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re: Iowa Selzer poll has Kamala in the lead

Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:56 pm to
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
58964 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:56 pm to
quote:

Dems would’ve been stoked if it was *only* Trump +3-4

It’s a newsworthy result from a quality pollster


Even Trump +3 doesn't bode well for the other Midwest states. He needs to win it by +7 or more, IMO. I'm just still scratching my head on how this and Emerson are incredibly different. If Emerson is correct, then Trump is sitting pretty.
Posted by Eric Nies Grind Time
Member since Sep 2012
25421 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:56 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 8:14 pm
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
38585 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:57 pm to
You’re gonna be disappointed bub

Even if he wins I won’t be crying about cheating that didn’t happen and kicking in windows at the Capitol

I’ll just go back to work and look forward to the next election, it’s a fun hobby
Posted by cajuntiger1010
Member since Jan 2015
13926 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:57 pm to
Cause everyone thought Hilldawg would win.

Now everyone thinks Trump will win
Posted by monsterballads
Gulf of America
Member since Jun 2013
31173 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:57 pm to
“The polling disparity between Emerson and Selzer on Iowa is a stark example of the games being played to manipulate public perception. Emerson has Trump winning Iowa by a solid 10.5 points—a clear indication of his strong support in the state. Then, suddenly, Selzer releases a poll with Harris up by 3 points, conveniently timed to create an illusion of momentum for her. This isn’t an honest reflection of voter sentiment; it’s an attempt to sway undecided voters and paint a misleading narrative.

For anyone paying attention, the media’s strategy is obvious: use favorable polls to boost Harris’s image and sow doubt about Trump’s lead. It’s a tactic we’ve seen before, meant to influence rather than inform. By pushing skewed data, they’re trying to convince the public that Harris is surging, even when the reality on the ground tells a different story.

Trump’s support in Iowa has been robust, fueled by policies that resonate with middle America and a track record of standing up for American interests. Don’t be fooled by last-minute polling tricks aimed at shifting momentum. The stakes are too high to let media manipulation distort the truth.”

From an x poster
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 6:58 pm
Posted by lsuguy84
Madisonville
Member since Feb 2009
26447 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

I’ll just go back to work


Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
38585 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:59 pm to
quote:

conveniently timed


Nope

We’ve known this one was coming, it’s an elite poll that people look forward to every election year

If anything Emerson releasing today was the oddity
Posted by BluegrassCardinal
Kentucky
Member since Nov 2022
1751 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:59 pm to
A BS suppression poll.

Harris isn’t winning Iowa
Posted by monsterballads
Gulf of America
Member since Jun 2013
31173 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:59 pm to
Atlas intel didn’t even poll Iowa lol
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Charlie Kirk's America
Member since Nov 2007
14623 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:59 pm to
Where is the other 9%?
Posted by monsterballads
Gulf of America
Member since Jun 2013
31173 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 7:00 pm to
These polls have people betting on Harris and it’s hilarious
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
83783 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 7:01 pm to
Trump won Iowa by 9.4% in 2016 and 8.4% in 2020.

He will win Iowa by at least the 2020 margin but likely much higher.

Anyone who thinks or says otherwise is hopelessly stupid.
Posted by monsterballads
Gulf of America
Member since Jun 2013
31173 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 7:01 pm to
quote:

Apparently a very reliable pollster


WHAT
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
108267 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 7:03 pm to
Seller blew up her credibility to energize blue voters
Posted by Vandyrone
Nashville, TN
Member since Dec 2012
7858 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 7:03 pm to
quote:

It’s silly season.

This. The next 3 days will be gaslighting at its finest. It’s a key part of the playbook. Like clockwork. Buckle up.
Posted by Bunta
Member since Oct 2007
12679 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 7:06 pm to
Lmao, a complete psy op poll. Absolute trash
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 7:08 pm
Posted by monsterballads
Gulf of America
Member since Jun 2013
31173 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 7:06 pm to
You’re going to keep seeing silly unserious “polls” in the attempt to sway voters and the election.

Atlas intel is who to follow IMO
Posted by Tiger Khan
Member since Oct 2009
2507 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 7:07 pm to
This thread needs to be deleted and people need to stop paying attention to this garbage
Posted by Bunta
Member since Oct 2007
12679 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 7:07 pm to
quote:

Trump won Iowa by 9.4% in 2016 and 8.4% in 2020. He will win Iowa by at least the 2020 margin but likely much higher. Anyone who thinks or says otherwise is hopelessly stupid.

And the electorate has only gotten more red since then. Absolute delusion to think this poll is anything close to reality.
Posted by Placekicker
Florida
Member since Jan 2016
12433 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 7:12 pm to
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