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Extra $: pay down mortgage or wait for this dip?

Posted on 8/5/24 at 8:06 am
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
5897 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 8:06 am
Got lucky was trying to pay principle down on mortgage so sold roughly 100k last week now into this. Is it more prudent to pay debt or buy shares after initial crash?
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
47395 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 8:11 am to
If we had a crystal ball, wish we could tell you.

Too many unknown variables of your financial situation to help you with this question.
Posted by BayouBengalRubicon
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2019
514 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 8:13 am to
In this current situation, I'd put that cash in an interest bearing savings account and wait for the market correction to invest that $100K and easily double it! Then harvest 100K and put it on your mortgage and keep the other half invested.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
92640 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 8:28 am to
It depends on the interest rate on your mortgage. If 3 or under, I would just keep paying it as scheduled. If 6 or greater, I would make extra principal payments. The middle ground is where it gets complicated. I still think that high yield savings and/or CDs would be smarter than reducing a tax advantaged debt service, particularly with a low rate.

Obviously, long-term equities are going to be better, so you could wait to buy back then. In the meantime, you will remain more liquid with cash equivalents and you can get a passable return in savings/CDs.

IMHO, anyway.
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
5897 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 11:01 am to
6.625 we’re trying to refinance but want to put 10% more down before we do
Posted by RebelExpress38
In your base, killin your dudes
Member since Apr 2012
13949 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 11:05 am to
There are rumors of emergency rate cuts, even if you wanted to continue with the refi you may want to wait to see if the fed announces anything today or in the next few days. Would change the math.
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
5897 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 11:06 am to
Yeah I told myself we will wait till end of sept at the earliest
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
92640 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 11:13 am to
You're still in that 7/5 ARM. I would just stay liquid until then. CDs, high yield savings. Cash is king in this environment

Now if rates get into the 4s before then...
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
5897 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 12:02 pm to
I have 2, 6/1 at 5% and 7/6 at 6.625. Trying to finance the latter
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
92640 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 12:23 pm to
Krikey, I forgot about the other one.

You're in 2 ARMs? At the same time? And you're already jonesing to refi the newer one?

I know you go into that one with someone els paying the closing, but I just wouldn't rush more borrowing right now. Too volatile. You want to refi that one into a fixed and under 5, IMHO.

Stack cash. You really can't lose stacking cash right now.
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
5897 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 1:14 pm to
The first ARM is a cheaper home and mortgage is offfset by the renter. The one we live in is the sucker we want to pay off and I saw that with closing estimated to be 6-8k it pays off in a year if we can get it to 6 or below
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
5897 posts
Posted on 8/6/24 at 10:47 am to
The physician Facebook group is now getting low 5, I think it’s time
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11713 posts
Posted on 8/6/24 at 11:20 am to
What is your mortgage rate? That is always key. If you have close to 7% or higher then I would definitely be making extra payments.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
92640 posts
Posted on 8/6/24 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

The physician Facebook group is now getting low 5, I think it’s time


Yeah, I would be much more excited for a refi from mid/upper 6 to low 5. That makes sense whether you refinance again in 6 or 7 years or hold it until term.

Obviously it is a new set of math, but you don't have to putt putt down. A drop of a point and 3/8, point and a half is a big deal with your principal balance.

Are you going to keep the same term or extend it to a new 30? I would keep the same end date, if it was me.
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
5897 posts
Posted on 8/6/24 at 1:08 pm to
Well we paid off 10% more so probably will do the shorter time frame since it doesnt really change the payment number
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
5897 posts
Posted on 8/6/24 at 1:09 pm to
6.625 arm 7/6
Posted by ItzMe1972
Member since Dec 2013
11532 posts
Posted on 8/6/24 at 1:55 pm to
Not a bad move.

You now have a guaranteed 6.625 return.
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