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re: Mortgage rates fall below 7% for the first time in months
Posted on 12/15/23 at 8:04 am to ronricks
Posted on 12/15/23 at 8:04 am to ronricks
Y'all think the proper damage has been done and/or the fed is just going to let everything reinflate? Something bad is brewing and bonds are outperforming equities. Powell just said higher for longer a month ago and now they talk rate cuts? Saw a quote that feels relevant: "The fed lowers rate at the end of an expansion, not the beginning of a new one."
I think a short term bull market may be here but something sinister is coming. I'm not some guru or genius so take this post for what it's worth but if y'all believe the fed engineered a soft landing then y'all have much more faith in them than I do.
I think a short term bull market may be here but something sinister is coming. I'm not some guru or genius so take this post for what it's worth but if y'all believe the fed engineered a soft landing then y'all have much more faith in them than I do.
Posted on 12/15/23 at 3:13 pm to itsbigmikey
quote:
Something bad is brewing and bonds are outperforming equities.
Are they?
Posted on 12/16/23 at 8:43 am to itsbigmikey
quote:
Saw a quote that feels relevant: "The fed lowers rate at the end of an expansion, not the beginning of a new one."
Not if you get a soft landing.
Look, the best thing you can tell yourself is the truth - in any given year since 1930, there is about a 15% chance you’ll have a recession. Throw all that prognostication out of the window and live with the fact that they’re all fairly random. We’ll have many more going forward. We’ll survive.
This post was edited on 12/16/23 at 8:44 am
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