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re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread

Posted on 7/13/26 at 9:09 pm to
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
12000 posts
Posted on 7/13/26 at 9:09 pm to
quote:

And I’ll add to this. Israel needs to tag in… it’s ridiculous that they wanted this and now aren’t getting involved. It was their main threat and now they are perfectly okay sitting this out.


Trump has asked them to stay out. He know if Israel gets involved, they will go straight for the throat of the IR and IRGC and he will be forced to go along with actual regime change, which seems to be something he has zero interest in doing at this point in time. I'm concerned that he thinks we can take the SOH and control it without eliminating the Islamic Republic and it's attack dogs. As long as they exist, SOH will always be at risk.

Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
12000 posts
Posted on 7/13/26 at 9:12 pm to
quote:

For all their “death to Israel” talk, they sure are shooting their wad at their own kind rather than those evil dastardly Jews they blame everything on.


They can play whack a mole with us for quite a while and the regime will survive and they know that. The moment they screw up and attack Israel, all hell will break lose in Tehran and Bibi will go at them with the goal of regime change. They know this, which is why for now they have shown some restraint.
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
12000 posts
Posted on 7/13/26 at 9:13 pm to
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
12000 posts
Posted on 7/13/26 at 9:14 pm to
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
12000 posts
Posted on 7/13/26 at 9:23 pm to
Posted by JasonDBlaha
Woodlands, Texas
Member since Apr 2023
5380 posts
Posted on 7/13/26 at 11:09 pm to
It’ll take years for the UAE to recover from this war if it were to end tomorrow.

Dubai’s image as a safe haven for tourists in the Middle East has been destroyed indefinitely. No one from Western countries will be visiting that city any time soon. The UAE government will have no choice but to shift their economy from tourism/real estate back to being a petrostate.
Posted by Stinger_1066
On a golf course
Member since Jul 2021
3957 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 5:59 am to
quote:

I’ll be honest, I’m surprised the Iranians haven’t struck Israel again.

For all their “death to Israel” talk, they sure are shooting their wad at their own kind rather than those evil dastardly Jews they blame everything on.


I'm not sure if they have the weaponry to strike Israel anymore.

The seem content to just send drones across the strait.
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
12000 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 7:21 am to
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
12000 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 7:23 am to
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I
quote:

ranians are forming armed groups to defend their communities and fight against the Islamic Republic.

The newly formed Qom Military Group, composed of families linked to the Javid-Naman-e Lor group, former political prisoners, and activists from Lor and Bakhtiari regions, has declared its support for the Lion and Sun Revolution.

The group says it is organizing to defend Iranians following the Islamic Republic’s massacre of more than 45,000 defenseless protesters in January.

It announced its formation on July 13, coinciding with the anniversary of the Bakhtiari conquest of Tehran, and vowed to stand against what it called the Islamic Republic’s “satanic regime.”
Posted by themunch
in motion
Member since Jan 2007
72978 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 7:57 am to
Good on the Iranians. I wish them much success.
Posted by B747Tiger
Member since Jul 2026
1164 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 8:01 am to
quote:

Dubai’s image as a safe haven for tourists in the Middle East has been destroyed indefinitely. No one from Western countries will be visiting that city any time soon. The UAE government will have no choice but to shift their economy from tourism/real estate back to being a petrostate.


Don’t be such a drama queen. They’ll be fine.
Posted by Raging Tiger
Teedy Town
Member since Jun 2023
1616 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 8:41 am to
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So now unless they can get into it with Iran they won’t allow additional refueling aircraft to stay in Israel.

I think this shows that they are unhappy they can’t rip Iran apart in their weakest state in years. Let them at it trump. Save us a few million.
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
12000 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 9:44 am to
quote:

So now unless they can get into it with Iran they won’t allow additional refueling aircraft to stay in Israel.

I think this shows that they are unhappy they can’t rip Iran apart in their weakest state in years. Let them at it trump. Save us a few million.


The original plan was to have only 20 tankers there, we currently have 34, which is taking up space at their airport. Their transportation secretary's concern is that that many planes will impact flights in and out of Israel during the peak of their tourist season. Ben Gurion is an international airport and not a military base.

The Israeli government has reportedly offered to allow us to use one of their air bases to host the tankers but so far we have not taken them up on the offer. Guess we will see where this goes.
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
12000 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 9:45 am to
It must be airport/airliner day in the Middle East...

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quote:

The Houthis have published a statement warning airlines against operating in Saudi Arabian airspace, stating carriers should "take our warnings seriously" until what they describe as the blockade of Sana'a International Airport is lifted.

The message follows yesterday's missile attack by Saudi Arabia targeting Sana'a International Airport and raising tensions in civilian aviation in the region. The Houthis have issued similar aviation threats in the past against Israel.
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
12000 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 9:53 am to
Oman has the sads and has cast their lot in with Iran.

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quote:

NEW: Oman’s foreign minister:

• Long held assumptions about Gulf security, including relations with the United States, should be reassessed.

• Called the Iran war “a war that should never have taken place.”

• Said Oman will work with Iran to establish a realistic, durable, and international law compliant framework to guarantee freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz.

• Argued Iran was never an existential threat, claiming “the greatest threats to Gulf security originate outside the region, particularly from Tel Aviv.”

• Described the war as “a catastrophe.”
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
12000 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 9:56 am to
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quote:

U.S. REFUELING TANKERS CAPPED AT BEN GURION AIRPORT

Transportation Minister Miri Regev says Israel will cap the number of U.S. refueling tankers at Ben Gurion Airport to 20.

“We promised that we will enable commercial flights and we will not cancel a single ticket because of American refueling planes.”

“Therefore I have given instructions that we will not allow any US refueling tankers to land at Ben Gurion Airport beyond the agreed number of 20 planes and the remaining planes will land at Air Force bases.”
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
12000 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 9:57 am to
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quote:

Translated from Persian:

According to our verified information from the military establishment inside Iran:

Between 80 and 90 percent of the regime's radar, maritime, and air surveillance facilities in the Persian Gulf region have been destroyed.

Between 90 and 95 percent of the IRGC and army's large and small naval vessels in the Persian Gulf region have been destroyed.

Between 70 and 80 percent of the IRGC and army's ammunition and fortified defense facilities in the Persian Gulf region have been destroyed.

A superficial conclusion without going into details:

Iran is currently in the Persian Gulf region completely exposed and paralyzed in terms of enemy tracking and surveillance, with no defensive capabilities left for any ground offensive maneuver.

In other words, command, control, coordination, defensive and offensive ammunition facilities will no longer suffice for a cohesive ground offensive.

Communication lines between forces on the mainland and the islands have been lost, and conversations via mobile phones are highly insecure.

Intelligence and operational warning:

There is a possibility that a limited amphibious offensive operation is underway.

Potential targets: Greater Tunb, Lesser Tunb, and Abu Musa, Larak, parts of Sirik, or even Qeshm and Kharg.
Posted by Raging Tiger
Teedy Town
Member since Jun 2023
1616 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 10:00 am to
I’ve been fooled before by these statements

Yet they still can accurately hit ships lol.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
27841 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 10:29 am to
quote:

• Said Oman will work with Iran to establish a realistic, durable, and international law compliant framework to guarantee freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz.


Oman wants to charge a fee for this "freedom of navigation" also.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
27841 posts
Posted on 7/14/26 at 10:34 am to
quote:

actual regime change


Yet that is the only thing that will guarantee that Iran gives up their nuclear ambitions.
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