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re: Why is the weather forecast suddenly so bad
Posted on 4/25/22 at 6:54 am to TutHillTiger
Posted on 4/25/22 at 6:54 am to TutHillTiger
Old school Analog forecasters are better than computer model forecaster reporters. The later just reports what the models say. The former actually compares weather patterns similar over many decades.
Posted on 4/25/22 at 11:36 pm to CitizenK
Yes I agree but you can’t tell anyone that anymore. Just like some people are better at deer hunting, building things, fishing etc and some people like Nash Roberts, (undefeated against all computer problems for hurricane predictions ) are just better at weather prediction.
I am a fisherman not an offshore worker (did some rig work as a teen though to the jackal who brought that up. Ask anyone who is charter boat captain, or works offshore about weather forecast last few years.
I know that the EU and a lot of big private companies believed that there were serious errors in NWS forecasting programs in the 80s but of course NOAA did nothing about it, so the European wrote their own programs while business entity like chevron, Shell, Litton etc all put money into a private service, maybe this is a result of that, not sure but they suck now
I am a fisherman not an offshore worker (did some rig work as a teen though to the jackal who brought that up. Ask anyone who is charter boat captain, or works offshore about weather forecast last few years.
I know that the EU and a lot of big private companies believed that there were serious errors in NWS forecasting programs in the 80s but of course NOAA did nothing about it, so the European wrote their own programs while business entity like chevron, Shell, Litton etc all put money into a private service, maybe this is a result of that, not sure but they suck now
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