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re: ** BPL Match Day December 4, 2013 **
Posted on 12/4/13 at 11:45 am to pvilleguru
Posted on 12/4/13 at 11:45 am to pvilleguru
quote:
I'm not even going to consider arsenal or Liverpool. Would have to drop a shite ton of money to make anything.
You can bet them -1.5 or -2 at even money or + money
Posted on 12/4/13 at 11:47 am to MillerMan
Yeah, but I'm not that confident they will win by that much. Especially with Liverpool without sturridge and arsenal rotating players.
Posted on 12/4/13 at 11:49 am to pvilleguru
You need to be careful with ManCity and Chelsea away too.
They have been completely different teams on the road this year.
They have been completely different teams on the road this year.
Posted on 12/4/13 at 11:51 am to lesismeaurx
I think i'll put 5 or 10 on a draw for both ManU and AV. Both are +230.
Posted on 12/4/13 at 11:52 am to pvilleguru
I bet Man U-Everton over 2.5 just because
Posted on 12/4/13 at 12:00 pm to pvilleguru
quote:
I'm not even going to consider arsenal or Liverpool. Would have to drop a shite ton of money to make anything.
Okay then these are your games then.
Manchester United v Everton
-Man U has been playing well but look at what Everton has done this year. It will be a tough road game for the Toffees but I feel they could snag a point. I say look for Man U to win or a draw from this fixture.
Southhampton v Aston Villa
- This is an interesting match for me, my gut say draw because I can't decide for sure who would/could win. I see the Saints and to me they can be a very dangerous team to anyone in the EPL with how they move the ball around and attack the goal. Yet in turn, the Villans can bite you in the arse with their counter attacking ability. Beneteke hasn't been on here of late, but he is due for a resurgence, plus Gabby and Weimann are back so if their midfield and defense can hold together and provide service to their attackers ... Aston Villa will surely score goals. Look for the Draw in this match given it's at Southampton or Aston Villa to pull the win late in the match.
Stoke City v Cardiff City
- The battle of relegation teams. So Cardiff have shown they are team that can compete they are still recently promoted. They have quality and seem to have the ablility to take over games at time with their movement. Frazier Campbell is a capable scorer and Jordon Mutch seems to have attack oriented mind as well. What worries me is the rest of the squad. On other hand you have the rough and tough Stoke squad that plays rugby more than football on the pitch. They will be a very hard team to score on given their physicality and defensive mentality to sit back. I don't see them scoring through open play but could be very Dangerous through set pieces. I say look for Stoke to pull it out or Cardiff to make it a game and earn the Draw.
Swansea City v Newcastle United
- Swansea last year was a very good side but this year they have had to worry about European competition and it has seemed to hurt them a little in domestic play. Though in stating this they are a team that plays attractive football through possession and have guys that can find the back of the net, Bony & Michu. Vice Versa you have Newcastle that aren't in any outside competitions and can solely focus on the league. They started off pretty slowly but have seemed to have found their form & rising in the table. Loic Remy is a class goal scorer with an eye for the back of the net. Look for Newcastle to pulls this out even though it's on the road.
Hope this helps
This post was edited on 12/4/13 at 12:04 pm
Posted on 12/4/13 at 12:03 pm to pvilleguru
If you are on twitter check out @ukbettingpro he does a breakdown of all the games before every round of games and is usually pretty good. He called Crystal Palace yesterday as pretty large underdogs.
Posted on 12/4/13 at 12:13 pm to MillerMan
quote:
twitter check out @ukbettingpro
JimmyK ?@ukbettingpro
quote:
Arsenal v Hull City
Over the last two and a bit seasons there have been 64 goals in the 23 home games Arsenal have played against bottom half teams. This Arsenal side is clicking so well at present you have to like them on the -1.75 line and if betting the goal line I'd rather have an over 3 ticket than an unders.
Liverpool v Norwich City
The EPL's version of Miami's Richie Incognito let us down on Sunday at Hull but the bully boy will be back this Wednesday night. The lights shining down bright at Anfield creates an amazing atmosphere. Norwich got a win at the weekend at home to Palace and that will do them for this week me thinks so don't expect the Canaries to warble much. The market lines surprise me. Not so much Liverpool -1.75 but the goal line set is at 3.25 so surely that factors in some chance of Norwich scoring? I can't see it. Take Liverpool to win easily but don't touch that high goal line.
Manchester United v Everton
Everton last won at Old Trafford back in August 1992. Given the Moyes factor though this game is a complete stay away for me. It's the kind of match where I can't grasp how the away team will be effected, if at all, by playing against their old manager I do like goals though as I'm not sure United are capable of holding off the physical Lukaku threat all night.
Southampton v Aston Villa
Last season the Saints did the double in this fixture, including a comfortable 4-1 win at St Mary's. The goal line of Saints -0.75 is fair given the fortunes so far this season but I still can't have myself backing Southampton outright a odds on or on this handicap line. Maybe a shade with the unders given Villa's recent defensive improvements and the potential for extreme caution from them early on in the game.
Stoke City v Cardiff City
Given the lack of recent head to head meetings there was only one thing I wanted to know going into this game. Historically, how do Stoke match up in similar situations? The answer is very well. Over the last three and a bit seasons Stoke have played 31 games at home to sides in the bottom half of the table. Their record is W16 D9 L6 which suggests that Cardiff will not get the win in this game. With that win ratio at over 50% and home win odds of around 2.2 the Stoke win looks decent value.
Sunderland v Chelsea
Chelsea have won eight straight trips to the Stadium of Light. They are arguably a better side than in recent years and Sunderland are much poorer. Away win for me. 7 of those 8 have gone over 2.5 goals but be careful with this Jose team. You may need a Sunderland goal for that to land!
Swansea City v Newcastle United
I'm confused here by the goal line prices I've seen. I probably shouldn't be as overs has gone 5-1 in Swansea home games this season. In 3 of the 4 EPL meetings of the sides only one of the teams has managed to find the net. I like the unders in this game. Swansea did the double over Newcastle last season and are sure to dominate possession in this game. If Newcastle are to win it'll need to be a smash and grab like they got at Tottenham. They won that game 1-0 after having just 35% of the ball.
Fulham v Tottenham Hotspur
I think Tottenham fans would have liked Chief a executive Daniel Levy make a swap deal before last weekend. Coach Villas-Boas for the now sacked Fulham manager Martin Jol. Spurs have won three straight at Craven Cottage and all of those games have cashed on the over 2.5 goals line. Fulham won the most recent meeting of the teams but before that had not won in eight. At such a ridiculous market price I think YOU HAVE to take Tottenham on. Fulham players are playing for their potential new coach and you have to wonder if some of the belief is beginning to drain away from the Tottenham players. That Tottenham -0.75 line is nothing short of madness.
West Bromwich Albion v Manchester City
City have traditionally struggled at WBA over the years but have always seemingly found a way to get the job done. I'd side with them to do it here again but I'd only want them outright and not have any piece of that -1 line.
Posted on 12/4/13 at 12:52 pm to glassman
Watching the Corsican derby (match being played behind closed doors).
Ochoa is fricking horrible now.
Ochoa is fricking horrible now.
Posted on 12/4/13 at 12:53 pm to McRebel42
our lineup:
szcz
jenks-per-kos-monreal
flamini-rambo
rosicky-ozil-santi
beowulf :barf:
szcz
jenks-per-kos-monreal
flamini-rambo
rosicky-ozil-santi
beowulf :barf:
Posted on 12/4/13 at 12:59 pm to Friend of OBUDan
quote:
beowulf :barf:
LET'S GO GUNNERS !!!!!!!!
I'm off to the pub. Three points boys and girl.
Posted on 12/4/13 at 12:59 pm to McRebel42
quote:
Swansea last year was a very good side but this year they have had to worry about European competition and it has seemed to hurt them a little in domestic play.
Laudrup bought a bunch of duds. He'll blame it on Europe, but it's the transfers that have caused this season.
Posted on 12/4/13 at 1:00 pm to Friend of OBUDan
For the Reds:
Liverpool FC ?@LFC 13m
Photo: #LFC's confirmed starting XI v Norwich
Liverpool FC ?@LFC 14m
Confirmed #LFC subs v Norwich: Jones, Toure, Sakho, Moses, Alberto, Aspas, Lucas
Liverpool FC ?@LFC 13m
Photo: #LFC's confirmed starting XI v Norwich
Liverpool FC ?@LFC 14m
Confirmed #LFC subs v Norwich: Jones, Toure, Sakho, Moses, Alberto, Aspas, Lucas
Posted on 12/4/13 at 1:01 pm to TN Bhoy
quote:
Laudrup bought a bunch of duds. He'll blame it on Europe, but it's the transfers that have caused this season.
I can see that but still think the likes of Bony will be good.
Posted on 12/4/13 at 1:05 pm to McRebel42
quote:
I can see that but still think the likes of Bony will be good.
He doesn't fit the style at all. And Laudrup trying to change the style for him is messing up everyone else.
Posted on 12/4/13 at 1:11 pm to TN Bhoy
quote:
He doesn't fit the style at all. And Laudrup trying to change the style for him is messing up everyone else.
That's where I see the problem is as well. That doesn't mean he's a bad player though IMO.
He would be better served at a Newcastle, Everton, West Ham, Aston Villa, etc.
Posted on 12/4/13 at 1:13 pm to McRebel42
Fulham XI: Stekelenburg; Riether, Hughes, Senderos, Riise; Parker, Karagounis; Dejagah, Kasami, Kacaniklic; Berbatov.
René is going to give Berbatov a chance.
René is going to give Berbatov a chance.
Posted on 12/4/13 at 1:16 pm to glassman
S lock of the day
WBA 1-1 citeh
WBA 1-1 citeh
Posted on 12/4/13 at 1:24 pm to McRebel42
quote:
That doesn't mean he's a bad player though IMO.
I agree. Actually, he's the best buy that Laudrup made this summer.
Ajaccio down to 10.
ETA: Ajaccio player just kicked the ball into his face.
ETA2: Ajaccio draw level. Completely against the run of play. 1st goal for them in this derby in 6 matches.
This post was edited on 12/4/13 at 1:39 pm
Posted on 12/4/13 at 1:46 pm to TN Bhoy
Howard Webb just repaired one of the nets at the Liberty.
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