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Posted on 3/22/20 at 11:59 am to Boatshoes
Sort of glad this thread exists so we can see how the various comments in it age.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:13 pm to Boatshoes
How are you tracking CFR in this thread but it’s not being tracked in the stickied thread by chrome?
Just curious because I think that should be added to his.
Just curious because I think that should be added to his.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:21 pm to Magician2
quote:
How are you tracking CFR in this thread but it’s not being tracked in the stickied thread by chrome?
Just curious because I think that should be added to his.
I'm calculating it manually every day I update it.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:36 pm to Boatshoes
Can you post the trends of the last 5 days? Is it going up or down?
Posted on 3/22/20 at 12:46 pm to StormyMcMan
So for corona virus to be equally lethal as the season flu we would need the equivalent of currently only 1 out of 10 people with the virus are being tested positive.
We will have to wait and see on that one.
We will have to wait and see on that one.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 1:02 pm to Magician2
In general, it's been trending down. There were several new reported deaths overnight that bumped it up about a tenth of a percent. The rate of it's downward movement has decreased substantially as n has increased. As of right now, depending on what CFR you assign to influenza (0.002% or 0.1%), it shows no indication of getting anywhere near that low.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:18 pm to Boatshoes
1.23%
This post was edited on 3/23/20 at 6:03 am
Posted on 3/23/20 at 6:06 am to Boatshoes
Weird fap material.
Posted on 3/23/20 at 6:29 am to Boatshoes
quote:
In general, it's been trending down. There were several new reported deaths overnight that bumped it up about a tenth of a percent. The rate of it's downward movement has decreased substantially as n has increased. As of right now, depending on what CFR you assign to influenza (0.002% or 0.1%), it shows no indication of getting anywhere near that low.
It is way too early to put much stock in any of the numbers. Testing lag will continue to spike the cases up for the next few days, or even weeks. Then there is a 10-15 day period before a victim dies. The math says we won't see a spike in deaths for a least another 2 weeks. The final mortality rate will be drastically effected by how many acute cases can be handled at peak, perhaps sometime in late April.
.
Posted on 3/24/20 at 7:14 am to lz2112
quote:
It is way too early to put much stock in any of the numbers. Testing lag will continue to spike the cases up for the next few days, or even weeks. Then there is a 10-15 day period before a victim dies. The math says we won't see a spike in deaths for a least another 2 weeks. The final mortality rate will be drastically effected by how many acute cases can be handled at peak, perhaps sometime in late April.
We shall see where it all ends up.
Posted on 3/24/20 at 7:30 am to lz2112
quote:
Testing lag will continue to spike the cases up for the next few days, or even weeks. Then there is a 10-15 day period before a victim dies. The math says we won't see a spike in deaths for a least another 2 weeks.
Are deaths going to spike as we test more people? It makes sense that cases will spike, but are people dying of CV without being diagnosed?
I would think more testing = more diagnosed, but not more deaths.
Posted on 3/28/20 at 6:22 am to Boatshoes
N is now 104,837 in the US.
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:38 pm to MusclesofBrussels
quote:
which is where most of the deaths come from
Vast...VAST majority are old and/or significant pre-existing health issues.
Very few truly healthy people are sying from this.
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:50 pm to Boatshoes
You keep bumping your own thread? If it mattered others would do it for you. Chrome has more information and better so just go look there.
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