal.

Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
45781 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

They started so poorly that it's clouding a lot of people's perception of them, but they've won 5 SEC series in a row. And that's more SEC series wins than Oklahoma, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Alabama, and Kentucky.



True but lets also put some perspective with that too. They have the fewest Q1 wins of every other team you mentioned outside of OU and Kentucky.

The teams they did beat during that stretch were vs Mizzou, @Starkville, vs Arkansas, USC, and @UT. They got smoked by OM, Vandy, Tenn, and UGA. All good teams

Arkansas has been bad on the road. Texas was impressive. But they did just lose their ace, and have been lucky as hell for the first 2/3 of the season.

Regardless, I dont want to see them in a SR either.
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
23777 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

Tennessee as the 2 in Morgantown paired with UTa would be interesting.


I'm expecting Tennessee to take 2/3 from Arkansas, then win enough in the SECT to work themselves into hosting.
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
23777 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 3:30 pm to
quote:


Regardless, I dont want to see them in a SR either


If we have to be paired with an SEC team give me (in order):

1- Miss St
2- Oklahoma
3- Kentucky
4- Bama

I would like to avoid anybody else if possible. But we kick any bodies arse regardless.
Posted by The Pickwick
Member since Jan 2025
233 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

I'd prefer not to have to face Florida in the Supers.


High Point would win that regional
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
74330 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

1- Miss St


I'm pulling for Mizzou to ride a hot streak and eliminate them from postseason contention.
Posted by terd ferguson
Darren Wilson Fan Club President
Member since Aug 2007
112252 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

I’ll take whoever has the least amount of lefty pitching please


Is that you Jared Jones??
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
74330 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 3:33 pm to
quote:

High Point would win that regional


Nah, but Wade Walton could make some money in the portal this summer.
Posted by 3rdPart Tiger
Member since Oct 2007
6529 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

I'm expecting Tennessee to take 2/3 from Arkansas,


I could see that if the series was in Knoxville, but idk with in being in Fayetteville.
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