re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

On the Eastern front:

This guy's reports and maps have a history of being somewhat optimistic for Ukraine, but I think that he is correct about steady Ukrainian progress northwest of Svatove.

quote:

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AFU presence in Krokhmal'ne. By having control over it, Tabaivka, Pischchane and Berestove have to be under AFU control as well.

After 5 days of shelling and no proven RU presence i mark Pershotravnene, Cherneshchyna liberated.

I added yellow unconfirmed flags

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I think that Russians talking about pushing back Ukrainian forces south of Svatove (west of Kreminna) have exaggerated their success, but I don't think that Ukraine is making any progress there.

Of course, if Ukraine can take Svatove, then they can push south from there and pressure Kreminna that way, so Ukraine doesn't need to advance there right now if they are still making progress further north.

Remember, the way to think about Ukraine's strategy in the Eastern theater is to see Svatove as opening up the road to Starobilsk and cutting the remaining railway from Russia to the area, and Kreminna as opening up the ability to flank Severodonetsk and Lysychansk, recover those cities, and then push south to flank Russian troops outside Bakhmut.