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Started By
Message
If these uncounted votes are correct, then Walker is toast…
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:43 pm
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:43 pm
This post was edited on 11/8/22 at 10:44 pm
10
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:44 pm to finchmeister08
You want butter and jam with toast?
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:44 pm to finchmeister08
Shocker
Holding back mail in votes
Holding back mail in votes
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:44 pm to finchmeister08
But the overall has him +.4.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:44 pm to finchmeister08
Depends on where they are
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:45 pm to finchmeister08
Why our Dems so inclined to vote via mail compared to Republicans? Doesn’t compute.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:45 pm to finchmeister08
I’m not sure you read that graphic correctly
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:45 pm to finchmeister08
You sure, Election Day voting still has 28.4% to go and Walker has a near 20% lead in that area.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:45 pm to LuckyTiger
The problem is that a lot of that day-of vote is in blue counties even though in the aggregate it breaks for Herschel. It won't break as hard for Warnock as the early vote, but unless I'm missing something it's still going to grow Warnock's count and get him over 50.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:46 pm to Rtowntiger
quote:Blacks are more literary and prefer the written word
Why our Dems so inclined to vote via mail compared to Republicans?
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:46 pm to tigafan4life
quote:
But the overall has him +.4.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:46 pm to finchmeister08
quote:
Walker is toast
Always has been. AWFUL candidate lmao
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:47 pm to Hobnailboot
quote:
I’m not sure you read that graphic correctly
24.8% + 4.3% > 28.%
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:49 pm to finchmeister08
quote:
24.8% + 4.3% > 28.%
that's only true if the day of vote is from counties where the average that favors Herschel holds up
If it's from Gwinnett and Cobb and DeKalb, that won't be the case (and from what I can tell it is)
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:51 pm to Pettifogger
Should be enough non-metro counties for walker to push this to a runoff
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:52 pm to finchmeister08
Those are the percentages of each of those categories that are uncounted. You don’t add them.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:53 pm to Pettifogger
Walton just came in for Herschel and pushed him to 49.2. They're now showing 20-something thousand in Forsyth, which will break pretty hard for Herschel.
But I still think if the Gwinnett/Fulton/DeKalb numbers hold up - ie, 250k votes out there - there is no way we can match that and I don't see enough on the board to keep it below 50.
Now, I do think there is a reasonable chance that number is inflated and there aren't 250k votes left in those counties. But even if it's 150k - I still think we might be cooked.
But I still think if the Gwinnett/Fulton/DeKalb numbers hold up - ie, 250k votes out there - there is no way we can match that and I don't see enough on the board to keep it below 50.
Now, I do think there is a reasonable chance that number is inflated and there aren't 250k votes left in those counties. But even if it's 150k - I still think we might be cooked.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:54 pm to Pettifogger
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:55 pm to Vegas Eddie
quote:
Should be enough non-metro counties for walker to push this to a runoff
I'm not sure I see it if there are 250k Fulton/DeKalb/Gwinnett votes. There are also 70k Cobb. Those could break closer to 50-50. Fayette could break slightly Herschel.
Most of those rural counties have a few hundred to a couple thousand. If the metro outstanding is 100k, maybe we can hold on for a runoff. But if it's 250k, I don't see it.
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