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re: Serial ... Is Adnan Syed Guilty?

Posted on 8/21/15 at 12:05 pm to
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
37192 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

don't you mean that Hae knew jay was stepping out (cheating) and was going to tell Stephanie?


Yes. I won't edit it, I'll just leave your correction.
Posted by Cooter Davenport
Austin, TX
Member since Apr 2012
9006 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 12:06 pm to
That's what I was wondering as well - the only way it works is if it is the other way around.
This post was edited on 8/21/15 at 12:07 pm
Posted by Cooter Davenport
Austin, TX
Member since Apr 2012
9006 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

He most certainly did not have to be anyone's accomplice. He could have done it himself.


So if he did it himself, and the cops are corrupt and looking for easy closes to murder cases so their stats look better, there has to be just as much to connect him to it as there is for Adnan, so if you are the cops wanting the quickest easiest close to the case, why not just pin it all on Jay? Why go through the whole labor of coaching a confession from Jay that pins Adnan? Just jimmy the evidence and get a confession to the murder itself from Jay. Or just try Jay on the evidence if he won't confess. That's easier than the dog and pony show of trying Adnan through Jay's confession. Occam's Razor again.
This post was edited on 8/21/15 at 12:13 pm
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
37192 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

So if he did it himself, and the cops are corrupt and looking for easy closes to murder cases so their stats look better, there has to be just as much to connect him to it as there is for Adnan, so if you are the cops wanting the quickest easiest close to the case, why not just pin it all on Jay?


Jay was the one willing to talk. They improperly held Adnan for many hours without counsel and were unable to get ANY incriminating statements out of him. That is, they intimidated a 17 year old kid with a long, lawyer-less interrogation. Further, they lied to him and told him he was facing capital charges. STILL, Adnan gave them NOTHING. Perhaps that is because he had nothing to give.

Posted by Cooter Davenport
Austin, TX
Member since Apr 2012
9006 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 12:29 pm to
Fair enough. So was it Jenn who Jay was allegedly hooking up with behind Stephanie's back? I have a hard time remembering as it was a while ago that I listened. I just remember that Jenn and Jay had a weird relationship.
Posted by FalseProphet
Mecca
Member since Dec 2011
11719 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 12:34 pm to
I'm definitely in the camp that believes it's more likely than not that Adnan did it (preponderance of the evidence) but that there is no way a jury should have ever believed he did it beyond a reasonable doubt.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
37192 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

Fair enough. So was it Jenn who Jay was allegedly hooking up with behind Stephanie's back? I have a hard time remembering as it was a while ago that I listened. I just remember that Jenn and Jay had a weird relationship.


I'm not sure. Even the Undisclosed people have been somewhat askance in their treatment of Jenn. For me, there is a flashing red siren hovering over her and her involvement.

I can't remember now why the cops brought Jay in in the first place. But I think the timeline of interrogations would satisfy some of your questions about why go with Jay. These investigators have been proven to be incompetent assholes at best. More likely they are duplicitous scumbags. Did you listen to the episode about their past cases? I mean, literally, there are several in which the convicted were released from prison years later due to horrible investigatory mismanagement and deceit. (things like withholding exculpatory evidence.)

What happened was these guys got an anonymous tip to look at Adnan. They started looking at him, he wouldn't talk. Somehow they got onto Jay, and he was happy to help them tie it up in a bow on Adnan.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
37192 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

I'm definitely in the camp that believes it's more likely than not that Adnan did it (preponderance of the evidence)


You can't believe in the preponderance of the evidence if you've listened to Undisclosed. There is no evidence. None. No aspect of the case the state put forward holds water. Literally none of it.
Posted by FalseProphet
Mecca
Member since Dec 2011
11719 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Undisclosed.


Yea, they are waaaaay too one-sided for me to believe all of their claims.

It's more likely than not that Adnan did it. I would never vote to convict though.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
37192 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Yea, they are waaaaay too one-sided for me to believe all of their claims.


Give an explicit example of them being "one sided" or biased in their research and/or claims. Just one.
Posted by Mouth
Member since Jan 2008
22097 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 1:30 pm to
I don't see the bias in Undisclosed.

What I do see, is that Jay and Jenn did dat shite!!!
This post was edited on 8/21/15 at 1:31 pm
Posted by BoardReader
Arkansas
Member since Dec 2007
7257 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 6:22 pm to
quote:

Give an explicit example of them being "one sided" or biased in their research and/or claims. Just one.


Er. The entire podcast series?

Look, I don't begrudge the people who made it, from presenting things the way they do; in fact, it is a highly effective way of presenting a narrative-- but they are largely defense attorneys and advocates.

If a group of well-organized professional lawyers couldn't argue convincingly, essentially against air (no prosecutorial case representation, no rebuttal), I'd be more disturbed about the incompetency of criminal defense in this country.

This is like saying someone is a heavyweight champion, based on shadow boxing.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35359 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 6:34 pm to
quote:

If a group of well-organized professional lawyers couldn't argue convincingly, essentially against air (no prosecutorial case representation, no rebuttal), I'd be more disturbed about the incompetency of criminal defense in this country.

This is like saying someone is a heavyweight champion, based on shadow boxing.
Except those same detectives and prosecutors have put innocent people in jail time and time again. It's not like there is precedence.
Posted by LesMiles BFF
Lafayette
Member since May 2014
5101 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 7:18 pm to
quote:


anyone who thinks Adnan is guilty... I suggest you go listen to the latest podcast called "Undisclosed".

it is way better than Serial. Way more information


I listened to a couple of episodes but it's obvious that is slanted to Adnon's side.

It's something a conspiracy theorist would love though. I'm too logical in my thought process to not dismiss most of their "evidence"
Posted by BoardReader
Arkansas
Member since Dec 2007
7257 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 7:22 pm to
quote:

Except those same detectives and prosecutors have put innocent people in jail time and time again. It's not like there is precedence.


The existence of prior innocence convicted, does not compellingly prove the innocence of all convicted.

Officers and prosecutors who do their jobs are invariably going to end up jailing at least a few innocent people, some of whom may be eventually exhonorated (and some who are not); the question is, what is a reasonable failure rate, before maleficence is assumed?

Again, there is no given context for the allegations of prosecutorial maleficence; if they can't make someone sound like an angel or, conversely, a terrible human being, when there is no rebuttal possible, they're not good at their jobs.
Posted by iluvdatiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2004
42850 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 7:35 pm to
No. I almost think Jay made it all up to the police.
Posted by iluvdatiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2004
42850 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

There's another podcast, but it's biased toward Adnan. It's called "Undisclosed". I listen to it, because I find the case interesting.



If any of you have not followed up the Serial podcast with the Undisclosed podcast, you must stop what you are doing right now and listen. They present a LOT of information that was not covered on Serial simple stuff that was easy to verify yet the police never followed up on. It's crazy!
Posted by iluvdatiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2004
42850 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 7:57 pm to
quote:

You should at least listen to the episode on bail. Somebody from the state needs to go to prison for a long time for that bit of scumbaggery. I hope Urick gets put away too.


You talking about the police writing his age down incorrectly? How did he lawyer not notice that???
Posted by LesMiles BFF
Lafayette
Member since May 2014
5101 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 8:15 pm to
I'm currently reloading all of the serial podcasts and then I'll listen to undisclosed and give it the benefit of the doubt.

Bit like a previous poster said, just because some previously innocent people may have been convicted based on investigations by the same detectives, that has nothing to do with this case. Absolutely nothing.

Posted by DontCare
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2012
2516 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 8:56 pm to
quote:

It's something a conspiracy theorist would love though. I'm too logical in my thought process to not dismiss most of their "evidence"

I think you accidentally spelled "pretentious" as "logical."

I've actually been pretty skeptical of the Undisclosed crew due to their clear belief in Adnan's innocence. I also think they're a little too dry and not as well-suited at telling a narrative than the Serial crew (a point they repeatedly confess).

That being said, they have done a pretty good job of highlighting a lot of poignant facts and inappropriate methods that occurred throughout the case. Biased or not, the cellphone tower evidence is bunk, autopsy reports completely rule out whole swaths of the timeline, the investigators did frick a few things up in a major way, there is quite a bit of evidence that the prosecution withheld or manipulated, and on and on and on.

When I finished Serial, I was of the opinion that Adnan was likely guilty, but I don't think so now. He may have been involved, but there don't seem to be many facts that would suggest he actually did it, if there are any at all.

I have my own pet theory as to why there are so many players involved who tell wildly inconsistent stories. I think that Hae was, in Jenn's words, a little stuck up and some people may not have liked her. I know this is speculation, but it does occasionally happen that groups of teenagers will turn on a member of their circle, leading to their conspiring to kill that person. The movie "Bully" and "Alpha Dogs" we're about that sort of thing. This is just my pet theory in listening to the podcasts and I may totally change my mind and abandon this theory.

At the end of the day, this whole thing revolves around the fact that so much time passed between Hae's disappearance, discovery, Adnan's arrest, trial, and conviction that I think this is a sort of fractal that has no definitive end -the more things are parsed apart, the less clear conclusions become.

What will happen is, years from now, somebody will confess. Until then, it's just a wildly interesting mystery to follow.
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