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the thing about the black vote: dems in huge trouble even if only 3-4% defect
Posted on 2/4/20 at 11:17 pm
Posted on 2/4/20 at 11:17 pm
If trump can get to 10-11% of the black vote, the dem's goose is cooked in november. In SEVERAL key swing states, dems need 93%+ of black vote to win.
Trump got 8% in 2016. If he can get to 11-13%, that's a huge issue for dems.
Their current coalition is built, mathemtically, on a monolithic black vote in places like milwaukee, detroit, philly, and rural VA.
Blacks are NOT woke for the most part. they care about the economy. If they feel their wallets are more full than they were 4 years ago, many will switch to trump.
If biden fails to win nomination, no way will dems turn out in big numbers for warren or sanders or butt.
Trump got 8% in 2016. If he can get to 11-13%, that's a huge issue for dems.
Their current coalition is built, mathemtically, on a monolithic black vote in places like milwaukee, detroit, philly, and rural VA.
Blacks are NOT woke for the most part. they care about the economy. If they feel their wallets are more full than they were 4 years ago, many will switch to trump.
If biden fails to win nomination, no way will dems turn out in big numbers for warren or sanders or butt.
3
Posted on 2/4/20 at 11:19 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
If I was a betting man, I'd take the over on 10% in 2020.
Posted on 2/4/20 at 11:23 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:i don’t care if it’s white, brown, blue or black. No one group should vote 93% the same. They need to think for themselves for once if they ever want to advance as a group
93%+ of black vote to win.
Posted on 2/4/20 at 11:47 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
President Trump will get at least 15% of the black vote in November. Maybe over 20%. For the democrats, black voter turnout will continue the downward trend that started with Hillary.
Posted on 2/4/20 at 11:51 pm to Saint Alfonzo
Trump will get 45% if mayor buttplug becomes dem nominee
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