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re: Yep, Rasmussen admits the polling was too far left again. This is how they help democrats.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 9:31 am to Tuscaloosa
Posted on 10/31/24 at 9:31 am to Tuscaloosa
quote:
He also mentioned that he believes there is an organized effort among Democrats to deliberately distort polling numbers by taking advantage of a few key weaknesses that pollsters have when attempting to conduct these polls.
What does that mean? Polls are under polling or over polling Trump?
0
Posted on 10/31/24 at 9:34 am to Timeoday
Don't worry about it- it is a blessing in disguise.
With early and mail in voting now if the polls showed Trump ahead, way ahead, or far ahead it would severely dampen turnout and enthusiasm.
Even more so for Trump who's campaign is, in part along with some very different policies, based on an "us against them mentality".
With early and mail in voting now if the polls showed Trump ahead, way ahead, or far ahead it would severely dampen turnout and enthusiasm.
Even more so for Trump who's campaign is, in part along with some very different policies, based on an "us against them mentality".
Posted on 10/31/24 at 9:35 am to Timeoday
Had a great video drop. He has processed 7 / 12 States... Most will not watch
Here are the cliff notes:
Trump still up in his numbers. Several polls still shilling for democrats creating noise.
+ He believes Arizona will go (Trump)
+ He believes Georgia is no longer in play (Trump)
+ He believes North Carolina is no longer in play (Trump)
. He believes Virginia is in play and Trump has a great chance to flip
. Likewise with New Hampshire... he believes is in play and Trump has a great chance to flip.
- New Mexico is in play is likely to remain for Harris
- He believes Michigan is most likely to Harris but Trump has a 50-50 shot.
He will have Pennsylvania out tonight.
Fun Poll fact of the Day - 'How important is it to prevent cheating in elections?'
Republicans - 86%
Independants - 85%
Democrats - 70%
EDIT: removed duplicate NC, added NM and AZ
Here are the cliff notes:
Trump still up in his numbers. Several polls still shilling for democrats creating noise.
+ He believes Arizona will go (Trump)
+ He believes Georgia is no longer in play (Trump)
+ He believes North Carolina is no longer in play (Trump)
. He believes Virginia is in play and Trump has a great chance to flip
. Likewise with New Hampshire... he believes is in play and Trump has a great chance to flip.
- New Mexico is in play is likely to remain for Harris
- He believes Michigan is most likely to Harris but Trump has a 50-50 shot.
He will have Pennsylvania out tonight.
Fun Poll fact of the Day - 'How important is it to prevent cheating in elections?'
Republicans - 86%
Independants - 85%
Democrats - 70%
EDIT: removed duplicate NC, added NM and AZ
This post was edited on 10/31/24 at 9:44 am
Posted on 10/31/24 at 9:42 am to Timeoday
It’s getting more and more difficult to poll. Democrat Karens are far more likely to answer the polling than just about anybody else. Every other demographic is too busy deleting every political text, voicemail they get.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 9:51 am to lionward2014
I think the takeaway, for me at least, is that traditional polling methodology doesn’t work when Trump is on the ballot.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 9:56 am to Timeoday
quote:This information helps how? Won’t the Democratic apparatus manufacture ballots accordingly achieving the numbers needed to win? They’ll be counting for days if not weeks in some places.
The 2024 Pennsylvania Republican vs Democrat vote is now over 500k better than the same day in 2020, when Biden’s victory margin was only 80k!
Moreover, yesterday there were more Republican early votes than Democrat.
Pennsylvania will be a decisive Republican victory.
Maybe I’m overestimating the abilities of the enemy. I’m nervous.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 10:34 am to Mr. Misanthrope
quote:
Won’t the Democratic apparatus manufacture ballots accordingly achieving the numbers needed to win?
In 2020 they needed to make up 15k votes for the candidate polling ahead. Still sketchy but within the margins of believable. If they need to make up 50-100k votes and they are all coming in at midnight for the person trailing in the polling at a 97% clip that makes it a lot hard to pass off as believable.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 6:12 pm to lionward2014
quote:
If they need to make up 50-100k votes and they are all coming in at midnight for the person trailing in the polling at a 97% clip that makes it a lot hard to pass off as believable.
I see what you’re saying. The statistical graphics in 2020 were unbelievable in many cases. How much more unbelievable will they have to be in order for effective intervention?
What’s the mechanism to challenge and overturn? What’s the cause of action in civil lawsuits? Not that these numbers “are unbelievable”. Can anyone bring criminal charges that can stick and be proven if they’re denied standing?
The media will undoubtedly drive the narrative for the Democrats benefit despite late outlandish numbers falling at near 100% for Harris.
Too many of us are assuming we are dealing with run of the mill, everyday sort of criminals and the unhinged. We’re not. These people are a higher order of evil by orders of magnitude. Russell Brand has called them and their actions “Luciferian”. I think he’s right.
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