re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread

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Large quantities of Israeli weapons are being delivered to Iranian opposition groups via drones.

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Iran's new Supreme Leader has a fractured foot, a bruised eye, and facial lacerations from the same strike that killed his father on day one.

He missed his own succession rally. A portrait stood in for him while thousands waited.

Hasn't been seen in public. Hasn't given a statement. His own ambassador admitted he's "not comfortable to give a speech."

The man Israel promised to eliminate the moment he was appointed is injured, in hiding, and running a country under continuous bombardment from an undisclosed location.

Iran's Supreme Leader is a ghost.

Trump's verdict: without his approval, the new leader "is not going to last long."

NY Post

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The overwhelming support – reflected in the highest number of co-sponsorships in the Security Council’s history – sends a clear message from the international community to Iran.

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At one time, the Spanish inquisition had an iron grip on things

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The Neighborhood Battlefield: The War Has Reached the IRGC’s Repression Machine

This evening, the war in Tehran hit one of the Islamic Republic’s most critical vulnerabilities. According to the IRGC-affiliated news agency Fars, Israeli drones struck security checkpoints across the capital, killing roughly ten members of the security forces and Basij. Fars identified the strike sites as District 14 near the Mohallati Expressway, District 15 opposite the Hashemabad gas station, District 16 on Fadaiyan-e Islam Street, and District 1 at the end of Artesh Boulevard. Given the regime’s history of minimizing casualties in a crisis, the true death toll is likely higher.

This is not a side story. It goes to the heart of how the Islamic Republic preserves power. For days, the U.S.-Israeli campaign has targeted not only missile and command assets, but also the internal security infrastructure; police stations, Basij bases, and IRGC sites. As these fixed positions were thinned out under pressure, the regime transitioned to mobile checkpoints and roaming enforcement units. Now, even those fallback positions are being hit.

The Islamic Republic survives by controlling neighborhoods, not by missiles alone. Its real center of gravity is street-level repression: sealing off districts, intimidating families, and crushing unrest before it spreads. This is where many observers misread the war. They see that Iran is still firing missiles or broadcasting state television and conclude the regime is holding. But missile launches prove only that the state remains dangerous, not that it is stable. A weakened system can lash out even as the structures that make it functional break apart.

The real question is whether the state still possesses the tools required to rule: territorial confidence, a reliable coercive apparatus, and the organizational capacity to sustain them. In Tehran, those foundations are weakening. Today's strikes targeted the practical instruments of control; the same Basij, police, and IRGC networks central to the crackdown that killed tens of thousands of protesters only two months ago. These forces are deployed today because the regime expects another round of unrest and is desperate to prevent it.

The regime’s own language reflects this vulnerability. State television and official messaging no longer sound like the voice of a system at ease. Police Chief Ahmad Reza Radan has warned that his men have "fingers on the trigger" and will treat anyone in the streets as an "enemy," not a protester. This is the language of a frightened system trying to prevent the one scenario it fears most: mass protest from below.

A healthy system centralizes; a damaged system disperses. Across Tehran, fixed installations are being emptied in favor of smaller, flexible units because permanent infrastructure no longer feels safe. By framing these strikes as terrorism, Fars inadvertently exposed the truth: the regime’s local enforcement architecture has become the battlefield.

When fixed repression infrastructure is abandoned, and mobile replacements are under fire, the regime's most important instrument, the ability to rule a hostile society through force, is under terminal strain. The real story in Tehran tonight is that the networks used to slaughter protesters two months ago are being degraded, where repression actually works: the street corner and the neighborhood. If this pressure is sustained, these strikes could become a game-changing blow to the regime’s ability to crush the next uprising.

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Chris Cuomo claimed the American people are “overwhelmingly against” Operation Epic Fury.

Bill O’Reilly let him finish before dropping a blunt TRUTH BOMB: “The country wants America to BREAK Iran.”

“You only see the FANATICAL progressive left rooting for Iran.”

CUOMO: “Every poll I see shows two completely irreconcilable things. One is the American people are overwhelmingly against this.”

“They’re also against the regime existing. But against this because we are…we have PTSD from being in the Middle East.”

“But every base poll I see shows tremendous support for the president from the same voters, I thought, would be the most offended by this.”

O’REILLY: “Well, a Rasmussen poll just out today contradicts your analysis, but each poll is different and we have to take that into consideration.”

“It’s a 50/50 split. And I think that’s where the country is. The country wants the United States to break Iran.”

“Some Americans don’t want to pay the price for that. I think that’s an accurate assessment.”

“They don’t want to pay more for gas. They don’t want to see any casualties. They don’t want to pay attention to it. Okay.”

“But I think most Americans understand that the campaign is noble, that Trump is doing the right thing. But the right thing is always the easiest thing. Most of the time it isn’t.”

“From my experience across the board, most loyal Americans want the United States to BREAK Iran.”

“You only see the fanatical progressive left rooting for Iran. NO ONE else.”

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