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Started By
Message
re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:39 pm to TigerNAtux
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:39 pm to TigerNAtux
quote:
So…at this point…no one has a fricking clue.
Ummm all the models are pretty close together for a landfall location, time, and intensity, and we don't even have a named storm yet. I'd say that's a good clue.
2
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:40 pm to rattlebucket
quote:
They screwed the pooch 2020 with the cone so im gonna assume this one is going tejas or flawduh
Did they, though?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:40 pm to Chad504boy
Because liability and dumbasses in these threads spreading bad info when people need good info
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:41 pm to rt3
Out of how many? Thats what “it seemed” meant. Im in this cone. Not a wishcaster. Just stating what happened last yr. enjoy!
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:41 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Did they, though?
Don't get me started...
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:42 pm to Ed Osteen
! 70% of the time it works every timePosted on 8/26/21 at 7:42 pm to slackster
quote:
Assuming he was being serious,
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:42 pm to slackster
quote:
Don't get me started...
Tell me more…
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:43 pm to LSUJuice
quote:
and we don't even have a named storm yet
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:43 pm to rattlebucket
quote:
Out of how many?
Did Lake Charles need Delta on top of Laura to have a bad time last year or do you think one major hurricane is sufficient?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:43 pm to LSUJuice
We don’t have a named storm?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:44 pm to rattlebucket
Yeah, Slack, tell him more.
I could use the BINGO square.
I could use the BINGO square.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:44 pm to TigerNAtux
TVCN is back west over Morgan City.
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 7:46 pm
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:45 pm to rattlebucket
quote:
Out of how many? Thats what “it seemed” meant. Im in this cone. Not a wishcaster. Just stating what happened last yr. enjoy!
you know that the word "uncertainty" means?
there's a reason it's called a "cone of uncertainty"
it's the meteorologists saying the eye of the storm will be somewhere in this area in this timeframe
for the most part... the eye of the storm was still inside the cone from 5 days before
it may have been on a far edge... but for the most part it was still in the cone
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:45 pm to Splackavellie
Caparotta Thurs Evening Update
1/ Some thoughts on #Ida as of Thursday evening. One thing I probably haven't talked about enough...models are indicating it could have a fairly large wind field. Euro shown below as an example
Key takeaway -- impacts extend well away from the center. #LAwx
2/ The NHC tropical storm force wind probabilities provide some reflection of that. 50%+ chance of tropical storm force winds extending from near the MS/AL border to the LA/TX border. #LAwx
3/ Here's a look at the tropical storm and hurricane force wind probabilities for Baton Rouge as of the 4 p.m. Thursday advisory. These numbers will change as the track and details get refined. Wind threat peaks Sunday evening into midday Monday. #LAwx
4/ Here's a look at tropical storm & hurricane force wind probabilities for New Orleans. Again, these numbers will change with each advisory.
Overall, they're pretty similar to Baton Rouge. An important point for anyone in the #NOLA area considering evacuating up to BR. #LAwx
5/ One thing about a larger wind field -- it amplifies storm surge. We don't have storm surge numbers from NHC yet, but suffice to say the threat will be quite significant if the forecast track & intensity hold. #LAwx
6/ NHC currently shows the most likely arrival time for tropical storm force winds along the LA coast by early Sunday morning. If in an evacuation zone or considering evacuating, you need to get where you're going by Sat. night. Winds spread inland during the day Sunday. #LAwx
7/ Rain and inland flooding are also significant threats. The current outlook from
@NWSWPC
suggests widespread totals of 5"-15" possible, locally higher. Again, numbers are preliminary & will get revised, but a good start for planning. #LAwx
8/8 The threat is serious & preparations should be ramped up tomorrow. We certainly hope for some better news, but as it stands Thursday night, south Louisiana residents should be preparing for a potential major (Cat. 3+) hurricane landfall. #LAwx
1/ Some thoughts on #Ida as of Thursday evening. One thing I probably haven't talked about enough...models are indicating it could have a fairly large wind field. Euro shown below as an example
Key takeaway -- impacts extend well away from the center. #LAwx
2/ The NHC tropical storm force wind probabilities provide some reflection of that. 50%+ chance of tropical storm force winds extending from near the MS/AL border to the LA/TX border. #LAwx
3/ Here's a look at the tropical storm and hurricane force wind probabilities for Baton Rouge as of the 4 p.m. Thursday advisory. These numbers will change as the track and details get refined. Wind threat peaks Sunday evening into midday Monday. #LAwx
4/ Here's a look at tropical storm & hurricane force wind probabilities for New Orleans. Again, these numbers will change with each advisory.
Overall, they're pretty similar to Baton Rouge. An important point for anyone in the #NOLA area considering evacuating up to BR. #LAwx
5/ One thing about a larger wind field -- it amplifies storm surge. We don't have storm surge numbers from NHC yet, but suffice to say the threat will be quite significant if the forecast track & intensity hold. #LAwx
6/ NHC currently shows the most likely arrival time for tropical storm force winds along the LA coast by early Sunday morning. If in an evacuation zone or considering evacuating, you need to get where you're going by Sat. night. Winds spread inland during the day Sunday. #LAwx
7/ Rain and inland flooding are also significant threats. The current outlook from
@NWSWPC
suggests widespread totals of 5"-15" possible, locally higher. Again, numbers are preliminary & will get revised, but a good start for planning. #LAwx
8/8 The threat is serious & preparations should be ramped up tomorrow. We certainly hope for some better news, but as it stands Thursday night, south Louisiana residents should be preparing for a potential major (Cat. 3+) hurricane landfall. #LAwx
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:46 pm to GEAUXmedic
West of Baton Rouge please. Decent bit better
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:46 pm to rt3
quote:
rt3
I swear if you don't give me the BINGO for this....
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:47 pm to SlidellCajun
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 8:07 pm
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:47 pm to rattlebucket
quote:
Tell me more…
Remember how far they missed with Laura from this point?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 7:51 pm to slackster
quote:
slackster
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