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re: Texas Is About to Create OPEC's Worst Nightmare

Posted on 11/21/18 at 7:22 pm to
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
81611 posts
Posted on 11/21/18 at 7:22 pm to
And just like the PUF, you need an Aggie to manage it because you can’t do shite properly without adult supervision.
Posted by BFIV
Virginia
Member since Apr 2012
8676 posts
Posted on 11/21/18 at 7:29 pm to
Who and why would anyone downvote the OP???
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26431 posts
Posted on 11/21/18 at 7:36 pm to
How will this impact Tuscaloosa Marine Shale?
Posted by RTM4
Pflugerville
Member since Apr 2018
2287 posts
Posted on 11/21/18 at 8:34 pm to
quote:

And just like the PUF, you need an Aggie to manage it because you can’t do shite properly without adult supervision.


Here comes the aggys talking about how they are the best and brightest. My aggy spirit award.

Don't bring that cult shite into this discussion.
Posted by LSUgusto
Member since May 2005
19296 posts
Posted on 11/21/18 at 8:48 pm to
quote:

I tend to think shale oil has been marginally profitable at best although the end result has been positive for the country. I’ve been on working interest sides and seen how capital destructive many of these operators are. The Permian is really the only meaningful us tight oil field with any room to grow as the Eagle Ford and bakken are both past their prime. Shale gas is a different animal as it’s easier to move gas molecules through ultra tight rock than liquids. Rising interest rates will cut off capital to the shale oil drillers and we will see consolidation into the majors (who are prospect limited now) and growth will pull back to more sustainable rates. Base decline rates will be pretty steep by then and the growth will be over. It will end up being a good 10-15 year supply story but won’t make the us energy independent and probably won’t make much in the way of profits for investors along the way.
This is an interesting post. You sound like a numbers guy.

I'd like to see someone here refute your post, because history has shown that wildcatters have blown up theories like yours in the past.
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
14732 posts
Posted on 11/21/18 at 9:48 pm to
Don't know about refuting but in 2016 USGS estimates-Wolfcamp shale of the Permian basin (one formation of) 20 billion barrels of oil and 1.6 billion barrels of natural gas liquids. This is four times more than East Texas fields combined once depleted.

It will be producing for a while.
Posted by Arbengal
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
3440 posts
Posted on 11/21/18 at 11:04 pm to
There are few men in this world more industrious than the American Oil man. My father was one and he was a wonderful mentor. Not an ounce of bullshite in his demeanor. There is little they can’t accomplish when they put their mind to the task! God bless them all for the hardships they endure and the successes they enjoy. We all benefit from their ingenuity.
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
14732 posts
Posted on 11/21/18 at 11:07 pm to
As was my FIL, Gulf then as an Independent, and now our son in the Permian itself
Posted by Arbengal
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
3440 posts
Posted on 11/21/18 at 11:12 pm to
Awesome. They gain my highest respect!
Posted by offshoreangler
713, Texas
Member since Jun 2008
22538 posts
Posted on 11/21/18 at 11:25 pm to
Vitol...what a collection of assholes.
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
14732 posts
Posted on 11/21/18 at 11:26 pm to
Accidental thumb downvote, sorry

Yes, they are a hearty breed. Full of life despite her swings
Posted by BogeyGolf
Minot
Member since Nov 2016
974 posts
Posted on 11/21/18 at 11:31 pm to
quote:

How will this impact Tuscaloosa Marine Shale?
TMS is tough... expense AFE's. It's there just need higher $/bbl to make it worth the trouble.
Posted by baobabtiger
Member since May 2009
4934 posts
Posted on 11/22/18 at 5:50 am to
This will change the political landscape of the world.

Russia and the Middle East are about to lose all clout in Europe because they will buy from us.
Posted by Bubbles Up
Member since Jul 2011
2919 posts
Posted on 11/22/18 at 7:32 am to
And a lot of that oil is going to be exported right through the good ol’ Port of Corpus Christi!
Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
24107 posts
Posted on 11/22/18 at 7:50 am to
awesome news! Trump wins again.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
79232 posts
Posted on 11/22/18 at 7:54 am to
quote:

You guys will be an afterthought if the price/bbl keeps dropping. Sorry but that’s the reality of it.


Time to short TruckNutz.
Posted by Boatshoes
Member since Dec 2017
6775 posts
Posted on 11/22/18 at 7:57 am to
Let me know when gas goes below 2 a gallon again...
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52903 posts
Posted on 11/22/18 at 8:00 am to
quote:

frick the Permian...throw some love to us deepwater folks too.


Permian is the gulf’s worst nightmare
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52903 posts
Posted on 11/22/18 at 8:00 am to
quote:

Let me know when gas goes below 2 a gallon again...


1.98 Shreveport area
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 11/22/18 at 8:01 am to
Gas is $1.92 a gallon in Roanoke, tx.

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