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Trafalgar (Cahaly) and Richard Baris careers are over

Posted on 11/9/22 at 3:59 pm
Posted by Jasonwilliamstaxes28
Houston
Member since Sep 2022
203 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 3:59 pm
Both lost thousands of followers overnight and have basically been in witness protection since last night. So embarrassing. Baris finally broke the silence this morning where he starting calling republican candidates cowards and claiming "of course, I was right" on Lake in AZ when he was virtually wrong on every state outside of FL.

The guy is such a mush it's insane. Now he thinks Masters is going to win AZ, LOL. He legit will not stop coping. We need to move on from these people.
This post was edited on 11/9/22 at 4:00 pm
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80859 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 4:00 pm to
A real shame considering Trafalgar was one of, if not THE top poller for the past 6 years. They whiffed harder than pretty much all of them this year
Posted by Ted Clubberlang
Alabama
Member since Jul 2020
436 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 4:04 pm to
Baw was probably right on his projections except for muh fraud
and there was plenty of it !
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
119638 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 4:06 pm to
Polling is difficult now because they think they are polling votes in many states.

They need to start polling ballots. Election are won with counting ballots.

Stop polling likely voters and/or registered voters for who the voter supports. There is not a one to one relationship between voter support and vote cast for the candidate. Polling voters is not an indication of who will win on election day.

Start polling NGOs. Ask them how many ballots they have harvested and processed and for whom. That's the new predictive formula for polling outfits going forward.
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39649 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 4:07 pm to
If you look at states like NH and PA, the amount of herding around the late Republican surge narrative is interesting.
Posted by Tigerhalen
Member since May 2020
980 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

A real shame considering Trafalgar was one of, if not THE top poller for the past 6 years. They whiffed harder than pretty much all of them this year

Trafalgar really didn’t. He was pretty accurate, and the ones he got wrong, the differences were within the margin of error and/or had a greater percentage of undecideds than difference between the two candidates.
Posted by Marciano1
Marksville, LA
Member since Jun 2009
18554 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 4:14 pm to
Trafalgar had Bolduc winning NH.



He lost by double digits
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 4:22 pm to
Baris is such a huge grifter this board sucks off
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89810 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

Start polling NGOs. Ask them how many ballots they have harvested and processed and for whom. That's the new predictive formula for polling outfits going forward.


Well, not everywhere. Just in Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Georgia.
Posted by Clemsontigers02
Member since Sep 2020
743 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 4:45 pm to
Agree. I don’t like the margin of error rebuttal. These polls have a 3-4% +/- MOE so of course the result will be within that…
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68775 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 4:56 pm to
Trafalgar had Zeldin tied, Dixon in MI +1, Lake +4, Laxalt +5, Masters +1, Oz +2, and Walker +3.

What a shitshow outfit.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80859 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 10:55 am to
quote:

Trafalgar really didn’t. He was pretty accurate,
quote:

Trafalgar had Zeldin tied, Dixon in MI +1, Lake +4, Laxalt +5, Masters +1, Oz +2, and Walker +3.
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