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re: CFB Betting: Week 6
Posted on 10/5/23 at 5:02 pm to inadaze
Posted on 10/5/23 at 5:02 pm to inadaze
quote:
What's your strategy on the parlays? How many games?
I know you didn’t ask me, but with CFB I usually do two or three 2-3 leg parlays with spreads I like. This year I’m also doing a low stakes ML parlay that has been anywhere from 8-14 legs this year. The one I got screwed out of two weeks ago hit 8/9 (Minnesota screw me and The Egg). Last week I hit 13/14 with TCU deciding to go scoreless in the second half. This week my ML is:
+7460 (50% FD boost)
$3 to win $227, all ML
Kansas State
NC State
Central Michigan
UTSA
Alabama
North Carolina
Navy
Colorado
Georgia
South Alabama
Notre Dame
Ole Miss
Oregon State
Posted on 10/5/23 at 5:54 pm to High C
Yeah, I used to have success betting 3-game parlays well over a decade ago. That was black market betting through a bookie I never actually knew.
The college game was different back then. I could usually spot some mismatches. I kept up with recruiting and I actually worked for ESPN at the time. I had a free Insider subscription, and I was working on the website, so I was just swimming in info every day.
I had never done a parlay more than three games before this year. It has me thinking about different ways to possibly play it.
The risk to reward ratio is obviously appealing, but the odds are stacked against it mathematically.
It might be a better strategy in the long run to do individual bets if you're hitting more than missing, but never hitting the full parlay. Of course you could always put in a low-risk parlay on top of the singles. It seems like it might be worth playing with some permutations if you're doing more than a few games. Because the odds of hitting start getting really high as you add more games.
The college game was different back then. I could usually spot some mismatches. I kept up with recruiting and I actually worked for ESPN at the time. I had a free Insider subscription, and I was working on the website, so I was just swimming in info every day.
I had never done a parlay more than three games before this year. It has me thinking about different ways to possibly play it.
The risk to reward ratio is obviously appealing, but the odds are stacked against it mathematically.
It might be a better strategy in the long run to do individual bets if you're hitting more than missing, but never hitting the full parlay. Of course you could always put in a low-risk parlay on top of the singles. It seems like it might be worth playing with some permutations if you're doing more than a few games. Because the odds of hitting start getting really high as you add more games.
Posted on 10/6/23 at 10:56 am to High C
Georgia Tech screwed me out of a 16 leg ML parlay losing to Bowling Green last week. All other 15 hit. I usually don`t do that well on college, so i was really hoping for that payout.
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