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NYT: study: cancelling people’s medical debt has no impact on their financial situation

Posted on 4/23/24 at 6:44 pm
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69294 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 6:44 pm
quote:

Economists see inspiring John Oliver segment on debt relief, conduct a randomized trial to forgive $169 million in medical debt, find this has no effect on quality of life or future financial distress at all.






LINK

Summary of study:

quote:

Turns out the only effect of forgiving people's debts is this discourages them from paying other debts in the future.

Another lesson is that when people self-report that X issue is causing them to cut back on necessities like food they're probably lying.


quote:

An obvious problem with these programs is the only reason they can buy debts for pennies on the dollar is that they're already uncollectable and haven't been paid in years, so forgiveness has a low marginal impact on people's ability to spend.


quote:

A potential harm of trying to scale up a debt forgiveness operation is it only works when the debt is cheap, which it won't be if the market for it increases. And anything that makes bad debt less costly to medical providers nudges them towards producing more of it.
This post was edited on 4/23/24 at 7:11 pm
Posted by GoblinGuide
Member since Nov 2017
1605 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 6:58 pm to
So you're saying that he did an incredibly generous act for nothing?
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69294 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:04 pm to
His segment was about how medical debt was holding these people down and was why they couldn’t get ahead in life.

A study of *83,000* people (an insanely statistically robust sample) found no such improvement and their overall debt levels remained the same, no change in financial distress.

Basically, Oliver ignored the personal financial habits of these people and assumed the “system” was holding them down.

Turns out these folks were just bad with money
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71050 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

no effect on quality of life or future financial distress at all.


I'm a bit skeptical here because this is the one kind of debt that happens because you got screwed as opposed to making bad financial decisions.

Some people with massive medical bills are, by definition, in very poor health which limits their earning potential but that shouldn't be a large enough portion that Oliver failed to move the needle for anyone.
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
64332 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:07 pm to
He's been catching up on Marx it seems.
Posted by Tenn grad LSU fan
Wouldn't you like to know spazz
Member since Apr 2023
539 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:11 pm to
Why do you care for john oliver are you some kind of liberal
Posted by jizzle6609
Houston
Member since Jul 2009
4048 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:12 pm to
Honestly doesn’t surprise me one bit. Most people have zero self control and 99.2% of those folks just dgaf.

Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
20892 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:14 pm to
Shocker, people who don't pay bills, still don't pay bills when they get cancelled.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57223 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:14 pm to
Giving people”free” money will not transform them into responsible people. The opposite actually.
Posted by ChexMix
Taste the Deliciousness
Member since Apr 2014
24956 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:14 pm to
quote:

find this has no effect on quality of life or future financial distress at all.
If you believe the lie, then it becomes the truth
Posted by ChexMix
Taste the Deliciousness
Member since Apr 2014
24956 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:15 pm to
quote:

Giving people”free” money will not transform them into responsible people. The opposite actually.
Give me a million and I will prove you wrong
Posted by billjamin
Houston
Member since Jun 2019
12493 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:15 pm to
This isn’t really surprising. There’s always a ton of selection bias in these programs because they target poor people because it feels like the right thing to do. What I want to see is, what happens when you look at these as long term taxes rebates or deductions and to see if that might encourage people to fricking work and quit living off the welfare state that will just write off their hundreds of thousands in unsecured debt when they die.
This post was edited on 4/23/24 at 7:35 pm
Posted by PrecedentedTimes
Member since Dec 2020
3128 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:16 pm to
Can’t most medical debt just be ignored? Most states don’t allow you to be sued under a certain income limit, and ERISA protects most retirement assets up to like $1M which is way more than any perma-ill jabroni would have anyway
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69294 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:20 pm to
That’s the gist of the article

These charities are buying up the cheapest debt, aka the debt that hadn’t been paid in years

These folks already weren’t paying it, so paying it off for them makes no change to their life

The risk of these debt cancellation charities is that is makes bad debt less costly, so you get more of it
Posted by Tandemjay
Member since Jun 2022
2395 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:56 pm to
I believe this also applies to paying off someone's student loans.
Posted by JCdawg
Member since Sep 2014
7807 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 8:29 pm to
quote:

His segment was about how medical debt was holding these people down and was why they couldn’t get ahead in life.

A study of *83,000* people (an insanely statistically robust sample) found no such improvement and their overall debt levels remained the same, no change in financial distress.

Basically, Oliver ignored the personal financial habits of these people and assumed the “system” was holding them down.

Turns out these folks were just bad with money


Why do so many people believe the inverse of reality? Its insanity. People are in debt because they are stupid, lazy, and life choices.

You take everything away from everyone and in 1000 years you have the same bloodlines with the same success. These people just won't accept it.
This post was edited on 4/23/24 at 8:30 pm
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
36023 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 8:32 pm to
Garnishment and levies also aren't allowed in many jurisdictions for unsecured debts, which medical debts are. The medical provider can sue and get a judgment, but it's a piece of paper.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
50429 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 8:32 pm to
quote:

Turns out these folks were just bad with money


Of course they are. Anyone claiming to be "held back" by medical debt in the USA is an idiot. It can be discharged in bankruptcy.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
50429 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 8:34 pm to
quote:

I believe this also applies to paying off someone's student loans.


I disagree. Student loans are not dischargeable in bankruptcy. Our government has propped these debts up as special for no discernible reason.
This post was edited on 4/23/24 at 8:35 pm
Posted by Robin Masters
Birmingham
Member since Jul 2010
29749 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 8:44 pm to
So treating people like children causes them to act like children???

You don’t say.
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