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re: Here’s how and why our kids can’t buy a house. Thanks Obama.

Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:40 am to
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
467780 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:40 am to
quote:

Because construction foreman and major home builders like cheap labor and they are used to getting it


I said "open trade jobs begging for workers"

In addition to these construction jobs, there are millions of open trade jobs. Why aren't these kids taking them?
Posted by scottydoesntknow
Member since Nov 2023
10481 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:41 am to
quote:

I flip houses in the side and my dad has been doing it for 40 years. If you go back to the 70’s and 80’s, most construction crews weren’t made up of illegal immigrants. That has been a relatively recent trend and I can assure you there are plenty of Americans coming out of high school who don’t want to go to college but can make more money learning a trade skill. As a matter if fact, the state where my wife teaches is offering trades to high school students for free and can graduate high school with no debt and 50-75% ready for the workforce


Its sad but I hope its changing. There are ZERO white framing crews here...and there probably havent been for at least a decade. Even white trades guys...send mexicans to do the work under their umbrella. I had some young white plumbers swing by to give me their card. When I called for a quote, the dude wouldnt spit out his dip to talk to me and wouldnt even come by the house. Gave me an FU quote. They also probably would have just sent mexicans
Posted by Diamondawg
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2006
37227 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:42 am to
quote:

Then why aren't they taking the millions of open trade jobs begging for workers?
Video games in air conditioned homes their entire growing up years. Soft and can't do the work.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
467780 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:43 am to
Much more responsive answer than illegals.

Which raises the questions:

1. Why will removing illegals make these jobs attractive to these kids?

2. If "these kids" don't take the jobs, who will do the jobs?
Posted by Rip Torn
Member since Mar 2020
6012 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:43 am to
Well because the example I just gave you is a program that was launched two years ago in a rural Georgia county so, never did I state it was a federal initiative but it is a good start. You will have to take that up with spec home builders who think a roofing laborer is only worth 10$ an hour in cash
Posted by dickkellog
little rock
Member since Dec 2024
2021 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:43 am to
quote:

This is such boomerthink(Xers are just boomer light). "My son did it so everyone's son should"


my son is 30 he's married they're trying to have kids and he bought a house 2 years ago last year he made 160k he's a full stack developer and no AI is not going to eliminate his job just enhance it.

why did you plan on being a serf did you not have parents? i could have told you that being a serf has never been lucrative.just like being a school teacher.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135804 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:44 am to
quote:

This has been shown since the Great Recession when Millennials had their careers neutered and that discussion was dismissed.
Their careers neutered?

See, that's the kind of language that cultivates, in fact begs for, a lack of empathy.

The Great Recession was a ~2yr event. How would you expect folks who were subject to career disruptions of the military draft, the economic disruptions of the Volcker recession which registered an unemployment rate of 10.8% vs 10% in the great recession, etc. to respond to your contention those challenges were not career "neutering," yet TGR was?

The Great Recession absolutely sucked for Americans, younger Americans in particular. But to act like it was some sort of insurmountable career-ending mountain of challenge, is beyond the pale.

Posted by scottydoesntknow
Member since Nov 2023
10481 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:45 am to
quote:

In addition to these construction jobs, there are millions of open trade jobs. Why aren't these kids taking them?


Because for 3 decades we have talked about construction work as if its a prison sentence. Teachers would frame it as a punishment for not getting good grades and going to college.

Its a symptom of farming out cheap ugly, mass produced homes for decades instead of homes built by craftsmen who had pride in their work.

This post was edited on 7/26/25 at 8:46 am
Posted by Rip Torn
Member since Mar 2020
6012 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:46 am to
Correct
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135804 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:46 am to
quote:

Very few have had the negative impacts that the millennial generation has.
Oh my.
Posted by scottydoesntknow
Member since Nov 2023
10481 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:47 am to
quote:

The Great Recession was a ~2yr event.


And the "fix" was an even worse event that is going on 2 decades
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
298305 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:47 am to
quote:



Because for 3 decades we have talked about construction work as if its a prison sentence.


The jobs are there, people just dont want them.

Someone has to fill them.
Posted by 94LSU
Member since May 2023
981 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:48 am to
The 2008 bailouts that reinflated the bubble and kept it going began under Bush. Obama is a lot of things but the cause of the various housing bubbles of the past 20 years he is not.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135804 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:51 am to
quote:

the "fix" was an even worse event
Referring to the Obama election?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
467780 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:52 am to
quote:

Their careers neutered?

Yes

quote:

See, that's the kind of language that cultivates, in fact begs for, a lack of empathy.

No. It's data-based analysis.

It's about being on the wrong side of variance, not empathy.

quote:

But to act like it was some sort of insurmountable

Now you're creating a straw man and engaging in the emotional-based implications you tried to pin on me

Nobody said it was "insurmountable". I said neutered. Projected earnings were nerfed compared to those who didn't experience that level of recession (which was comparable to the Depression).

The double nut-kick was then facing the neutering in the Covid economy as that same population was in their career position to possibly make up for some of the neutering. Then add in the unique affordability crises with the inflation suffered as a result of the Covid policy and it's just unlucky negative externality after unlucky negative externality.

It's not about asking for sympathy; it's just asking for acknowledgment. Older people who had an easier path have something akin to a personality disorder that won't even permit them to admit their path was easier. Again, not about empathy, just honesty.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
467780 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:53 am to
quote:

Its a symptom of farming out cheap ugly, mass produced homes for decades instead of homes built by craftsmen who had pride in their work.

As we're discussing an affordability crisis, your solution is to make housing more expensive (on 2 sides, no less)?
Posted by scottydoesntknow
Member since Nov 2023
10481 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:54 am to
quote:

quote:the "fix" was an even worse eventReferring to the Obama election?


TARP and QE
Posted by Diamondawg
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2006
37227 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 8:55 am to
quote:

1. Why will removing illegals make these jobs attractive to these kids?

Back to my "maybe construction costs have been kept artificially low" due to millions of illegals. Without illegals, they will have to pay more and when the soft punk gets hungry enough, he/she will bow up and learn construction.
Posted by bluestem75
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2007
4964 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 9:01 am to
quote:

my kid bought a house 2 years ago he's 30


Glad to hear your kid is doing well.

But there are a lot of people his age making a great wage at half what he makes who still can’t afford a house. That’s ridiculous for someone making $80k/yr. The mortgage for a 40 year old 1800 sq ft house down the street from us that hasn’t been updated is $2500/mo. Half of that $80k/yr individual’s take home and they haven’t paid for utilities yet.
Posted by scottydoesntknow
Member since Nov 2023
10481 posts
Posted on 7/26/25 at 9:06 am to
quote:

As we're discussing an affordability crisis, your solution is to make housing more expensive (on 2 sides, no less)?


There arent overnight fixes to a decades long rot that has been festering.

If builders didnt have access to cheap, govt subsidized labor, there would be a much higher demand for individual trades.

Of course relying on cheap, govt subsidized labor for decades, then removing that would have a shock effect on the market.

You can mask problems for a while by just printing money...we are just now getting to the point where it no longer works
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