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Posted on 10/22/20 at 7:57 am to ChexMix
quote:
this is where we are
CO as a tossup, but Florida and North Carolina aren't toss ups? That's nuts, dude.
Don't get me wrong, I do think Trump wins NC and FL but the idea that Colorado will be closer than those two is absurd.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 7:59 am to Big4SALTbro
quote:
Nebraska is a weird blue state
They split up their electoral votes partially by congressional district. Overall the state is extremely red but the district around Omaha is competitive. I think Trump won it by like 3% in 2016
Posted on 10/22/20 at 7:59 am to oogabooga68
Agreed. I’m an independent and was run off quickly. It’s the worst place I’ve seen. Which shocked me as SR is mostly Louisiana I’d think and didn’t realize so many liberals live there.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 7:59 am to FlexDawg
The thing I found fascinating about this map is that Democrats are such totalitarians. Notice no state “leans” or “tilts” Democrat. You have to be all or nothing with these people. No dissent tolerated. Amazing.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:01 am to ValDawgsta
His original map had Nebraska all blue.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:01 am to VoxDawg
quote:
It's certainly possible, but I think it's highly unlikely that Trump's margin of victory is that little.
I’d take it with a sigh of relief.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:05 am to TBoy
You seem to be a terrible person, but don’t disagree with this post. At all.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:05 am to Errerrerrwere
With the rampant cheating I’ll be thankful if Trump wins at all.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:06 am to boomtown143
My bold prediction is that New Hampshire goes to Trump.
Hanover, Manchester and Concord are normally full of liberal college kids that take pride in voting in NH.
With mostly remote classes, these students are not there.
Clinton won by 2800 votes. Hell, its not absurd to think Biden loses that many votes because he's not the first woman president.
Hanover, Manchester and Concord are normally full of liberal college kids that take pride in voting in NH.
With mostly remote classes, these students are not there.
Clinton won by 2800 votes. Hell, its not absurd to think Biden loses that many votes because he's not the first woman president.
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 8:08 am
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:06 am to FlexDawg
I thought the general consensus was that Trump was behind in battleground states?
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:06 am to Whodat4300
I left that board in 2006.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:06 am to boomtown143
quote:He lost by 2,732 votes. It was the closest margin of any state he lost. Yeah, i would say he has a chance
Trump does have a "chance" at NH.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:07 am to Errerrerrwere
Early signs Trump will win.
NH is around the same it was in 2016 (hillary won by 0.4% margin)
PA looks like it will go to Trump (I think it's going to be a bigger win than 2016)
FL, of course. No doubt in my mind it's going Trump. FL will be decided on the 3rd.
NH is around the same it was in 2016 (hillary won by 0.4% margin)
PA looks like it will go to Trump (I think it's going to be a bigger win than 2016)
FL, of course. No doubt in my mind it's going Trump. FL will be decided on the 3rd.
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 8:08 am
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:07 am to Whodat4300
why is SR so liberal? just a bunch of soys from metro nola on there?
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:07 am to anc
quote:Are they not there? Where are they registered?
Hanover, Manchester and Concord are normally full of liberal college kids that take pride in voting in NH.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:10 am to Jake88
quote:
Are they not there? Where are they registered?
They aren't there. Most are taking remote classes. They are home in New York, Vermont, Maine, Massachusetts and Connecticut.
The NH colleges - Dartmouth, UNH, St. Anslem, et al are really famous for registering their students to vote during presidential election years. Its likely that 15-20,000 students that would normally vote in NH aren't going to vote.
Hell, look at Hillsborough County, the largest county in NH. Trump won that county by 424 votes (around 200k total votes) There are 10 colleges in Hillsborugh County, including the two largest public and the second largest private college in the state.
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 8:14 am
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:12 am to boomtown143
The only worry is if it’s not new voters voting early then the turnout numbers won’t change much and you will have the issue of it being the same voters but the distribution of when they vote changes.
Also interesting in the early voting is it or at least what I have seen only shows by party. I think that is good news though for republicans as few will likely cross over and because trump performs well with old school dems he could be snatching some of those votes.
I would guess most people don’t flip flop registration unless they want to vote in primaries.
Then you have the independent and third party voters. I have a hard time seeing those break for Biden. They don’t hate OMB as a majority, when I think about those voters I think of people more interested in actual sound policy and results. The third party people are probably whackadoodles.
Also interesting in the early voting is it or at least what I have seen only shows by party. I think that is good news though for republicans as few will likely cross over and because trump performs well with old school dems he could be snatching some of those votes.
I would guess most people don’t flip flop registration unless they want to vote in primaries.
Then you have the independent and third party voters. I have a hard time seeing those break for Biden. They don’t hate OMB as a majority, when I think about those voters I think of people more interested in actual sound policy and results. The third party people are probably whackadoodles.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:12 am to TBoy
quote:
The map assumes that Trump gets every state in play and that Biden gets none.
CA, NY and HI are all in play so your statement is false
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:12 am to ValDawgsta
quote:Not really. Trump won NC by 3.8% and lost Colorado by 2.8%. Florida, won by 1.3%
Don't get me wrong, I do think Trump wins NC and FL but the idea that Colorado will be closer than those two is absurd.
I believe Trump has expanded support in all three states however, less so in Colorado. Thus the race will be closer in Colorado this year and not so much in NC and FL.
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