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Predict the peak date and number of cases on peak day for the USA

Posted on 3/24/20 at 8:27 am
Posted by Baylor
Member since May 2009
523 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 8:27 am
What is everyone’s best guess on the date where we will have the most cases to where every day moving forward from that date it gets less and less and what is your prediction on the number of cases on peak day ?

Posted by Kankles
Member since Dec 2012
5915 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 8:30 am to
The day after tomorrow. 350 cases.
Posted by nerd guy
Grapevine
Member since Dec 2008
12717 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 8:32 am to
4/07/2020
Posted by Chef Free Gold Bloom
Wherever I’m needed
Member since Dec 2019
1364 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 8:32 am to
quote:

The day after tomorrow. 350 cases.


What is today but yesterday’s tomorrow. 69 cases.
Posted by Wally Sparks
Atlanta
Member since Feb 2013
29175 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 8:42 am to
4/6/20

175,000 cases
Posted by BigJim
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
14497 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 8:48 am to
Assuming you mean active cases

We are at 33k cases now on 3/24.

I predict 3 million cases by end of may/beginning of June.
If I had to put a date on it, June 1.

At that point (hopefully) recoveries will start to catch up and keep the number from growing.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
67964 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 8:51 am to
Passover
Posted by Disgeaux Bob
North Carolina
Member since Sep 2016
2833 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 8:54 am to
250k. 4/13/20

Mortality rate.006. (Half of current)
Posted by Baylor
Member since May 2009
523 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 8:56 am to
I’m giving away a $50 rasing canes gift card to the person who comes the closest
Posted by VABuckeye
Naples, FL
Member since Dec 2007
35561 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 8:58 am to
quote:

We are at 33k cases now on 3/24.


Link? I'm seeing over 46k cases and they haven't added yesterdays total yet.
Posted by Choot em Tiger
Member since Jan 2012
9775 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 8:58 am to
4/4/20 508k cases
Posted by BigJim
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
14497 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 9:00 am to
LINK

That's as of 3/23.

And they acknowledge there is a lag between state data and CDC data.

This post was edited on 3/24/20 at 9:02 am
Posted by BoomNation
wetumpka. alabama
Member since Feb 2015
2099 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 9:00 am to
Most states are laying out mid-may timeline! So ill go with may
Posted by VABuckeye
Naples, FL
Member since Dec 2007
35561 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 9:03 am to
That's noon yesterday. Add 12k to that number.

JHU Site

Worldometers
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 9:18 am to
quote:

I’m giving away a $50 rasing canes gift card to the person who comes the closest



In that case 250,000 on 15-April-2020
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