re: Kim Dotcom: US has to rule world because without reserve currency status they’re bankrupt

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Attack the messenger without addressing the message is weakness

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He doesn't have anything intelligent to say. He attempts to masks his lack of substance with seldomly used words. And he's insecure, too. Instead of just saying, "Yeah, the immigration bit was wrong and stupid", he just denies that it doesn't alter his main point--which was stupid as well.

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I said in multiple posts that the immigration bit was a throwaway portion of the original post. Then said you were right.

And it wasn’t central to my actual point there. I have no idea why you are so obsessed with it. I don’t even dispute your position on the immigration thing. I just keep saying that it’s not a primary part of what I was getting it. It was just an errant attempt for a relatable comparison. Jfc

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It's not clear at all that China is doomed because of their present population issues. They could lose literally half of their population, and it'd still be double that of the U.S.

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I never used the word doomed. But population is exactly what we are talking about, and if China’s population falls by 50% in anything resembling a near term timeframe, they are beyond fricked. Doomed wouldn’t even begin to describe the negative impacts that would have on their political and economic systems.

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Whats more, the Xi regime is actively trying to reverse their trends, so the jury is still out on whether or not the policies will have a positive negative effect. There are all kinds of things, like raising the retirement age, that could buy them time, for example.

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Raising the retirement age does nothing to address the root issue. The gap is already there. They cannot fix the current population /demographic gaps. They can only fix it going forward, and that necessarily takes decades to accomplish. Their economy and political situation will suffer in the late 2030’s-2050’s from this problem. So will a lot of other countries, China’s issue is just more pronounced.

They’ll remain a global superpower on sheer numbers and technology, but they won’t be anywhere close to as pushy as they are right now.

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There's a model on Bloomberg that forecast that if they raised the retirement age to 65, they'd have over 600-million workers by 2050--the U.S. will be in flames by then.

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Sheer number of workers is a meaningless statistic.

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I'd bet before then, China, Russia, and India will have banded together to form a new international order.

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You’re a fool if you think India is trading the West for China or Russia, or that Russia and China’s interests align beyond resisting US hegemony.

China is literally a bigger threat to the Russian Federation than the United States, NATO, the EU, and everyone else up to and including the Klingons combined. The CCP just doesn’t need Siberia yet.

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It's not "irreversible". They can, and probably will, turn their demographic issues around by subsidizing their population to breed--they have 1.4 billion people, do the math. People in elite positions in the U.S. clearly don't think that China will have the economic issues that you're claiming because of population decline, okay? They have a vested interest here, and they think China can compete with the U.S.

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It will take two centuries or more.

China has existed in the modern world for a small; number of decades. They are fragile because of this.

There is no instant policy to correct their mistakes of 50 years ago.

In addition, their one child policy not only guided their doom it was compounded by their insistence on having MALE children.

In 50 years it will be no more than a historical footnote describing the absolute and total collapse of China