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re: I'll admit I'm totally clueless when it comes to oil trading...

Posted on 4/20/20 at 3:06 pm to
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
59650 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 3:06 pm to
Yea he did. That was a great comment
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
12336 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 3:06 pm to
Now it makes sense. Good explanation.
Posted by ClampClampington
Nebraska
Member since Jun 2017
3967 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

In other words, is now a good time to buy oil futures buying super low and holding on to the investment until the market inevitably rebounds and then selling at that time?


Short answer is no, because you would be buying June at $22, a $50 premium to the spot contract expiring tomorrow. That is why everyone is going to be looking at JJ oil prices over the next few days
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
59650 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 3:10 pm to
Bingo. The time to buy for may has passed. And it was never going to turn a profit
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30600 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

Yea he did. That was a great comment

Been there; done that. Those boys (hedge fund guys) play chess while folks like us are playing checkers. Your chances are better if you just get butt-arse naked and jump into a shark tank.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54752 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

Speculating on any commodity futures contract is very easy.

If you want to get to a million dollars doing that, the first thing you should to do is start with two million dollars...




Posted by ClampClampington
Nebraska
Member since Jun 2017
3967 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 3:15 pm to
You could take a spec position for later this fall and buy Sep for $30, but the market is still putting a carry into each successive futures month, so you are taking the risk of prices having to rebound and rise above the carry to recognize any gain
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
59650 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 3:21 pm to
no way is it worth the risk with flu season around the corner
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