re: Bama -4 tonight. Thoughts???

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The one weakness this defense has is they still give up open 3's. They been lucky so far that they played team who were not great shooting teams from 3. Bama will shoot alot of 3's tonight.

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LSU allows the most 3 point attempts per game outside of about 20 other teams in the country. Yet, LSU is 6th in the nation in opponents' 3 point %. After 17 games it is hard to completely attribute that to just luck. That's not to say Alabama could not go off at home. Because they are going to bomb away. It is what they do. But from a raw numbers perspective I think you could argue defending the 3 is one of LSU's biggest strengths, not weaknesses. Point being, EVERY team has shot a lot of 3's against LSU...and it has generally been to their detriment this season.

Alabama is averaging about 9 made 3 pointers per game. If LSU can keep them under that number it should give LSU a chance IF LSU's actual two biggest weaknesses don't manifest, turnovers and struggles with defensive rebounding. The way LSU defends should give them a huge margin for error offensively. Unfortunately, the offense has been so inefficient this season that they have gotten close to burning that margin of error often in SEC play (with the Tennessee game being the only real exception)