Favorite team:LSU 
Location:Portland, OR
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Registered on:10/7/2012
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re: Herman chose the easy road

Posted by nf on 11/26/16 at 1:07 pm to
Strong was basically the worst coach Texas had ever had by record, so no, Tom Herman probably won't be worse than him.
He was gone last year if he didn't beat A&M. He will be gone this year if they team continues to look this bad (and there's no reason to think it won't). It doesn't matter what it costs, money will be found if they lose four or five games.

re: Texas Was 5-7 Last Year

Posted by nf on 9/4/16 at 10:57 pm to
quote:

They also gave up 45.


They gave up 35 in regulation. You might also have noticed that they won. Would you rather lose a game where you only give up 20 points?

re: This draft proves one thing to me

Posted by nf on 4/30/16 at 2:33 pm to
Going on a three loss skid after starting 7-0 is pretty much the definition of "the wheels falling off." As in "things were going well and then the wheels fell off."

The weak starting schedule most years artificially inflates our rankings and then we come back down to earth when we get into the meat of our backloaded schedule.

re: My hat off to "The Hat"

Posted by nf on 4/16/16 at 10:55 pm to
quote:

I love how you have to have qualifiers for the stats to be in your favor. Not all conf schedules are created equally. Bottom line is lsu finished 4th in offensive yards per game and 3rd in offensive points per game.


You're comparing stats within the SEC then why not compare them WITHIN the SEC. Conference schedules aren't all equal, but they're certainly more equal than OOC schedules, especially within a division. Like, your argument is that conference schedules aren't all equal so we should include non-conference schedules too and make it even more unequal for....reasons?

re: My hat off to "The Hat"

Posted by nf on 4/16/16 at 8:17 pm to
quote:

You mean like our 2015 offense? The offense that finished 4th in the sec in offensive yards per game and 3rd in the sec in offensive points per game? The offense that has been good 2 of the last 3 years?


When you limit it to conference games only (take out the cupcakes) LSU was 6th in total offense in the SEC. Worse, they were 5th in the SEC west. If your quarterbacks are only completing half of their passes you don't have a good offense, no matter how great your running back is.
Chavis had his problems but his defenses were basically always in the top two in the SEC and top 20 in the nation, which is as good as anyone in the nation outside of Saban. The idea that a dude with a resume like Steele is going to be an upgrade over one of they very best DCs in the nation is dumb as hell. Steele is a good recruiter, but all the talent in the world won't matter if the coaching isn't there. He'll probably do okay, but the defense is going to drop off.
quote:

Wow lol, you are dumb arse frick!!! Jimbo has been telling all his guys that they can be the next Russell, Ponder, Manuel, and now Winston. First round QBs who have made millions of dollars. You know what the first 3 have in common, they all sucked arse in the NFL.

Or take Meyer for example. Come be the next Smith, Tebow, and at least one of his 3 QBs that have played will be a top 3 round pick. Both positions are loaded, yet they keep getting tons of guys to go there. Neither Meyer or Smith were worth a shite in the NFL (Smith is finally mediocre and only became serviceable after getting with Harbaugh).

Who cares what they do in the NFL? These kids see the draft picks and millions.



The kids we're recruiting now were 10 when Russell was drafted. That's half a lifetime ago to them and half of them won't ever have seen him play. God forbid they google him and learn what a gigantic waste of talent he was. He was drafted in the first by the Raiders, a team that made notoriously dumb draft choices and paid a huge contract that it would be impossible for any first round pick to get now because of the fixed wage scale for rookies. He's basically responsible for WHY huge rookie contracts are no longer a thing. He's a cautionary tale, not an aspirational one.

Matt Flynn was drafted in the 7th round. Zach Mettenberger was drafted in the 6th round. Players drafted in the 6th and 7th rounds are overwhelmingly likely to be out of the league within a year or two and will have made less than 1 million total in their time there.

Jimbo Fisher and Urban Meyer are getting good recruits because they have a history of producing good offenses and good college QBs. Les Miles doesn't have any such history, in fact LSU has largely been average to bad at the QB position since Jimbo left. Pointing to shite that happened in 2007 doesn't change that and thinking recruits care about that is hilarious.

Also hilarious is thinking that a) the top college players in the country aren't super competitive and are totally just playing to get a big NFL contract and immediately flame out or hold a clipboard for Aaron Rodgers and b) that we would actually want players for whom that was their long term goal.
Not directed at you, just didn't feel like scrolling back to find the guys talking about LSU QBs going to the NFL as if Jamarcus getting a shitload of money and then bombing out spectacularly is a good thing.

Or Matt Flynn being perennially mediocre. If we're recruiting dudes whose biggest desire is to hold a clipboard in the NFL he might be a good example.

But really kids don't want to come here because the offense has mostly been a wet fart for the past seven years and its hard to get excited about being responsible for orchestrating 400 toss dives a season.
Do people really think Jamarcus Russell and Matt Flynn are positive stories to tell recruits?

"Come to LSU, you could be the next worst bust in draft history (but without the millions because of the fixed wage scale for draft picks) or a perennial backup who couldn't make it out of preseason with the fricking Raiders! Feel the excitement!"

quote:

If the guy sucked so bad and was demoted the 1st time he was at Bama, why did Saban hire him back after his stint at Clemson? Answer me this.


He didn't hire him back as his DC. If we hired him as a director of player personnel or linebackers coach he'd be a fine hire. This is such a hopelessly stupid argument. He could be a bad DC but still be good at other things and useful to the organization.

re: Time to support our new DC

Posted by nf on 1/14/15 at 12:19 am to
quote:

Hurt feelings aside, it's hard to imagine Nick Saban having a guy on his staff that isn't very competent. Let's face it, Saban's known as a taskmaster and not in the business of making friends with his assistants. If you are there, it's because you bring something of value to the position. Just sayin.


Saban didn't have him on staff as his defensive coordinator, so I'm not sure how that's relevant. He may be very good at a lot of football related things, but the evidence from his career so far is that coordinating a defense is not one of those things.

Maybe he ends up being good, but it's still a bad look for a supposedly prestigious program like LSU to go digging around in another teams garbage for a hire.
It's not like they'd have won one if they went to LSU.

re: 2013 LSU offense's misconceptions

Posted by nf on 11/30/14 at 10:56 pm to
So no actual recognition of a record by the SEC. Gotcha. And now using conference games is cherry picking. Because conference games totally don't determine conference standing. You posted five times I a row with nothing at all to say.

Though at least now you've moved the goalposts from "the 2013 offense set records" to "the 2013 offense was good." It was good. It just wasn't the best, or even very close, in any metric.

re: 2013 LSU offense's misconceptions

Posted by nf on 11/30/14 at 10:16 pm to
quote:

No sec team plays the same schedule. Bama's east opp were at Kentucky and Tenn while lsu played Florida and at uga . Auburn played at tenn and uga. Who cared how many sec teams are in front of us. Doesnt change the fact that lsu finished very high in offensive stats last year.


Well we also don't play the same OOC schedule as anyone else, but you seem to think that those stats are meaningful. Conference play is literally what determines who wins the conference and SEC conference winners go to the NCG, so yes, I care about where we fit in the conference.

Also, Come on dude, Georgia finished 8-5 and Florida finished 4-8, neither of those were very good teams. And Georgia was actually one of the conference games that padded our stats because their pass defense was atrocious all year.

Best means superlative, number one, better than the rest. We were good, but not close to the best, even within our division. But I'd take that kind of performance every year without question. Sadly it's the exception, not the rule.

re: 2013 LSU offense's misconceptions

Posted by nf on 11/30/14 at 10:09 pm to
quote:

It isn't really arbitrary, centennials of carries are pretty standard measurements.


It's arbitrary because 200 carries is not materially different than 180 carries other than our preference for round numbers. It's also arbitrary in that a gap of 100 carries is relatively huge so the difference between 100 and 200 and 300 means that the strata are too broad to be meaningful. Rate stats will always be problematic due to questions of appropriate sample size, and Hill undoubtedly had a great year, but he wasn't even definitively the best back in the SEC that year.

And he still didn't make the rushing offense better than middle of the pack.

re: 2013 LSU offense's misconceptions

Posted by nf on 11/30/14 at 10:06 pm to
quote:

Rare? Its what every sec rb adheres to.


I can't find anywhere that indicates that the SEC recognizes this as a record, just some blurbs on ESPN. Please provide a link.

re: 2013 LSU offense's misconceptions

Posted by nf on 11/30/14 at 9:09 pm to
quote:

Wrong.


Nope. Limit the stats to in conference games only and see where we come out. Conference play is what matters, not stat padding against body bag opponents. When limited to in conference play only LSU was behind Alabama, A&M, Auburn and Missouri in YPA.

re: 2013 LSU offense's misconceptions

Posted by nf on 11/30/14 at 9:05 pm to
quote:

There is minimum (200)on carries since your ypc usually goes down with an increase in carries. Jeremy hill owns the sec ypc record.


So he set a record for a rate stat as long as you apply an arbitrary qualifier (which he just barely meets, at 203 carries)? We're meant to believe that he's better than Bo Jackson who had 7.7 on 158 carries? Or Felix Jones who had 7.6 on 154 carries?

Only a few SEC RBs last year had more than 200 carries, so it's a pretty arbitrary line to draw. And, again, Hill was very good, but the rushing offense as a whole was middle of the pack.

re: 2013 LSU offense's misconceptions

Posted by nf on 11/30/14 at 8:41 pm to
quote:

So being 12th in the country in yards per play, isnt close to being the best offense?


Fifth in the SEC, with three west teams ahead of us. You've got a funny definition of best. Take out all of the cupcake games and you get a better picture.

re: 2013 LSU offense's misconceptions

Posted by nf on 11/30/14 at 8:14 pm to
quote:

What? Jeremy hill set the sec season record for ypc, had the second best rushing season in LSU history, and has the second best yards per game season in lsu history.


Over his career maybe. Magee had a higher YPC than Hill last year. And a handful of other SEC RBs did as well. And Hill was very good individually, but we were still 28th nationally in YPA and 8th in the SEC when limited to conference play. Additionally, in conference play we had 50% more passing first downs than rushing. We had a lot of trouble getting yardage on the ground last year, hence the inflated 3rd down conversion stats.