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Theories on why mortality rate is climbing? ref. Chromdome's pinned stats
Posted on 4/10/20 at 11:53 am
Posted on 4/10/20 at 11:53 am
For 18 days the mortality rate has climbed. It is over 3.5% now. Any theories?
Does anyone track whether the fallen had been given hydroxychloroquine? HCO+zpack, HCO+ other cocktails?
When will mortality rate start going back down?
Does anyone track whether the fallen had been given hydroxychloroquine? HCO+zpack, HCO+ other cocktails?
When will mortality rate start going back down?
10
Posted on 4/10/20 at 11:53 am to DougsMugs
Hospitals need that dough
Posted on 4/10/20 at 11:53 am to DougsMugs
We still arent testing healthy people with mild symptoms, at least 50% of infected have no symptoms and we are at the top of the curve
Posted on 4/10/20 at 11:54 am to DougsMugs
because nobody knows the actual denominator for the death rate
Posted on 4/10/20 at 11:54 am to DougsMugs
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
Posted on 4/10/20 at 11:54 am to DougsMugs
Because the numbers being counted now are including every sickness known to man, plus Wu flu.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 11:56 am to DougsMugs
That was always going to happen. It was at its trough while new cases were exploding. We know that the average time to death from first symptoms is around two weeks. So while we were adding thousands and thousands of cases to the denominator of the CFR, those cases were not at a point of progression to figure into the numerator.
The published CFR is of limited value in relationship to the actual CFR of the disease as has been discussed ad nauseam on this board. Only when we get some idea of asymptomatic prevalence of the virus will we have a better handle on it.
The published CFR is of limited value in relationship to the actual CFR of the disease as has been discussed ad nauseam on this board. Only when we get some idea of asymptomatic prevalence of the virus will we have a better handle on it.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 11:56 am to Cosmo
quote:
We still arent testing healthy people with mild symptoms, at least 50% of infected have no symptoms and we are at the top of the curve
If you look at the stats that he is tracking, the percentage of tests that comes back negative is increasing. Soi have no reason to believe that we are missing the mild cases in substantial numbers.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 11:56 am to Jack Ruby
quote:
Because the numbers being counted now are including every sickness known to man, plus Wu flu.
This.
At the end of the day, any stats generated about this crap should be viewed with tremendous skepticism.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 11:59 am to Boatshoes
quote:
If you look at the stats that he is tracking, the percentage of tests that comes back negative is increasing. Soi have no reason to believe that we are missing the mild cases in substantial numbers.
If a majority of cases are mild or don’t require hospitalization then are they ever being tested on a regular basis? There are so many stories about having symptoms and not being able to get a test so I’d imagine there is a decent %age that would apply.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 12:05 pm to DougsMugs
Simple math calculation with wrong denominator!1 - if you lag the deaths vs cases by 5 days you will see it falling.....as cases come down, unless you lag to allow for the time it takes for a hospitalized case to die
We have peaked....
We have peaked....
Posted on 4/10/20 at 12:06 pm to DougsMugs
Ventilators are a death sentence, but are still being used?
Posted on 4/10/20 at 12:06 pm to DougsMugs
Simple math calculation with wrong denominator!1 - if you lag the deaths vs cases by 5 days you will see it falling.....as cases come down, unless you lag to allow for the time it takes for a hospitalized case to die
We have peaked....
We have peaked....
Posted on 4/10/20 at 12:12 pm to DougsMugs
This happens with literally every country and case study. South Korea, Diamond Princess, Italy, China, France, etc.
Deaths are a lagging number. New cases will eventually start to fall but many of those new cases won’t succumb to the disease for 2 weeks or more.
Some say it’s because unnecessary deaths are being counted? Jesus y’all really have your head in the sand. Did every country do this in unison?
The mortality rate is much lower than 3.8% in reality as many many cases were missed. But expect this to happen in every situation, and it’s not manipulation of numbers it’s just common sense.
Deaths are a lagging number. New cases will eventually start to fall but many of those new cases won’t succumb to the disease for 2 weeks or more.
Some say it’s because unnecessary deaths are being counted? Jesus y’all really have your head in the sand. Did every country do this in unison?
The mortality rate is much lower than 3.8% in reality as many many cases were missed. But expect this to happen in every situation, and it’s not manipulation of numbers it’s just common sense.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 12:27 pm to WaWaWeeWa
They just allowed pharmacies to administer testing if/when kits are available.
That rolls out and a shitload of testing starts happening you'll see it drop.
That rolls out and a shitload of testing starts happening you'll see it drop.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 12:31 pm to Cosmo
quote:
we are at the top of the curve
I hope so, we should know for sure by the middle of next week.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 12:37 pm to WaWaWeeWa
quote:
Some say it’s because unnecessary deaths are being counted? Jesus y’all really have your head in the sand. Did every country do this in unison?
Nah it is the same group that denied there would be any deaths, then denied there would be 100, then 500 then 1000 and on and on.
They are far too emotionally invested to pull their head out of their arse this far into it.
It will always be muh this and muh that with them rather than simply admit the truth staring them in the face.
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