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re: .02 mortality rate

Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:20 pm to
Posted by Seldom Seen
Member since Feb 2016
39990 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

.02 morbidity rate



Good thing we shut everything down huh?
Posted by catnip
Member since Sep 2003
16339 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

Real question is what % of that 2% really died of COVID 19


It seems that every death from every accident, from cancer, from heart attacks, from car accidents are really caused by the virus. That would make it better for the election in November.
Posted by BeepNode
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2014
10005 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

.02 of a family of five equals?



Depends on the age and risk factors. The OP made a general statement about it only being a 2% morbidity rate.

We're not all millennials here.
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:22 pm to
quote:

Then you are a complete moron and don't understand math.


People are dying and all you people care about is math.
Sick.
Posted by Errerrerrwere
Member since Aug 2015
38243 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:23 pm to
quote:

Depends on the age and risk factors. The OP made a general statement about it only being a 2% morbidity rate.

We're not all millennials here.


Don’t move the goal posts you said:

quote:

How would you feel if you had a family of 5 and somebody said that there was a 10% chance that a person in your family would die if you did x? Would you still do x?


Which is irrelevant and a straw man argument.
Posted by BeepNode
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2014
10005 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:25 pm to
quote:

Which is irrelevant and a straw man argument.



Using actual statistics and numerical probability is irrelevant and a straw man argument? ok, there's not much else for you to say, then.
Posted by shell01
Marianna, FL
Member since Jul 2014
793 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

.02 morbidity rate


You mean mortality rate Einstein.

Since we aren't systematically testing asymptomatic cases, the morbidity rate is close to 100% of confirmed cases.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
131305 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

How would you feel if you had a family of 5 and somebody said that there was a 10% chance that a person in your family would die if you did x?


what part of math do you not understand? That equals an overall mortality rate of exactly 2%.
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:27 pm to
quote:

If the same number of people who got the flu last year get COVID-19, at 2% Mortality rate that’s 380,000 US deaths from the virus in one year.


So it's not as contagious as the flu,or are you claiming we will have at least 380,000 deaths from Bat Eaters?
This post was edited on 4/5/20 at 6:28 pm
Posted by Errerrerrwere
Member since Aug 2015
38243 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:28 pm to
quote:

Using actual statistics and numerical probability is irrelevant and a straw man argument? ok, there's not much else for you to say, then.



That ONE member of my family of 5 had a 10% chance of catching a disease? I’d take those odds.

You can make statistics and models mean anything.

Those 10% odds are pretty fricking good between 5 people, jackass.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
131305 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:29 pm to
quote:

That ONE member of my family of 5 had a 10% chance of catching a disease?


That's a 10% chance of dying. Not of catching a disease.

Posted by HeadSlash
TEAM LIVE BADASS - St. GEORGE
Member since Aug 2006
49550 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:29 pm to
Wuhan / king flu is just the flavor of the month
Posted by Errerrerrwere
Member since Aug 2015
38243 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:29 pm to
quote:

That's a 10% chance of dying. Not of catching a disease


You’re making my case for me...
Posted by Errerrerrwere
Member since Aug 2015
38243 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:31 pm to
Edited just for you!
Posted by abellsujr
New England
Member since Apr 2014
35254 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:32 pm to
quote:

Is 2% not a big enough number for you?
That’s 2% of only 50% of the people who have it. 50% of people don’t even feel symptoms and will never get tested. Not to mention the amount of people with very little symptoms who don’t even get tested when they go to the hospital or call a Dr.
This post was edited on 4/5/20 at 6:34 pm
Posted by MsHoghunter
Member since Oct 2017
2405 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:32 pm to
quote:


People are dying and all you people care about is math. 
Sick.


You're right, we should also ban all vehicular travel because people are dying
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111507 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:32 pm to
That was me.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111507 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:33 pm to
quote:

That’s 2% of only 50% of the people who have it. 50% of people don’t even feel symptoms and will never get tested.


That may be as high as 55-66%.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
131305 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:34 pm to
quote:

That’s 2% of only 50% of the people who have it. 50% of people don’t even feel symptoms and will never get tested.


There may be something to that. But had we not changed our daily behavior, that 2% would be 4% to 5%.

Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111507 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:36 pm to
quote:

But had we not changed our daily behavior, that 2% would be 4% to 5%.


The CFR doesn’t depend on social distancing. The virologists will tell you that unless you’re social distancing until there’s a vaccine that it doesn’t even change the percent infected.

Let that sink in. (You’re being sold a pig in a poke.)
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