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Started By
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re: Who's gonna win in the Tennessee special election?
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:02 pm to BoomerandSooner
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:02 pm to BoomerandSooner
Matt Van Epps (R)
49,123
Aftyn Behn (D)
46,246
49,123
Aftyn Behn (D)
46,246
1
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:02 pm to ned nederlander
quote:Wouldn’t surprise me.
Nate Cohn is really good at this. Current prediction is gop +5.7 when all said and done.
I suspect the initial dumps were mail in, which heavily favor D.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:02 pm to BoomerandSooner
Matt Van Epps (R)
50,594
Aftyn Behn (D)
46,593
50,594
Aftyn Behn (D)
46,593
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:03 pm to BoomerandSooner
Matt Van Epps (R)
52,591
Aftyn Behn (D)
47,175
Wayne County complete (3 of 14)
52,591
Aftyn Behn (D)
47,175
Wayne County complete (3 of 14)
This post was edited on 12/2/25 at 8:05 pm
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:04 pm to BoomerandSooner
Rural vote is about come in. I think this might go double digits for Van Epps
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:06 pm to SlayTime
Polymarket gives the Red team greater than 99% chance of victory.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:06 pm to SlayTime
Dems are hoping within 10 they can start the blue wave talk.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:07 pm to SlayTime
Matt Van Epps (R)
58,735
Aftyn Behn (D)
50,315
(4 of 14 counted)
58,735
Aftyn Behn (D)
50,315
(4 of 14 counted)
This post was edited on 12/2/25 at 8:09 pm
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:09 pm to BACONisMEATcandy
Matt Van Epps (R)
58,735
Aftyn Behn (D)
50,315
5 of 14 counted
58,735
Aftyn Behn (D)
50,315
5 of 14 counted
This post was edited on 12/2/25 at 8:11 pm
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:10 pm to aTmTexas Dillo
Matt - 54 / 44
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:11 pm to Jbird
quote:The fallacy there is to put their weight behind a “special election”.
Dems are hoping within 10 they can start the blue wave talk.
This is the expected result.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:13 pm to Scruffy
Matt Van Epps (R)
61,698
Aftyn Behn (D)
55,228
61,698
Aftyn Behn (D)
55,228
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:14 pm to BoomerandSooner
Matt Van Epps (R)
64,289
Aftyn Behn (D)
56,507
64,289
Aftyn Behn (D)
56,507
This post was edited on 12/2/25 at 8:15 pm
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:15 pm to Scruffy
When Davidson dumped their 1st 50% of their votes, Behn gained roughly 15,000 votes. With Van Epps up 9,000 votes right now, I am still worried. Hopefully the initial 50% was skewed badly by Dem heavy mail in votes.
This post was edited on 12/2/25 at 8:16 pm
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:16 pm to 98eagle
quote:I would bet you that all of that was mail in voting, which skews heavily D.
When Davidson dumped their 1st 50% of their votes, Behn gained roughly 15,000 votes. With Van Epps up 9,000 votes right now, I am still worried. Hopefully the initial 59% was skewed badly by Dem heavy mail in votes.
Unless you think Davidson will maintain a 85-15 D-R clip, which is a massive swing from 2024, there is nothing to worry about.
I think Harris took Davidson 65-35.
This post was edited on 12/2/25 at 8:17 pm
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:17 pm to Scruffy
Y'all are harping on mail-in voting, but it was primarily in-person early voting.
ETA: First data dump from Davidson was Aftyn Behn Democratic 17833
Matt Van Epps Republican 3052. That's 20855, which closely follow in-person early voting totals for Davidson LINK
ETA: First data dump from Davidson was Aftyn Behn Democratic 17833
Matt Van Epps Republican 3052. That's 20855, which closely follow in-person early voting totals for Davidson LINK
This post was edited on 12/2/25 at 8:21 pm
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:19 pm to 98eagle
Dont California my Tennessee… they have to go back
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:19 pm to BoomerandSooner
Matt Van Epps (R)
68,189
Aftyn Behn (D)
57,930
MS Now: Racism
CNN: Mysoginy
68,189
Aftyn Behn (D)
57,930
MS Now: Racism
CNN: Mysoginy
Posted on 12/2/25 at 8:21 pm to BoomerandSooner
I am curious where NBC is getting their numbers.
They are completely different from the TN SOS.
They are completely different from the TN SOS.
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