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Monmouth poll that shows 50% think they won't receive tax cuts

Posted on 12/19/17 at 4:50 pm
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81840 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 4:50 pm
Am I crazy, or will this poll be absolutely devastating to both the Democrats and the mainstream media if/when 80% or more of those who pay federal income taxes see a tax reduction and an overall increase in their take-home pay?

It really seems like the Dems are doubling down on a very bad hand here.

Am I overthinking this?
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81840 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 4:51 pm to
Follow up - it's clear that the Democrats' pivot if/when their narrative goes sideways is to have the MSM point out "well these cuts are temporary - they will 'sunrise'" in 2024.

That's not a great argument IMO either. 2024 is lightyears away politically speaking.
Posted by Bunyan
He/Him
Member since Oct 2016
20828 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 4:51 pm to
They will be surprised!
Posted by Iosh
Bureau of Interstellar Immigration
Member since Dec 2012
18941 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

Am I overthinking this?
Yes
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
260693 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 4:56 pm to
Most people are easily influenced and not very bright. Even if they bring home more money, they'll be convinced they arent
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
31898 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 4:57 pm to
Two things. It speaks to how bad the republicans are at getting their message out and the need for 45's tweets. Second is I agree absolutely terrible for dems. Once the public sees them for the liars they are trust will continue to erode in the dems and the media
Posted by Iosh
Bureau of Interstellar Immigration
Member since Dec 2012
18941 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 4:58 pm to
Also it's very tough to get over a bad first impression and the House bill was a sharp stick in a lot of people's eyes. Most of the pain was dulled out in the Senate and conference but the damage was done.
This post was edited on 12/19/17 at 4:59 pm
Posted by Papplesbeast
St. Louis
Member since Dec 2014
826 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

Am I crazy, or will this poll be absolutely devastating to both the Democrats and the mainstream media if/when 80% or more of those who pay federal income taxes see a tax reduction and an overall increase in their take-home pay?

It really seems like the Dems are doubling down on a very bad hand here.

Am I overthinking this?

It reminds me of the polls where many people said they hated Obamacare, but liked the Affordable Care Act. Regardless of which side of the aisle they're on, Americans are really poorly informed.
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79234 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

Most people are easily influenced and not very bright. Even if they bring home more money, they'll be convinced they arent



this should really keep expectations low

the idea that people are in a position to notice a decreased tax liability such that they can reward the party who made that happen is a little bit of wishful thinking, I believe
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81840 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

Two things. It speaks to how bad the republicans are at getting their message out and the need for 45's tweets. Second is I agree absolutely terrible for dems. Once the public sees them for the liars they are trust will continue to erode in the dems and the media


I agree the GOP message is abysmal, but maybe that will turn into a positive on this singular issue.

There's literally going to be like 40% of the population who is pleasantly surprised when they see their paychecks in a few months and they're going to realize that they were lied to blatantly by celebrities, MSM, and Democrats.

The takeaway is that probably just about every independent / moderate / "swing" voter in the country is contained within this 40% who has been misled by the left.

It could potentially bring on a huge anti-Dem backlash for the midterms.
This post was edited on 12/19/17 at 5:01 pm
Posted by BlackHelicopterPilot
Top secret lab
Member since Feb 2004
52833 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 5:00 pm to
"Son, for you to always have a job and be able to support yourself...all you have to do is be above average. I've seen the average American. It ain't a difficult hill to climb"


- BHP's dad -
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
260693 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

the idea that people are in a position to notice a decreased tax liability such that they can reward the party who made that happen is a little bit of wishful thinking, I believe


I think so to. It will still come down to a PR battle for influence despite any positive outcomes.
Posted by AustinTigr
Austin, TX
Member since Dec 2004
2937 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 5:03 pm to
My thinking exactly. I believe the more people who don’t believe they’ll get a tax cut and do, the better it is for the conservatives!
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

Also it's very tough to get over a bad first impression and the House bill was a sharp stick in a lot of people's eyes. Most of the pain was dulled out in the Senate and conference but the damage was done.



Why do you lie? The house Bill had bigger kickbacks for the middle class.

fricking piece of shite.
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
99074 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 5:07 pm to
I don’t think he even realizes he is posting lies at this point. He is too far gone.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
32096 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

Monmouth poll that shows 50% think they won't receive tax cuts



If true, this is the product of extreme fake news.
Posted by CamdenTiger
Member since Aug 2009
62449 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 5:13 pm to
Hmm. Probably 47%, that don’t pay taxes.
Posted by Loserman
Member since Sep 2007
21912 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 5:15 pm to
40% can’t receive a tax cut because they don’t pay tax
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 5:29 pm to
And the democrats are the only ones who would vote against making the cuts permanent in 2014.

“Oooh this republican bill is bad because it leaves us (democrats) with an opportunity to screw you over in 6 years”
Posted by OnTheGeaux
Har Tavor
Member since Oct 2009
3067 posts
Posted on 12/19/17 at 5:54 pm to
quote:

If true, this is the product of public schools.





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