This is a tough one because when you look at the make-up of the roster, this team should end up with a lot more wins than they most likely would. But there are so many unknowns. How will the defensive turnovers (staff & players) affect the defense, how will Carr play under Pete, will Allen get his shite together, was Pete held back due to limitations (decision making - Winston, physical - Dalton)....

This team should win 13
NFC South: 5-1 (@Car looks like it'll be tough)
NFC North: 2-2 (Det & @Minn)
AFC South: 4-0 (Catch Jax & Tenn at home)
NE, NYG, LAR: 2-1 (NE on the road will be tough)

Reality is I think 10 is their ceiling until you see more from this team

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Posted by GynoSandberg

Member since Jan 2006

72334 posts

Posted on 3/21/23 at 8:58 am to St Jean The Baptiste

There are still some huge holes to fill before we can start talking about W/L. We need to rebuild a lot of key depth

Will we draft BPA or draft to fill needs? How will we spend the remainder of our FA budget ?

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Posted by jepapo

Member since Sep 2022

142 posts

Posted on 3/21/23 at 9:06 am to St Jean The Baptiste

I'm going to go with a "Win confidence Percentage" to guess the wins this year:

@TB - 70%
TB - 90%
@CAR - 65%
CAR - 80%
@cATL - 60%
cATL - 75%
Bears - 85%
Lions - 70%
Jaguars - 70%
Titans - 75%
Giants - 70%
@Packers - 60%
@Vikings - 50%
@Texans - 80%
@Colts - 80%
@Patriots - 75%
@Rams - 80%

As an aggregate average, I come up with a 72.65%...

I'll say 12-5.

Look at this schedule... I'd say we can agree it's objectively "easier looking" than we've had for a few years.

We know the South is bad.
The Bears are bad.
The Titans are bad.
The Packers are down -- Jordan Love is no ARod.
Texans suck.
Colts suck.
Patriots still in post-Tom Brady funk.
Rams in a full-on rebuild.

As an aside, why the frick couldn't the NFC have been this watered-down during the 2017-2020 years?

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Posted by iBack8569

Member since Dec 2021

1330 posts

Posted on 3/21/23 at 9:18 am to St Jean The Baptiste

11-12 wins, plus the division title. I think this will be a different team from what we saw with this year's offensive debacle. Carr was a surprising addition and a major upgrade at a position of need. Carmichael just needs to make it work.

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Posted by Pedro