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re: WSJ Editorial Board: "The Battle of Hormuz is Turning"

Posted on 10/3/26 at 8:19 am to
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
58117 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 8:19 am to
quote:

Not to toot my horn but I've known about this for at least 3 weeks now because I watch and only listen to sources that are reliable, they are trustworthy and they have been right about everything

Quit bragging. I read tigerdroppings, too!
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
58117 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 8:25 am to
This guy is not taking a minute to think about this. Flows through the Strait don’t hit the storage tanks in Europe, the Americas and Asia right away. It takes weeks to travel by ship, get piloted through local waters then offload. The drawdown reduction will lag the opening of the Strait by about two months, I guess.

The diesel supply is another matter that deals with a downstream product that has been beset by problems other than oil supply.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
58117 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 8:29 am to
quote:

More oil flowing is a positive sign but we can't afford more disruptions

Yes we can. It would be uncomfortable, but it would not be catastrophic if Iran pulled off some new strategy that shut down the Strait for a couple of weeks. I half expect it. Weather it; keep the pressure on them; and win!
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
133276 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 8:43 am to
quote:

So how do we get diesel down?


Russia has to fix its refineries that Ukraine blew up. That supplied a good chunk of Europes diesel
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
60662 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 9:16 am to
My working theory is that if outlets like the WSJ and NYT post editorials which give credit to GOP/Trump/MAGA/conservative leadership, then the benefits are probably greater than what they are admitting. For this, it would mean "The Battle of Hormuz" has already turned.
Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
10625 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 9:21 am to
Keep up the blockade and keep getting other countries to cut off trade.

Bomb the rail routes to China once the midterms are over.

They will wither on the vine.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
133276 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 11:18 am to
quote:

For this, it would mean "The Battle of Hormuz" has already turned.


We always controlled the strait

Sending a few drones to minimally damage a few ships never gave them control

Was just a matter of convincing the shippers that there wasnt much of a threat

Plus we probably got better at finding the drone and missile launch sites
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