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Started By
Message
re: Overnight Weather Thread - LA, MS, AL
Posted on 4/6/14 at 1:24 pm to IdahoTiger
Posted on 4/6/14 at 1:24 pm to IdahoTiger
Wow. That's a worse sign than Cantore showing up.
As for the "75" circle/bullseye...what does that translate to? 75% chance of a tornado within that circle?
As for the "75" circle/bullseye...what does that translate to? 75% chance of a tornado within that circle?
0
Posted on 4/6/14 at 1:26 pm to IdahoTiger
Must have nothing better to do cause there is nothing to see or happening til after dark if at all. Cold front is still on the coast of LA and barely drifting north. IF there is any thing it will be overnight or early morning hours. SW LA had a severe ts watch issued first thing this morning and never got a drop of rain.
Posted on 4/6/14 at 1:41 pm to lsu mike
I think forecasters in Louisiana are worse at predicting any kind of storm event than in any other state.
Posted on 4/6/14 at 1:48 pm to zacata88
sounds like activity will be increasing within a few hours from what i'm reading - s. central LA
Posted on 4/6/14 at 1:55 pm to zacata88
I agree. Only thing that makes me hesitate and think something might happen is because the spc is not jumping all over this and giving us a moderate or high risk of severe weather. Every time that has happened we got nothing. Like somebody said yesterday its when its not forecast is when we get hit the hardest.
Posted on 4/6/14 at 2:04 pm to lsu mike
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0297
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0131 PM CDT SUN APR 06 2014
AREAS AFFECTED...EAST TX...LA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 63...
VALID 061831Z - 061930Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 63
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...ISOLATED HAIL THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS EAST TX AND LA.
DISCUSSION...SFC WARM FRONT IS GRADUALLY ADVANCING INLAND ALONG THE
UPPER TX COAST. THIS BOUNDARY APPEARS TO BE LIFTING NORTH PARTLY IN
RESPONSE TO APPROACHING SHORT-WAVE TROUGH. ADDITIONALLY...REGIONAL
RADAR DATA SUGGESTS A WEAK MCV/VORT MAY BE EVOLVING NE OF ACT PER
WEAK MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE/DRYING SPREADING ACROSS SCNTRL TX. IN
RESPONSE...LOW LEVEL FLOW IS BEGINNING TO VEER ACROSS SERN TX AND
MOIST/BUOYANT WARM SECTOR SHOULD CONTINUE TO RETURN ACROSS SERN
TX/SRN LA.
WHILE ISOLATED HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST ELEVATED
UPDRAFTS...GREATER CONCERN WILL BE WITH NEAR-SFC BASED CONVECTION
THAT EVOLVES LATER THIS AFTERNOON ALONG/SOUTH OF WARM FRONT. GIVEN
THE STRONG SHEAR NOTED ACROSS THIS REGION THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES
WILL INCREASE AS SUPERCELLS ROOT INTO HIGHER THETA-E BOUNDARY LAYER.
TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE WARRANTED LATER TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS
THREAT.
Posted on 4/6/14 at 2:06 pm to GEAUXmedic
It's raining cats and dogs here in Shreveport!
Posted on 4/6/14 at 2:43 pm to Beefherinthequeefer
The Dominator is in Louisiana
Posted on 4/6/14 at 2:51 pm to GEAUXmedic
The weather people can't even tell me if it's going to rain or not, why would I trust their prediction on tornadoes, hail, and flooding?
Posted on 4/6/14 at 2:53 pm to Casty McBoozer
quote:
The weather people can't even tell me if it's going to rain or not, why would I trust their prediction on tornadoes, hail, and flooding?
idk, i don't watch local weather broadcasts
This post was edited on 4/6/14 at 2:54 pm
Posted on 4/6/14 at 2:53 pm to Beefherinthequeefer
I'm just leaving shreveport on my way back to BR...
Posted on 4/6/14 at 2:54 pm to GEAUXmedic
Good collection of updates.
Keep it up.
Posted on 4/6/14 at 2:58 pm to GEAUXmedic
We fricked.
Dude totally ripped off the TIV with his little mini-TIV.
Dude totally ripped off the TIV with his little mini-TIV.
Posted on 4/6/14 at 2:59 pm to MrSmith
quote:
I'm just leaving shreveport on my way back to BR...
stormy travels man
Posted on 4/6/14 at 3:01 pm to Lsuhoohoo
quote:
We fricked.
Dude totally ripped off the TIV with his little mini-TIV.
They're pretty ballsy though, I'm not chasing tonight cause
1) its gonna be dark
2) its gonna be flooding
3) any tornadoes will most likely be hi precip
This post was edited on 4/6/14 at 3:06 pm
Posted on 4/6/14 at 3:10 pm to GEAUXmedic
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 PM CDT SUN APR 06 2014
VALID 062000Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS ERN TX...LA...MS
AND AL...
THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK IS TO REMOVE THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
FROM PARTS OF CNTRL AND EAST TX. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MARKEDLY
DECREASED IN COVERAGE TO THE WEST OF A LINE FROM JUST WEST OF
HOUSTON EXTENDING NWD TO TYLER. THIS AREA IS BEING IMPACTED BY
SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF A VORTICITY MAX OVER THE ARKLATEX AND WILL
BE AFFECTED BY DRIER AIR ADVECTING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON.
TO THE EAST ACROSS LA...MS AND AL...A SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE
FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS A WELL-DEFINED 70
TO 90 KT MID-LEVEL JET MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
THIS FEATURE WILL CREATE STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES OVER THE
TOP OF A MOIST AIRMASS CREATING CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING
STORMS.
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 PM CDT SUN APR 06 2014
VALID 062000Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS ERN TX...LA...MS
AND AL...
THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK IS TO REMOVE THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
FROM PARTS OF CNTRL AND EAST TX. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MARKEDLY
DECREASED IN COVERAGE TO THE WEST OF A LINE FROM JUST WEST OF
HOUSTON EXTENDING NWD TO TYLER. THIS AREA IS BEING IMPACTED BY
SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF A VORTICITY MAX OVER THE ARKLATEX AND WILL
BE AFFECTED BY DRIER AIR ADVECTING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON.
TO THE EAST ACROSS LA...MS AND AL...A SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE
FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS A WELL-DEFINED 70
TO 90 KT MID-LEVEL JET MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
THIS FEATURE WILL CREATE STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES OVER THE
TOP OF A MOIST AIRMASS CREATING CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING
STORMS.
Posted on 4/6/14 at 3:12 pm to GEAUXmedic
Most of that looks like it might only affect the very top of Louisiana. South La. might just get the 'tip' of it, not the whole enchilada.
Posted on 4/6/14 at 3:13 pm to Traffic Circle
Do you have any idea how many times "just the tip" caused a lot of problems.
Posted on 4/6/14 at 3:14 pm to Traffic Circle
quote:
Most of that looks like it might only affect the very top of Louisiana. South La. might just get the 'tip' of it, not the whole enchilada.
lmao, what are you looking at? that is completely the opposite of whats going on tonight.
northern areas will get a lot of rain, but as far as convective weather goes, thats all southeast la, south ms, and southwest al
Posted on 4/6/14 at 3:15 pm to GEAUXmedic
shits getting real in monroe. 
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