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re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana

Posted on 9/14/21 at 12:13 pm to
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 12:13 pm to
Thots and players
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53485 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 12:14 pm to
Hurricane Nicholas was too much for the Hancock Whitney Bank on Perkins Rd/Kenilworth.
Major structural damage

This post was edited on 9/14/21 at 12:18 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71961 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 12:14 pm to
I like to play my own game with OT Hurricane Threads(tm).

I open the thread to the latest page and let my eyes fall on a single post. It is kind of like mad libs. This time that post was:
quote:

Thots and players
This post was edited on 9/14/21 at 12:16 pm
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129602 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 12:18 pm to
The fury of Nicholas
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146548 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

Meteorologist Nick Mikulas
Here’s a bit of a pro tip. If you use RadarScope and want to pick out the heaviest bands of rain, and where they are moving, switch to “accumulation array” mode. That shows you the last hour of precipitation accumulation. You can loop that and see if the bands are training, or if there is some motion to them. Right now, the most significant local rain extends from Leesville to Oakdale, and down through Lafayette. There doesn’t appear to be any training just yet, but 1/2-1 inch per hour rates are happening in that area. It looks like this will pivot toward Alexandria in the next hour or two. As the storm slows, a couple of these rows of showers and storms will likely align parallel to the atmospheric flow, and bring a steady barrage of heavy rain. It’s impossible to know specifics on where it’ll happen, but this is a good tool to look for where it might be imminent, or happening.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53485 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

The fury of Nicholas


All he wanted was a sticky last night and none of this would have happened.
Posted by Gene Heinous
the Pleasure Dome
Member since Sep 2021
710 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 12:31 pm to
I spoke too soon.....my power went off almost immediately after my last post and it just came back on.....damn.
This post was edited on 9/14/21 at 12:35 pm
Posted by Gene Heinous
the Pleasure Dome
Member since Sep 2021
710 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 12:33 pm to
Is that right that the radar is showing that the Center is still over SE Houston???
This post was edited on 9/14/21 at 12:36 pm
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 12:36 pm to
Yes
Posted by AnthonyJenningsPrais
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2020
166 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 12:47 pm to
massive chance
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71961 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

Is that right that the radar is showing that the Center is still over SE Houston???

Yep. That's the shear doing work that you can see in real time. It is how it was forecast with the convection/precip being forced Eastward.
Posted by Gene Heinous
the Pleasure Dome
Member since Sep 2021
710 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 12:58 pm to
Thanks. It must have stalled in that time that I was w/o power.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10109 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

Athletix


Appreciate it.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

Is that right that the radar is showing that the Center is still over SE Houston???


Yeah.

Shear is pushing the focus for convection to the NE. Just funneling moisture at south Louisiana.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10109 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 1:08 pm to
quote:


All he wanted was a sticky last night and none of this would have happened.


I tried to respect on his name and requested the stickey, to no avail
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10109 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

Shear is pushing the focus for convection to the NE. Just funneling moisture at south Louisiana.


So flooding is a real possibility??
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71961 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 1:14 pm to
The band Southeast of Nola that is still off shore could be a problem for Slidell and areas East of there in a little while if it doesn't weaken.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

So flooding is a real possibility??


Certainly. We're not talking 2016 at this point, but this rain is going to hang around for a while. Down by the coast though, let's say running along Hwy 90 there's probably going to be some very heavy rainfall through the afternoon. Also there's a band of extremely heavy rain just off the coast and trying to roll into the New Orleans metro.

Also, probably pushing water on all the areas still really hurting from Ida.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

The band Southeast of Nola that is still off shore could be a problem for Slidell and areas East of there in a little while if it doesn't weaken.


Though, if tradition means anything, it's just going to roll into coastal Mississippi and flood them.
This post was edited on 9/14/21 at 1:18 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71961 posts
Posted on 9/14/21 at 1:17 pm to
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