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Started By
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Lads, what do you think of this polling news?
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:38 pm
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:38 pm
15
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:40 pm to Bunk Moreland
People vote their pocketbook. And everyone is broke right now.
This post was edited on 5/13/24 at 7:59 pm
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:42 pm to Bunk Moreland
If it’s true there’s no way Biden can win. The absolute worst polling for Biden is actually in a state he’s probably going to win in New York. On Election Day 2020 Biden was beating Trump by 28 points in the polling, and in the end beat Trump by 23 points.
Well now Biden is only polling 9+ over Trump which is a 19 point swing in Trump’s favor over the course of a single election cycle. That’s one in five New Yorkers changing their vote. And then consider if the polls are off by the same margin as they were in 2020, that means that Trump is only down by 4.
If that poll is accurate or off by the same margin, Biden isn’t going to win a single swing state and lose some strong lean blue states. That’s a death poll for Biden.
Well now Biden is only polling 9+ over Trump which is a 19 point swing in Trump’s favor over the course of a single election cycle. That’s one in five New Yorkers changing their vote. And then consider if the polls are off by the same margin as they were in 2020, that means that Trump is only down by 4.
If that poll is accurate or off by the same margin, Biden isn’t going to win a single swing state and lose some strong lean blue states. That’s a death poll for Biden.
This post was edited on 5/13/24 at 7:46 pm
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:43 pm to Bunk Moreland
I am motivated by people I hate
I want them upset and miserable
I want them upset and miserable
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:44 pm to Bunk Moreland
I think it means it’s likely Trump. The basics aren’t changing. Biden’s cognitive decline will only get worse. Trump is also a known commodity at this point. I don’t see much changing from here on out.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:44 pm to OMLandshark
If these are accurate, Trump wins the popular vote. And if he does that, I don't see how anyone can call the 2020 election legitimate.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:46 pm to Bunk Moreland
30 years ago: it’s over
Today: may not be enough for the 3am steal
Today: may not be enough for the 3am steal
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:47 pm to boosiebadazz
What if Biden is not the candidate?
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:50 pm to Badface
Well, that's what I was thinking. At some point, the DNC machine and/or deep state will either take down Biden with dirt, kill him off, or put U.S. troops on the ground somewhere.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:50 pm to Badface
Their only hope Obi Wan .......Otherwise this looking like a landslide including down ballot ....
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:50 pm to Badface
quote:
What if Biden is not the candidate?
Who are you going to get to beat him? Kamala? Mayor Pete? Gavin Newsom? Hillary? Their bench is empty.
Yeah I know people say Michelle Obama, but does she really want to be President? She saw what that job did to her husband, and I don’t think she wants any part of that. She’s not cut from the same cloth as Hillary Clinton.
This post was edited on 5/13/24 at 8:06 pm
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:51 pm to Badface
That means it Newsome or Kamala.
Kamala will turn off droves of moderates with her cringe disposition. Newsome will run away the fringe left SJW types because it means he was picked over the black woman.
Maybe the replacement could pull off a rally type run if Biden has an acute health event and there’s some sympathy baked into it.
Kamala will turn off droves of moderates with her cringe disposition. Newsome will run away the fringe left SJW types because it means he was picked over the black woman.
Maybe the replacement could pull off a rally type run if Biden has an acute health event and there’s some sympathy baked into it.
This post was edited on 5/13/24 at 7:52 pm
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:52 pm to OMLandshark
I think Big Mike would be the only one who scares me.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:53 pm to Bunk Moreland
Just give them five days and 10 pallets of absentee ballots. They will get it done.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:54 pm to boosiebadazz
quote:
Kamala will turn off drives of moderates with her cringe disposition
Kamala’s so bad that if she were the candidate, Trump is probably winning 40-45 states. Like New England (minus NH and ME), Maryland, Delaware, California, and maybe Hawaii, but that’s about it. The polling gets even worse for Biden once people start to think and realize that she will almost certainly be President if Biden is reelected.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:54 pm to boosiebadazz
That’s exactly what I told my colleague today. Their only chance is in the Great Lakes states and appealing to the AWFLs with the “stepping down for medical reasons”
AWFL: affluent white female liberal
AWFL: affluent white female liberal
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:56 pm to anc
They could maybe push the abortion thing, but that's an uphill battle now that it's protected in Michigan and I think also Ohio.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:56 pm to Badface
quote:
I think Big Mike would be the only one who scares me.
Also Michelle has never been challenged. She’s never been ripped apart by another politician or really a media figure save for internet trolls. I don’t think Trump has said shite about her, but once she enters the fray, it’s gloves off. I don’t know how Michelle will stand up to it. The media will try for sure, but hiding her I don’t think is going to work anymore than it did for Hillary.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:57 pm to anc
But I think it has to be acute. It can’t just be the continuation of this general decline; that looks dishonest as they’ve told us for a year that he’s fine.
It’s gotta be a stroke and a prolonged hospitalization “that came out of nowhere”.
Even then it’ll be tough to move away from Kamala being the acting POTUS but not the nominee. If she’s shoehorned into being the nominee, she’ll lose by 280+ EVs.
It’s gotta be a stroke and a prolonged hospitalization “that came out of nowhere”.
Even then it’ll be tough to move away from Kamala being the acting POTUS but not the nominee. If she’s shoehorned into being the nominee, she’ll lose by 280+ EVs.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:58 pm to Bunk Moreland
No chance Biden is the nominee.
I still think he drops out.
I still think he drops out.
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