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2020 Election Odds: Biden Sees Debate Boost, Betting Chances Rise 7.3%
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:33 am
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:33 am
quote:
It didn’t take long for the first debate of the general election to swing the odds.
Just hours before Donald Trump and Joe Biden squared off in primetime, Trump was a +120 underdog with a 42.8% implied probability to win in November, while Biden was a -137 favorite with a 54.4% implied probability. But both of their odds shifted quickly after Tuesday night’s debate ended.
Trump’s updated odds of +138 now give him a 39.4% implied probability of winning, while Biden’s -161 odds now give him a 61.73% implied probability.
That’s a 3.4% dip for Trump compared to a 7.3% boost for Biden.
LINK
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:34 am to boogiewoogie1978
So, you betting the farm?
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:34 am to boogiewoogie1978
2016 all over again. The tears will sustain me.
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:35 am to boogiewoogie1978
what did vegas say about the 2016 election with a month to go, anyone know?
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:36 am to boogiewoogie1978
Wasnt Trump like +500 this same time in 2016
Free money again
Free money again
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:37 am to Y.A. Tittle
quote:
So, you betting the farm?
If biden wins, farm will be gone.
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:43 am to boogiewoogie1978
One hour into the debate last night I posted here that Trump lost the election.
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:45 am to Jon Ham
quote:
One hour into the debate last night I posted here that Trump lost the election.
And everyone is still laughing at you about that
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:45 am to boogiewoogie1978
The way a book works is if they are +7.3 out for Biden that means that there is more money currently on Trump. They are trying entice more folks to bet on Biden. They want the bets as even as possible for both sides and they make 10% from the losers.
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:46 am to boogiewoogie1978
As long as Biden doesn’t make a serious gaff and seems somewhat lucid he wins.
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:47 am to Jon Ham
quote:
One hour into the debate last night I posted here that Trump lost the election.
only to morons like you who are clueless on FACTS and POLICIES like the ones i linked for ur dumb arse and other morons here ad infinitum .
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:48 am to Jon Ham
quote:
One hour into the debate last night I posted here that Trump lost the election.
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:49 am to SDVTiger
quote:
And everyone is still laughing at you about that
I don’t give a shite if die hard Trump fans think I’m wrong. I want Trump to win the election and he pissed it away. When we lose the Presidency, the anti-establishment movement is deflated, we can no longer shape the Supreme Court, neo-cons are back in charge, at least you can still laugh at me for being a pussy about Trump’s debate performance that cost him the election.
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:50 am to Jon Ham
quote:
least you can still laugh at me for being a pussy about Trump’s debate performance
We are all laughing that's for sure Ken
Look at your profile pic
Posted on 9/30/20 at 10:51 am to Fat Bastard
quote:
only to morons like you who are clueless on FACTS and POLICIES
Dear god I wish we heard more about the policies in the first 45 minutes. Instead we got to see Trump incessantly interrupting an old man and them talking over each other incomprehensibly.
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