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Started By
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What info is causing this betting market surge?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:45 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:45 pm
Polymarket approaching 69%, Smarkets 66%
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 6:49 pm
7
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:46 pm to OeauxMy
The realize (as always) Republicans outperform the final polls and Trump will win all the tossup states.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:47 pm to OeauxMy
People buying contracts on candidates they think will win.
It’s dumb on some platforms as the payout won’t happen until Jan 6th and the candidate has to be certified.
Very smart by the financial institutions getting all this cash to hold in the fed at 4.75 for at least 2 months lol.
It’s dumb on some platforms as the payout won’t happen until Jan 6th and the candidate has to be certified.
Very smart by the financial institutions getting all this cash to hold in the fed at 4.75 for at least 2 months lol.
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 6:48 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:48 pm to OeauxMy
Gamblers know the market. There not stupid. It’s there money.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:49 pm to jizzle6609
quote:
It’s dumb on some platforms as the payout won’t happen until Jan 6th and the candidate has to be certified.
The ones I’ve seen said once AP, CNN and Fax News all call
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:51 pm to KingOrange
quote:80% Trump mid-way Election night 2020
Gamblers know the market. There not stupid. It’s there money.
No
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 6:52 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:52 pm to OeauxMy
quote:
What info is causing this betting market surge
Any video of Kamala speaking
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:52 pm to RemouladeSawce
quote:
80% Trump mid-way Election night 2020
The 80% were right, no one predicted the water leaks and 4 states stopping counts at 2AM.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:53 pm to OeauxMy
WSJ has NC shaded blue…
If Trump loses there he has big problems.
If Trump loses there he has big problems.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:53 pm to KingOrange
quote:there,their,they’re?????
Gamblers know the market. There not stupid. It’s there money.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:53 pm to OeauxMy
Trump is running about 2% higher in counties in GA, flipped a NH county that was +5% for Biden. Winning FL by 10%. It's a bloodbath for Harris.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:53 pm to OeauxMy
There isn’t a single metric I’ve seen that favors Dems.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:56 pm to Geauxldilocks
quote:Then the experts should be pounding Kamala, no?
The 80% were right, no one predicted the water leaks and 4 states stopping counts at 2AM.
The odds are impacted by the same emotional volatility present in damn near every thread on this board
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 6:58 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:57 pm to jizzle6609
quote:
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
That is Poly
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