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Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:29 am to rashman
quote:
rashman oct 2020
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:30 am to Scruffy
quote:
I think that is simply wishful thinking on this board’s part.
Some folks on Poli live in an completely different reality than everyone else. It is not statistically impossible for Trump to lose, but he is doing terrible across the country.
In reality, what the posts should be about is how the R Party is going to recover, because it’s overwhelming likely that Trump is out of office. They are going to be forced into a situation where they lose Congress as well and will have to appeal to colleagues they’ve mostly ignored the last 4 years on major bills.
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 11:33 am
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:30 am to rashman
quote:
Trump going to The Villages where his numbers are already strong is a sign of losing.
Or solidifying his voters there. Us old folks like a little appreciation thrown our way occasionally. You want to argue with me about that? You'll lose.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:32 am to MrFizzle
quote:We heard this in 2016 too. Where were you?
Some folks on Poli live in an completely different reality than everyone else. It is not statistically impossible for Trump to lose, but he is doing terrible across the country
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:34 am to Jake88
Hispanics and blacks surging for Trump. Trump will get at least the 52% of suburban women like last time.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:36 am to MrFizzle
You will be shocked next Wednesday morning. Just sayin.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:38 am to Jake88
quote:
We heard this in 2016 too. Where were you?
This may blow your mind, but statical advances and polling science has changed since 2016 just as every other scientific field changes as time goes on. The science isn’t 100% accurate but it is more accurate than it was in 16. Along with that, most major polling sites due to Joe’s huge advantage are now bolstering Trump’s chances by giving him higher quantitative measures in certain aspects. Even with these added boosts, his chances of winning are still very low.
I don’t research every polling methodology, but in 2016 most respected polls were giving Trump about a respectable 32% chance to win. 1/3 didn’t mean that it was an overwhelming blowout for Clinton and while CNN and some other media was sucking off Clinton verbally, polling was not.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:39 am to MrFizzle
quote:
Party is going to recover, because it’s overwhelming likely that Trump is out of office. They are going to be forced into a situation where they lose Congress as well and will have to appeal to colleagues they’ve mostly ignored the last 4 years on major bills.
Do you think the Democrats will even bother talking to ANY Republican before they destroy the country?
Anyone voting Dem this election better hope they're going to want Dems in power for the rest of your life, because that's what you'll have.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:39 am to MrFizzle
Muh“ polling science “ lolol.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:40 am to MrFizzle
quote:Link? There are pollsters who suggest it's getting worse.
This may blow your mind, but statical advances and polling science has changed since 2016 just as every other scientific field changes as time goes on. The science isn’t 100% accurate but it is more accurate than it was in 16
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:41 am to Jake88
I’ve always noticed dems are over sampled in polls. I think it’s because R’s just don’t care to participate in them anymore.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:47 am to rashman
quote:
Trump going to The Villages where his numbers are already strong is a sign of losing.
Look what happened when Hillary didn’t go to states she thought she had locked up.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:48 am to Lsupimp
quote:Who dat
polling science
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:48 am to Jake88
What evidence is there that polling methods have gotten better? Some of these people are so biased and have so much hatred for Trump. It seeps into everything they do. The media is so fricking dishonest that you have to assume they are misleading you on literally every topic. There is a massive amount of people out there that are silent about their Trump support for many different reasons, being doxxed or cancelled among them. The only thing that could hurt trump is a rise in very young voters to offset the massive surge in black and hispanic voters
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:51 am to xxTIMMYxx
Every political poll's numbers have to be adjusted by the pollster to try to mirror the projected makeup of that year's electorate. Right there begins the end of the "science" and the start of guesswork inevitably tainted to some degree by the pollster's bias.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:56 am to Jake88
So we should ignore the environment because India and China are? That makes zero sense. We can be the first to start. They can join if they want.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:57 am to Iron Lion
Polling “ science “ as commonly understood is basically coastal Progressive conventional wisdom. It seeks a consensus that is palatable to the Ruling Class but is hopelessly behind the curve of how actual American voters see things. Four years later it still thinks the “ backlash- backlash “ is the story. It’s as if Brexit, Trump, anti-media sentiment, etc never happened and tweetstorms from Hollywood, Manhattan and DC are the foundation of the national mood. They still don’t get it.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:57 am to rashman
We are one of the leaders when it comes to the environment
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 11:57 am
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