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re: PowerBall just short of $ 1 billion, Mega Millions at $20 million

Posted on 3/29/24 at 2:06 pm to
Posted by Longhorn Actual
Member since Dec 2023
966 posts
Posted on 3/29/24 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

An 85% chance of winning $240.0m has a value of $204.00 m. You might not be able to sell your chance for $200m, but you could probably get close.

But the big point was that you could sell your 85% chance of $240m for a lot more than $5.0 million.


Someone understands risk/decision models and expected values.
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