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re: Economy is recovering... Why lower rates?

Posted on 6/19/25 at 1:35 pm to
Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
4036 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 1:35 pm to
Rates should be higher
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
31340 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

I tend to agree with you, but Trump makes a real point that we could massively decrease our debt service by lowering just a single point or even a half point.



Heck think of how much we could save on future debt if we lowered it to zero!
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135699 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

Economy is recovering... Why lower rates?
For the same reasons discussed a dozen other times here in as many days.

High Fed Funds Rates add to the deficit and debt, both directly d/t borrow costs, and indirectly via slower economic growth.

We are $37T in debt. Interest (C-of-C) on that debt fluctuates with borrowing costs (treasury rates). Every 1% increase in our C-of-C on that total amounts to $370Billion/yr.

Here's an oversimplified version:
For FY25 our C-of-C has run about 3.2%. Unfortunately, approximately $9.2 trillion of outstanding marketable Treasuries will mature and require refinancing this year. With Fed Funds Rates now running 4.5% (1.3% about current borrowing costs), the Fed will tag taxpayers with an extra ~$100 Billion in additional deficit spending in FY26.

That's more or less just pissing away money.
This post was edited on 6/19/25 at 1:41 pm
Posted by bluewatersailor
Member since Oct 2018
596 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 1:43 pm to
Talk to a realtor, housing market is very soft. Prices still high, inventory low. People selling have low rates, can't buy at the higher rates or have to get smaller homes which most don't want to do. Housing market drives a huge part of the economy from Home Depot, Lowe's, appliances, drapes, small goods at Walmart, etc. Powell is a fricking TDS democrat.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135699 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

Heck think of how much we could save on future debt if we lowered it to zero!
Trump 45 did. When rates were low, he wanted to attempt to restructure the debt with longer term notes. Media "experts" called him an idiot for raising the possibility.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135699 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

Talk to a realtor, housing market is very soft.
Indeed. Yet CPI calculations, heavily based on urban sampling, show home prices still increasing. It's one of the major drivers of the inflation narrative.
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