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Started By
Message

This is the nightmare electoral votes scenario.
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:10 pm
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:10 pm
Trump has to win one of 4 states to win. Pennsylvania, Virginia, Wisconsin or Michigan. He cannot lose all four.


This post was edited on 7/19/24 at 2:13 pm
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:12 pm to bhtigerfan
He will win 2 of those. At least.
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:13 pm to bhtigerfan
If VA goes Blue, the should be officially removed from the South
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:15 pm to bhtigerfan
He can actually win without any of them if he wins ME2 and NE2. That would take it to the House, of course, but I'm assuming a GOP majority in that scenario
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:15 pm to jrobic4
quote:
If VA goes Blue, the should be officially removed from the South
We should have already removed Georgia
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:18 pm to bhtigerfan
the fact that this is a very real possibility pretty much says it all about the current state of the union. and it only gets worse from here.
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:18 pm to bhtigerfan
I think he wins Wisconsin & Pennsylvania at least.
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:23 pm to bhtigerfan
I think it comes down to these 6 toss-up states. Trump either needs just PA, or a combination of any two of the 6 to win, except just NV and AZ, just NV and WI, or just NV and VA. Nevada and either MI or PA wins it also.


This post was edited on 7/19/24 at 2:27 pm
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:24 pm to JYD
Vance and Trump both repeatedly mentioned the battleground states in their speeches. The assassination attempt being in PA has got to impact those voters, hopefully anyway. I think he wins PA.
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:24 pm to jrobic4
quote:Bro, do you realize how many cock gobbling federal worker leaches there are in Northern Virginia?
If VA goes Blue, the should be officially removed from the South
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:27 pm to bhtigerfan
He can lose all four if he wins NH which is very possible.
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:28 pm to bhtigerfan
We need to bus a bunch of rednecks up to alaska to get a fourth seat up there.
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:28 pm to CR4090
quote:New Mexico is lost bro.
Why not New Mexico?
A whole state full of welfare recipients and whacko leftists.
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:30 pm to Bama Bird
it does go to the house in that scenario but the choice is made by state delgations, 25 or 26 of the state delegations need to have a majority of r's over d's', absolute majority means nothing, I havent looked recently but the house d's are heavily represented in a few states, which dilutes their strength when it comes to state delegations.
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:32 pm to jrobic4
quote:
If VA goes Blue, the should be officially removed from the South
NOVA voters control the political environment of Virginia. It sucks, but it is what it is. Outside of Blacksburg, southwest Virginia is super desolate and all of its career-focused residents are moving to NOVA for better opportunities
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:32 pm to bhtigerfan
New Hapshire may also be in play... on on poll after Debate and had Trump up...
other 2 polls on RCP from January and May
other 2 polls on RCP from January and May
This post was edited on 7/19/24 at 2:33 pm
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:34 pm to Dreamweaver
shite, you're right. GOP has a significant advantage
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