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re: Is there proof that CO2 causes warming?

Posted on 6/6/19 at 9:26 am to
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118812 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 9:26 am to
quote:

The science takes place in the collection and synthesis of that data in the first place.


Not to be a jerk but this is exactly where "climate scientist" get it wrong.

Collection of data does take place in science. However in science you develop a hypothesis (usually a model), test the model (by collecting data), and adjust the model.

Climate scientist are agenda driven. Climate scientist have cooled the past and warmed the near present to make the data fit their models. That is not science. That is fraud. Real scientists would adjust their models to fit the data. Not adjust the data to fit the models. In fact more and more temperature recording stations are being eliminated and the data is being replaced by modeled temperature data. More fraud.

The ultimate goal is to tax carbon on a global scale. There are many winners in this scheme and one big loser.

Winners:

Brokers on the carbon exchanges.
Governments that get to collect and redistribute the taxes.
Low class people that receive most of the benefits.
Climate alarmists who peddle the propaganda for grants from governments.

Losers:

Middle to upper middle class workers, which is most all of productive society.

Neutral players:

Oil & Gas companies...it's just a pass through cost to them.
The environment. Nothing will change.
Posted by Diamondawg
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2006
32250 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 9:29 am to
quote:

It’s everything after that where the science completely breaks down and it becomes the Wild West of alarmism, scare tactics and questionable motives. In other words, I came to feel they’ve gotten the diagnosis right enough to be taken seriously, but they’ve totally exaggerated the symptoms, the necessary treatment and the prognosis. By symptoms, I mean the reckless (even intentional) conflating of weather and climate (to be fair, skeptics do this, too). By necessary treatment, I mean the rapid decarbonization despite any negative economic impacts. And by the prognosis, I mean all of the apocalyptic Hollywood blockbuster type scenarios they’ve painted for a few decades now.


I am not a scientist either nor have I done the research that you have done but that's about as well put as I've seen. These threads on here aren't going to change the minds of the readers on here because everyone has their minds made up, already. It would take a fool to believe that man has had no impact on the earth since our beginning. But, if you fudge the numbers once then you've pretty much lost my support for any and all the numbers. If we are going to die in 12 years, then fudging numbers should not be necessary.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118812 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 9:41 am to
quote:

It would take a fool to believe that man has had no impact on the earth since our beginning.


That impact has actually been quantified:



LINK
Posted by Pectus
Internet
Member since Apr 2010
67302 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

Yep, still here.

More plants are growing is what I mean when I say the Earth is greening. LINK

This is just one link, but there are a lot of 'em out there about the Earth getting greener.



OK. Thanks.

I understand where you are coming from.

To talk about what I want to talk about, we need to talk about reservoirs and flux. Reservoirs are where materials are stored, and flux is the amount/amount of time it takes for materials to move from one reservoir to another.


A tree is made of living tissue and that tissue has carbon in it. That carbon comes from the CO2 in the air and is kept in the tissue as long as the plant is alive.

So, essentially what we are talking about here is a plant is a reservoir of CO2 for about 100 years (estimate). And that CO2 leaves the tree and is returned to the atmosphere once the tissues are degraded/metabolized during decomposition. The new reservoir of CO2 is the atmosphere, which was the initial reservoir that the plants built their tissues from. The flux that movement of CO2 for that plant over its lifespan.

Now think about this for all trees. If you think about it, in the long term, plants should be balanced in the amount of CO2 they take in and the CO2 they release upon death. So, CO2 in the atmosphere should be constant over a long period of time even if plants are present.

The CO2 is still rising and will continue to rise not from plants, but by short-cutting a longer reservoir to reservoir flux: hydrocarbons.

What if lots and lots of living tissue that were in a reservoir was locked away from any measurable flux until mountains were made, or streambanks eroded? Well, that would be balanced too, not a 100 years for a complete cycle, but 100s of millions of years to stay balanced. Humans have found a way to shortcut that system by drilling for these hydrocarbons and using them...creating CO2 putting it in a different reservoir (atmosphere) in an unbalanced way.



Yes, the Earth has had a higher ppm of CO2. Yes life thrived during those times. What didn't happen in those cases was a significant change in the flux of CO2 over short periods of time like we are seeing now, if that happens there's an extinction.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118812 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

So, essentially what we are talking about here is a plant is a reservoir of CO2 for about 100 years (estimate). And that CO2 leaves the tree and is returned to the atmosphere once the tissues are degraded/metabolized during decomposition.


That takes a lot longer than 100 years. It's how O&G is formed as hydrocarbon reservoirs.

Also don't forget about other reservoirs like carbonate formations. There is probably more inorganic carbon caught in rock formations on the earth than biological carbon. Coral reefs are an example. They appear to be doing better. LINK
Posted by Pectus
Internet
Member since Apr 2010
67302 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 2:41 pm to
Yeah, dude.

This was a reply to his question.

I can't cover every single thing.
Posted by zeebo
Hammond
Member since Jan 2008
5194 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 2:44 pm to
The difference between applied science, like the moon shot, and theoretical science like climate modeling can not be overstated.

Last time there was a flow release there was an extinction?

Theoretical nonsense.
Posted by Pectus
Internet
Member since Apr 2010
67302 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

The difference between applied science, like the moon shot, and theoretical science like climate modeling can not be overstated.

Last time there was a flow release there was an extinction?

Theoretical nonsense.


Again, that post was not for you. It was for him and him alone. You have to go back and read his original question to me.

That being said...how did the end-Permian extinction happen?
Posted by stuntman
Florida
Member since Jan 2013
9099 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 6:23 pm to
quote:

Now think about this for all trees. If you think about it, in the long term, plants should be balanced in the amount of CO2 they take in and the CO2 they release upon death. So, CO2 in the atmosphere should be constant over a long period of time even if plants are present.


First, thanks for taking the time to explain this.

Just a few questions, though;

I see what you're saying about individual plants, but what happens when the number of plants is growing at a pretty good clip like we have now? Isn't this action helping to diminish the problems you're talking about w/ more co2 eventually being put in the air? IOW, your post seems to indicate there is a zero sum game w/ the total number of plants on Earth. If I misread, then my apologies.

Also, more co2 for these plants makes them much more efficient at using water to survive. It's this a great thing for life on Earth?
Posted by zeebo
Hammond
Member since Jan 2008
5194 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 6:33 pm to
Volcano
Meteor
Activity or recent and controversial climate change theory.
It’s not subject to observation or experimentation.
Posted by LakeCharles
USA
Member since Oct 2016
5057 posts
Posted on 6/8/19 at 11:19 pm to
quote:

You can find some conflicting data out there, but the conclusion I came to is that it appeared reasonably supported in the data that there’s some correlation between CO2 and warming. So that component of the global warming theory I came to agree with.



And here is the problem. The data you are seeing is not data - it is data that has been tweaked and corrected and manipulated to show what they want you to see - which is a correlation of temperature to rising CO2. NASA and NOAA announce corrections fairly often, and every correction I am aware of either increases recent temperature or decreases historic temperature. Here are a couple of links that explain some of the problems -


61% made up data


More about made up data


quote:

It’s everything after that where the science completely breaks down and it becomes the Wild West of alarmism, scare tactics and questionable motives.



As an engineer - when you frick with the data, it is no longer science. When data is blatantly made up and added in a way to drive a conclusion and that conclusion is used to extract money from companies, governments, and individuals, many words can be used and science is not one of them.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123922 posts
Posted on 6/9/19 at 5:40 am to
quote:

...how did the end-Permian extinction happen?
If you have a provable handle on the Permian Extinction's initial cause, you should publish it!

quote:

Yes, the Earth has had a higher ppm of CO2. Yes life thrived during those times. What didn't happen in those cases was a significant change in the flux of CO2 over short periods of time like we are seeing now, if that happens there's an extinction.

It is a chicken-or-egg proposition.

As relates to the Permian extinction, was the CO2 rise a cause or a result? It almost certainly was a result.

Why?
Because (exactly as you are contending is the case today) rapid inexplicable rise in an atmospheric element like CO2 doesn't "just happen." It is caused.

In the instance of the Permian's final stage, the cause was most likely a massive impact with secondary transglobal volcanic eruptions and massive burns. Others suggest a supervolcanic eruption as causative.

As far as I know, we've not formally established the exact Changhsingian catalysis. Just that the catalyst was not an inexplicable, mystical, sudden appearance of massive atmospheric CO2.
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