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2020 Election Odds: Biden Sees Debate Boost, Betting Chances Rise 7.3%

Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:33 am
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
16983 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:33 am
quote:

It didn’t take long for the first debate of the general election to swing the odds.

Just hours before Donald Trump and Joe Biden squared off in primetime, Trump was a +120 underdog with a 42.8% implied probability to win in November, while Biden was a -137 favorite with a 54.4% implied probability. But both of their odds shifted quickly after Tuesday night’s debate ended.

Trump’s updated odds of +138 now give him a 39.4% implied probability of winning, while Biden’s -161 odds now give him a 61.73% implied probability.

That’s a 3.4% dip for Trump compared to a 7.3% boost for Biden.


LINK
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
101436 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:34 am to
So, you betting the farm?
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
36050 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:34 am to
2016 all over again. The tears will sustain me.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:35 am to
what did vegas say about the 2016 election with a month to go, anyone know?
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73739 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:36 am to
Wasnt Trump like +500 this same time in 2016


Free money again
Posted by Bulldogblitz
In my house
Member since Dec 2018
26782 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:37 am to
quote:

So, you betting the farm?


If biden wins, farm will be gone.
Posted by Irons Puppet
Birmingham
Member since Jun 2009
25901 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:37 am to
European odds?
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
28588 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:43 am to
One hour into the debate last night I posted here that Trump lost the election.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73739 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:45 am to
quote:

One hour into the debate last night I posted here that Trump lost the election.



And everyone is still laughing at you about that
Posted by Animal
Member since Dec 2017
4219 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:45 am to
The way a book works is if they are +7.3 out for Biden that means that there is more money currently on Trump. They are trying entice more folks to bet on Biden. They want the bets as even as possible for both sides and they make 10% from the losers.
Posted by Kattail
Member since Aug 2020
3330 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:46 am to
As long as Biden doesn’t make a serious gaff and seems somewhat lucid he wins.
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72670 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:47 am to
quote:

One hour into the debate last night I posted here that Trump lost the election.




only to morons like you who are clueless on FACTS and POLICIES like the ones i linked for ur dumb arse and other morons here ad infinitum .
Posted by xxTIMMYxx
Member since Aug 2019
17562 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:48 am to
quote:

One hour into the debate last night I posted here that Trump lost the election.


Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
28588 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:49 am to
quote:

And everyone is still laughing at you about that


I don’t give a shite if die hard Trump fans think I’m wrong. I want Trump to win the election and he pissed it away. When we lose the Presidency, the anti-establishment movement is deflated, we can no longer shape the Supreme Court, neo-cons are back in charge, at least you can still laugh at me for being a pussy about Trump’s debate performance that cost him the election.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73739 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:50 am to
quote:

least you can still laugh at me for being a pussy about Trump’s debate performance


We are all laughing that's for sure Ken


Look at your profile pic
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
28588 posts
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:51 am to
quote:

only to morons like you who are clueless on FACTS and POLICIES


Dear god I wish we heard more about the policies in the first 45 minutes. Instead we got to see Trump incessantly interrupting an old man and them talking over each other incomprehensibly.
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