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RCP POLLING AVERAGE - Swing states

Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:09 am
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
9820 posts
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:09 am
RCP POLLING AVERAGE (11/10)

Trump 45.6% (+1.1)
Biden 44.5%
.
4 years ago
Biden 52.1% (+10.2)
Trump 41.9%

• Georgia: R+5.5
• Nevada: R+4
• Arizona: R+3.7
• Pennsylvania: R+1.5
• Michigan: R+1
• Wisconsin: D+0.7

Electoral College based on polls
Trump 301
Biden 235

LINK
Posted by BigMob
Georgia
Member since Oct 2021
7625 posts
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:11 am to
Not enough to beat the cheat in many if not all of those states. (That’s if one assumes the #s are accurate.)
This post was edited on 11/13/23 at 8:50 am
Posted by TheFonz
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
20590 posts
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:13 am to
Trump or any other Republican nominee should be handing the Democrats a 1984-esqe defeat, but the fact that they are not means one (or a combination) of three things:

1.) Republicans really, really suck at campaigning
2.) It's all crooked as hell
3.) People really are that stupid
Posted by dietcoke7
LA
Member since Aug 2007
1071 posts
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:19 am to
The cheating will be massive. They got away with it in 2020, they know nothing to stop them in 2024 and they won't even try to hide it.

They will extend it to house and senate races.

Any polls you see with Trump ahead are designed to give the dems cover to take Biden out. They can't let Biden back in, die, and be stuck with Kamala for 8 to 10 years.

Trump may really be ahead but we will never know because polls, media polls, are designed to give an outcome, not reflect voter sentiment.

They can't let Trump back in.
This post was edited on 11/13/23 at 7:50 am
Posted by Perfect Circle
S W Alabama
Member since Sep 2017
6876 posts
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:21 am to
I wish it were true. You can go ahead and give Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan to the Dems. What does that make the electoral count?

Nevermind, I did the math:

Biden 281
Trump 255
This post was edited on 11/13/23 at 7:24 am
Posted by LSUvet72
Member since Sep 2013
12264 posts
Posted on 11/13/23 at 9:22 am to
Polls....... BCS !..


Before Cheatin' Starts
Posted by mtb010
San Antonio
Member since Sep 2009
4547 posts
Posted on 11/13/23 at 9:36 am to
If the actual real polling isn't somewhere with Trump 8-10 points up then everyone of those states will just be won by ballot harvesting, that simple.
Posted by DamnGood86
Member since Aug 2019
957 posts
Posted on 11/13/23 at 9:48 am to
Polling means nothing, it's not 1980 anymore.

Swing and a miss in 2016.
Base hit in 2020.
There will be nothing but grand slams for the Democrats until the voting system is torn down and built anew.
Posted by EarlDibblesJr
Big Thicket
Member since Oct 2020
337 posts
Posted on 11/13/23 at 10:06 am to
I'll believe it when I see it.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
75109 posts
Posted on 11/13/23 at 10:09 am to
Desantis is the ONLY one who stands a chance at beating Biden- tCult
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