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Nate Silver’s latest election model update has Kamala Harris winning for the first time

Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:51 pm
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
179111 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:51 pm





Harris - 51%
Trump - 49%
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
465007 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:52 pm to
Trump needs to get his stuff together. He's turning back into bad Trump and it is hurting him
Posted by Drewbie
tFlagship
Member since Jun 2012
64505 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:53 pm to
Wake me up when Kamala reaches 63% like Hillary did.
Posted by cardswinagain
Member since Jun 2013
13165 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:53 pm to
I doubt it
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
86110 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:53 pm to
quote:

Trump needs to get his stuff together. He's turning back into bad Trump and it is hurting him


This means in reality he’s doing fine
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
76485 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:53 pm to
People will act like this is fake, but it isn’t.

This was a pretty straightforward and easy situation for Trump to win.

His antics are fricking it up and I am starting to believe he is doing it on purpose.
Posted by da foozball
Member since Nov 2012
662 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:55 pm to
Oh my
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
92936 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

Trump needs to get his stuff together. He's turning back into bad Trump and it is hurting him


Posted by TGK4LSU
Lafayette
Member since Oct 2005
2708 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:55 pm to
No surprise. The Republicans continue to be their own worst enemy. Nominating the one guy least likely to win is brilliant. Donald Trump has done more to elect Democrats than Democrats themselves.
Posted by ezride25
Constitutional Republic
Member since Nov 2008
26185 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:56 pm to
Such a bad candidate that somebody tried to shoot him and end his life, yeah?

I’d sooner believe you passed the bar than Kamala winning the presidency.
Posted by lsuguy84
Madisonville
Member since Feb 2009
26192 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:56 pm to
quote:

His antics are fricking it up and I am starting to believe he is doing it on purpose.


Take a deep breath
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
92936 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:56 pm to
So who should have been picked so they could guarentee a win?
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
66278 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:56 pm to
Trump's done. It's over.
Posted by CamdenTiger
Member since Aug 2009
65117 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:57 pm to
Wait till the market crashes and war kicks off…soon….,
Posted by lsuguy84
Madisonville
Member since Feb 2009
26192 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:57 pm to
Time to pack it in, in August
Posted by cardswinagain
Member since Jun 2013
13165 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:57 pm to
Here come all the cucks out of the woodwork. So pissed their RHINO candidates are no longer relevant
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
40853 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:58 pm to
quote:

So who should have been picked so they could guarentee a win?

The same folks who criticize Trump at every turn thought these guys were going to save America:

Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100201 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:59 pm to
quote:

Trump needs to get his stuff together. He's turning back into bad Trump and it is hurting him


You’re correct here. He was the best I’ve ever seen when Biden was still the nominee. It’s like he has imploded since Kamala became the presumptive nominee. He is back to the petty name calling and attacking republicans instead of his opponent. Focus on attacking her and promoting sound policy. It’s like he is worried about attacking Kamala because she is a woman knowing the media will go after him. I do like his outreach to black voters though, he has done well there.
Posted by lsuguy84
Madisonville
Member since Feb 2009
26192 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:59 pm to
Posted by Drewbie
tFlagship
Member since Jun 2012
64505 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:59 pm to
quote:

People will act like this is fake, but it isn’t.
Scruffy, you're the man, but this ain't it. You know damn well you can't trust these things.



This came out on November 8th, 2016.

Wanna know who made it? Nate Silver.

This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 6:00 pm
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