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re: Overnight Weather Thread - LA, MS, AL

Posted on 4/6/14 at 7:56 pm to
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3342 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

As in tornado chasers? And who is "he" and what was his explanation? What are you guys watching?



LINK

Yes, tornado chasers heading to BR. It's pretty boring right now watching but he is giving good explanations on what is happening in the atmosphere.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
213899 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

but what does PEEJ say?


I have already spoken and AGAIN the s called [EXPERTS ] are wrong again.......
Posted by Traffic Circle
Down the Rabbit Hole
Member since Nov 2013
4655 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

Click on the red dot on the map. Should be near Breaux Bridge


Might be a bust for them? Not too much action.
Posted by GRITS79
Tiger Stadium
Member since Feb 2014
1396 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 7:56 pm to
Me too.

I hate to say it, but I'm amazed by them. Gustav was blowing shingles off of my moms house and was knocking down trees. She was in the kitchen crying (she lived through Betsy) and I was outside videoing it.

I don't like this tornado crap though.
Posted by lsurulz1515
Member since Mar 2007
7331 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 7:57 pm to
quote:

warm front passed you

What does that mean for us in BR?
Posted by GRITS79
Tiger Stadium
Member since Feb 2014
1396 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 7:57 pm to
Thanks
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
213899 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

What does that mean for us in BR?



Nothing major at all... Maybe a little storm or two...........
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3342 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

Might be a bust for them? Not too much action.



The gulf is becoming active. It will take a couple hours for those storms to get onshore and become stronger.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Joplin, MO
Member since Nov 2011
41637 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 8:00 pm to
The thing is you could get nothing, or you could get everything.. the whole point it the chance is there.. i mean its like nobody understands the concept that you can't predict what will happen at a certain place.. you can only give a general area. so if you live in the general area be alert and hope you don't get it.

i knew some people on this board were retarded but damn
This post was edited on 4/6/14 at 8:01 pm
Posted by Tiger4Ever
Member since Aug 2003
36768 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 8:03 pm to
PeeJ can't keep tabs on his daughter...I sure as hell don't expect him to be able to predict shite weather-wise.
Posted by lsu mike
Gonzales
Member since Sep 2006
8580 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 8:04 pm to
Sorry but I'll believe it when I see it. We were supposed to get anywhere between 2-5" of rain area wide between yesterday afternoon and today. Not even including overnight tonight. Barely received a trace today. Now according to the last afd they have dropped it down to two inches max and they say that is even higher then most short term guidance. Pretty substantial bust so far.
This post was edited on 4/6/14 at 8:05 pm
Posted by CtotheVrzrbck
WeWaCo
Member since Dec 2007
37538 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 8:04 pm to
quote:

Nothing major at all... Maybe a little storm or two...........



prayers sent
Posted by Walt OReilly
Poplarville, MS
Member since Oct 2005
124694 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 8:04 pm to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45715 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 8:07 pm to
Update from the NWS:

quote:

741 PM CDT SUN APR 6 2014 .UPDATE... ZONE AND COASTAL PACKAGES WERE UPDATED AT 7 PM FOR ISSUANCE OF TORNADO WATCH 65 UNTIL 3 AM CDT. WARM FRONT IS MOVING NORTH OF THE AREA AT THIS TIME. 00Z SOUNDING NOW SHOWING MUCH MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND VERY LITTLE INHIBITION. HELICITY HAS INCREASED TO 476...WET BULB ZERO DOWN TO 10K FEET. CONVECTION CURRENTLY FIRING JUST WEST AND NORTH OF THE AREA. ALL MODES OF SEVERE PENIS WEATHER STILL POSSIBLE. MESOSCALE MODELS SHOWING SOME DIFFERENCES IN TIMING WITH THE WRF 3KM BEING SEVERAL HOURS SLOWER THAN THE HRRR IN AFFECTING THE NEW ORLEANS AREA AND POINTS EAST. 35


Medic... Didn't you say earlier that helicity levels over 400 indicate support for very strong tornados?
This post was edited on 4/6/14 at 8:08 pm
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
213899 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 8:07 pm to
quote:

The thing is you could get nothing, or you could get everything.. the whole point it the chance is there.. i mean its like nobody understands the concept that you can't predict what will happen at a certain place.. you can only give a general area. so if you live in the general area be alert and hope you don't get it.



You just learning this????????



quote:

i knew some people on this board were retarded but damn



OK.........
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Joplin, MO
Member since Nov 2011
41637 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 8:08 pm to
quote:

Medic... Didn't you say earlier that helictites over 400 indicate support for very strong tornados?


yep

150-300 Possible supercell
300-400 Supercells favorable
400+ Tornadic possible

now its all about timing..
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20620 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 8:10 pm to
21z SREF indicates that 10:00 pm to 1:00 am will the main time frame of concern from Baton Rouge over to New Orleans.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45715 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 8:12 pm to
The Weather Channel (I know, nobody watches them) gives us a TorCon of 5 tonight. Apparently this means there's a 50% chance of a tornado occurring within 50 miles of any given point.
Do you agree with this?
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
213899 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 8:13 pm to
quote:

Tiger4Ever




Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
14103 posts
Posted on 4/6/14 at 8:13 pm to
PJ definitely loves trolling weather forums, but damn he is the freaking kiss of death with his predictions.

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