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re: LUNCH THRAY---The "i'm not dead, please up-vote me for that" edition

Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:28 pm to
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117554 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:28 pm to
Hey Tb

Will do once the field is set. I’ll actually be up in bowling green this weekend
Posted by Deep Purple Haze
LA
Member since Jun 2007
71689 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:29 pm to
prob not. they suck anyway.
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66985 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:32 pm to
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117554 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:33 pm to
You do you. Latb and I bet the regular way and I like to see how they draw

Plenty of time for one of those horses to break.
Posted by Dead Man Walking
Member since Mar 2019
963 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:35 pm to
Damn, 24 horses in the Kentucky Derby? Looks like the number of Dems in the presidential election.
Posted by LCA131
Home of the Fake Sig lines
Member since Feb 2008
77684 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

they suck anyway.


I would definitely rather have a beer with y'all's coach than their coach.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117554 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:38 pm to
There will be 20. That’s the gate limit every year. They allow 2 also eligibles that can draw in if there is a scratch that occurs before I think 9:00am Oaks day
Posted by Deep Purple Haze
LA
Member since Jun 2007
71689 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:39 pm to
maybe in oct.
Posted by LCA131
Home of the Fake Sig lines
Member since Feb 2008
77684 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:39 pm to
Posted by Dead Man Walking
Member since Mar 2019
963 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:41 pm to
So is Omaha Beach for real.... 3/1 odds.

Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117554 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:43 pm to
I don’t understand Vegas odds and betting. I guess you can lock things in that way?

I would guess that the favorite will go off at about 4-1 this year. It will be heavily influenced by which horse mike smith rides.

If it rains people will hammer down on him regardless of who rides.
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66985 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:45 pm to
the odds will bounce around some over the next two weeks

omaha beach has beaten both game winner and improbable so it is fair to put it as the favorite

roadster ran well in the santa anita

game winner won the breeders cup race at churchill downs in november

really 2-4 horses who can win. this year will be very intriguing.

game winner is still the best. has been since november
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117554 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:48 pm to
Don’t forget how many people with no horse knowledge bet on derby day. That’s where some weird odds swinging happens.

Like my boy jack. I’m not saying you have no knowledge but most of the people who bet him did not.

And you and I differ on how many can win. Depending on the trip a total bomb could end up first then never win again like mine that bird

It’s a strange year.
This post was edited on 4/15/19 at 2:49 pm
Posted by Dead Man Walking
Member since Mar 2019
963 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:57 pm to
You seem like you know the horseracing game. And if so, how do you figure out who to bet on?
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66985 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

You seem like you know the horseracing game

Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117554 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 2:59 pm to
I know horses and have a good knowledge of racing from the inside.

Winston knows gambling better than me though

I always wake up early and watch the live stream of works and gallops in the 2 weeks leading up to it. The derby is a huge dream for all and there are always a few horses being held together by duct tape just to make the gate

Not really more
Posted by lathoroughbred
Louisiana/Kentucky
Member since May 2008
8125 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 3:01 pm to
ah sweet....seeing the family?
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117554 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 3:01 pm to
Excuse me? I have more knowledge of all parts of racing except gambling than you have in your pinky toe

And I used to be better at gambling but now it makes me sad and reminds me of bs I don’t want to think about :-/
This post was edited on 4/15/19 at 3:03 pm
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117554 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 3:03 pm to
Yeah. Baby shower to go to. So I’m up and back in 3 days
Posted by Dead Man Walking
Member since Mar 2019
963 posts
Posted on 4/15/19 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

Excuse me? I have more knowledge of all parts of racing except gambling than you have in your pinky toe


Dang... you seem offended?

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